近600年来巢湖流域旱涝灾害研究
贾铁飞, 施汶妤, 郑辛酉, 张卫国, 俞立中

The Flood and Drought Disasters of the Chaohu Lake Basin in the Past 600 Years
Tie-fei JIA, Wen-yu SHI, Xin-you ZHENG, Wei-guo ZHANG, Li-zhong YU
表2 巢湖流域各年灾害统计与频率分布
Table 2 The frequency of flood and drought disasters in the Chaohu Lake Basin in 1370-1988
灾害 等级 年份(年) 频率


-1
(偏旱)
1462 1484 1486 1487 1524 1526 1530 1537 1555 1563 1564 1573 1574 1577 1584 1620 1622 1635 1639 1657 1667 1668 1680 1692 1701 1707 1709 1724 1725 1731 1733 1747 1748 1756 1760 1774 1777 1782 1784 1807 1811 1813 1816 1821 1836 1845 1859 1874 1875 1876 1877 1890 1900 1910 1913 1914 1926 1927 1988 计59次,平均
5.58 a一遇
计137次,
平均2.40 a
一遇
计329次,平
均1.88 a
一遇
-2
(旱)
1466 1468 1478 1491 1514 1523 1534 1552 1570 1590 1592 1623 1625 1644 1646 1672 1715 1722 1723 1835 1862 1891 1892 1902 1918 1919 1936 1940 1955 1957 1960 计31次,平均
10.6 a一遇
-3
(大旱)
1509 1535 1540 1554 1588 1616 1617 1626 1632 1654 1661 1678 1690 1711 1712 1716 1768 1775 1864 1928 1930 1932 1944 1945 1961 1967 1968 1973 计28次,平均
11.75 a一遇
-4
(特大旱)
1544 1589 1641 1652 1653 1671 1679 1714 1738 1739 1785 1814 1856 1929 1934 1958 1959 1966 1978 计19次,平均
17.32 a一遇


1
(偏涝)
1370 1385 1413 1454 1462 1473 1475 1497 1501 1504 1518 1527 1529 1545 1550 1567 1628 1697 1732 1734 1741 1745 1757 1758 1762 1787 1799 1804 1830 1895 1898 1917 1922 1982 1987 计35次,平均
9.4 a一遇
计144次,
平均2.28 a
一遇
2
(涝)
1438 1453 1477 1507 1510 1511 1513 1531 1546 1558 1566 1568 1569 1580 1582 1593 1599 1600 1601 1605 1624 1629 1638 1642 1643 1651 1658 1659 1682 1684 1699 1710 1730 1742 1766 1773 1790 1801 1828 1838 1839 1842 1852 1853 1861 1878 1880 1896 1905 1933 1935 1943 1972 计53次,平均
6.21 a一遇
3
(大涝)
1404 1437 1474 1493 1522 1539 1587 1594 1613 1614 1647 1663 1704 1737 1749 1767 1772 1788 1793 1800 1833 1840 1841 1850 1870 1871 1883 1885 1921 1951 1963 1971 1975 计33次,平均
9.97年一遇
4
(特大涝)
1560 1561 1586 1608 1702 1727 1755 1764 1769 1823 1831 1848 1849 1866 1869 1882 1901 1911 1931 1969 1980 1983 1984 计23次,平均
14.30 a一遇
水旱交替 1508 1523 1528 1538 1549 1559 1562 1640 1670 1677 1693 1695 1708 1713 1716 1719 1726 1736 1744 1759 1778 1779 1786 1797 1802 1815 1832 1857 1858 1897 1912 1937 1938 1942 1948 1949 1952 1953 1954 1956 1962 1964 1965 1970 1974 1976 1979 1985 计48次,平均
6.85 a一遇