基于城、市视角的城市化水平与经济增长关系

doi:10.13249/j.cnki.sgs.2018.10.007

Abstract

Abstract:

This article analyzes the level and types of urbanization of Chinese 285 prefecture-level cities from 2005 to 2014 based on the perspective of city and market, and reveals the spatiotemporal regulation of the evolution of urbanization level in China. The paper explored the relationship between different types of urbanization and economic growth based on the function of non parameter estimation method. The results show that: 1) The spatial distribution of city level in China is discrete, and the spatial distribution of market level shows the “core periphery” structure. According to the equilibrium and synchronization level of city and market, the study unit could be divided into five categories, which are city precedes market, market precedes city, low-level synchronization, medium-level synchronization, high-level synchronization. And we found that most cities of our country belong to the high-level synchronization type. 2) This article reveals the characteristics of urbanization type evolution through constructing a transtion-probablity matrix Markov chain. The first characteristic is that the cities belong to synchronous type shows more stability than that belongs to non-synchronous type. The second characteristic is that the transfer of urbanization type has stages. 3) Firstly, the economic growth rate of low-level synchronous city has cubic function relationships with city and market level. Secondly, the economic growth rate of media-level and high-level synchronous city has quadratic function relationships with its city and market level. Thirdly, the economic growth rate of non-synchronous city has cubic function relationships with city and market level. Therefore, different types of cities should adopt differentiated policies when raising their economic level.

Key words: urbanization, city, market, economic growth, Markov chain, nonparametric estimation

CLC Number:

F290

Xuehui Wang, Guofeng Gu. The Relationship Between Urbanization Level and Economic Growth Based on the Perspective of City and Market[J].SCIENTIA GEOGRAPHICA SINICA, 2018, 38(10): 1634-1642.

Figures/Tables 7

Table 1

Fig.1

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Table 2

Fig.5

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		特性	指标	单位	权重
		特性	指标	单位	2005年	2008年	2011年	2014年
	城化水平	基础性	年末实铺道路面积	万m²	0.11	0.10	0.11	0.11
		基础性	市辖区建成面积	km²	0.11	0.11	0.08	0.12
			房地产投资完成额	万元	0.11	0.11	0.11	0.11
		社会性	医院、卫生院个数	个	0.06	0.07	0.06	0.06
			全社会供水总量	万t	0.10	0.10	0.11	0.11
			用电总量	万kW/h	0.10	0.11	0.11	0.11
			电信业务总量	万元	0.11	0.11	0.11	0.11
城市化水平			邮政业务总量	万元	0.11	0.11	0.10	0.08
城市化水平			剧场、影剧院个数	个	0.07	0.09	0.09	0.09
			公共图书馆藏书量	10³册	0.11	0.08	0.11	0.10
	市化水平	经济性	城乡居民储蓄年末余额	万元	0.13	0.14	0.13	0.13
			年末城市人口数	万人	0.16	0.18	0.17	0.14
			职工平均工资	元	0.16	0.10	0.16	0.14
		市场性	年末金融机构贷款余额	万元	0.13	0.13	0.12	0.13
			商品零售总额	万元	0.14	0.14	0.14	0.13
			当年实际使用外资金额	万美元	0.12	0.13	0.13	0.13
			货运总量	万t	0.15	0.18	0.16	0.18

年份	n	t_i/t_i₊₁	城先于市	市先于城	低水平同步	中水平同步	高水平同步
2005~2008	81	城先于市	0.600	0.025	0.150	0.175	0.050
	82	市先于城	0.000	0.632	0.132	0.184	0.053
	145	低水平同步	0.042	0.042	0.873	0.042	0.000
	110	中水平同步	0.138	0.224	0.017	0.586	0.034
	152	高水平同步	0.077	0.038	0.000	0.013	0.872
2008~2011	81	城先于市	0.463	0.024	0.171	0.317	0.024
	86	市先于城	0.068	0.545	0.091	0.205	0.091
	149	低水平同步	0.081	0.041	0.865	0.014	0.000
	107	中水平同步	0.154	0.212	0.000	0.577	0.058
	147	高水平同步	0.054	0.041	0.000	0.027	0.878
2011~2014	72	城先于市	0.350	0.025	0.275	0.250	0.100
	79	市先于城	0.119	0.452	0.071	0.310	0.048
	152	低水平同步	0.093	0.067	0.840	0.000	0.000
	119	中水平同步	0.109	0.145	0.000	0.691	0.055
	148	高水平同步	0.000	0.055	0.000	0.041	0.904

The Relationship Between Urbanization Level and Economic Growth Based on the Perspective of City and Market

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