城市体系位序-规模特征的空间计量分析 ——以中部地区地级以上城市为例
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程开明, 庄燕杰
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Spatial Econometric Analysis of The Rank-size Rule for Urban System: A Case of Prefectural-level cities in China’s Middle Area
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Kai-ming CHENG, Yan-jie ZHUANG
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| 表3 两种空间效应模型的估计结果 |
| Table 3 Estimate results of two spatial models |
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| 模型 | 参数 | 1985年 | 1990年 | 1995年 | 2000年 | 2005年 | 2009年 | | 空间滞后模型 | α | 5.720***
(40.051) | 5.681***
(37.103) | 4.703***
(8.801) | 6.051***
(15.535) | 5.208***
(8.735) | 5.185***
(8.560) | | q | 0.646***
(-18.017) | 0.661***
(-21.641) | 0.625***
(-22.012) | 0.627***
(-26.462) | 0.631***
(-26.885) | 0.633***
(-27.396) | | ρ | 0.053**
(2.176) | 0.091***
(3.176) | 0.348***
(2.842) | 0.091
(1.067) | 0.309**
(2.365) | 0.327**
(2.488) | | R2 | 0.889 | 0.909 | 0.898 | 0.901 | 0.903 | 0.906 | | LR | 4.359 | 8.776 | 5.807 | 1.100 | 4.749 | 5.265 | | BP | 6.865 | 4.776 | 7.098 | 0.019 | 2.368 | 3.726 | | 空间误差模型 | α | 5.965***
(56.112) | 6.078***
(59.887) | 6.176***
(62.963) | 6.455***
(76.976) | 6.595***
(76.250) | 6.667***
(77.580) | | q | 0.661***
(-17.945) | 0.670***
(-20.078) | 0.619***
(-20.859) | 0.630***
(-26.662) | 0.635***
(-26.381) | 0.636***
(-26.684) | | λ | -0.262
(-1.582) | -0.123
(-0.842) | 0.243
(0.895) | 0.037
(-0.181) | 0.134
(-0.448) | 0.162
(-0.554) | | R2 | 0.879 | 0.892 | 0.888 | 0.899 | 0.897 | 0.899 | | LR | 0.431 | 0.232 | 0.556 | 0.036 | 0.162 | 0.224 | | BP | 12.190 | 11.072 | 6.945 | 0.005 | 1.127 | 1.816 |
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