中国区域经济趋同:基于县级尺度的空间马尔可夫链分析
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陈培阳, 朱喜钢
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Regional Convergence at County Level in China
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Pei-yang CHEN, Xi-gang ZHU
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表2 1998~2009年中国县市人均GDP类型的空间马尔可夫链转移概率矩阵 |
Table 2 Spatial Markov matrix for per capita GDP class at county level of China in 1998-2009 |
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| t (t+1) | 1(<43%) | 2(<63%) | 3 (<87%) | 4(<137%) | 5(>137%) | 1 | 1 | 0.964 | 0.034 | 0 | 0.001 | 0 | 2 | 0.172 | 0.76 | 0.06 | 0.009 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0.106 | 0.831 | 0.063 | 0 | 4 | 0.014 | 0.014 | 0.063 | 0.845 | 0.063 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.13 | 0.87 | 2 | 1 | 0.933 | 0.064 | 0.003 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.119 | 0.824 | 0.055 | 0.002 | 0.001 | 3 | 0.001 | 0.139 | 0.797 | 0.057 | 0.006 | 4 | 0 | 0.008 | 0.109 | 0.83 | 0.051 | 5 | 0.006 | 0 | 0.019 | 0.073 | 0.902 | 3 | 1 | 0.878 | 0.114 | 0.004 | 0.003 | 0.001 | 2 | 0.072 | 0.845 | 0.079 | 0.002 | 0.001 | 3 | 0.006 | 0.119 | 0.809 | 0.063 | 0.003 | 4 | 0.004 | 0.008 | 0.108 | 0.822 | 0.053 | 5 | 0.006 | 0.006 | 0.01 | 0.073 | 0.904 | 4 | 1 | 0.864 | 0.121 | 0.01 | 0.003 | 0.003 | 2 | 0.073 | 0.811 | 0.111 | 0.003 | 0.002 | 3 | 0.003 | 0.093 | 0.811 | 0.089 | 0.004 | 4 | 0.001 | 0.008 | 0.099 | 0.842 | 0.058 | 5 | 0.001 | 0.002 | 0.006 | 0.081 | 0.911 | 5 | 1 | 0.706 | 0.235 | 0.029 | 0 | 0.029 | 2 | 0.046 | 0.733 | 0.191 | 0.023 | 0.008 | 3 | 0 | 0.083 | 0.798 | 0.11 | 0.01 | 4 | 0 | 0.003 | 0.046 | 0.878 | 0.072 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 0.031 | 0.967 |
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