不同概率分布函数降雨极值的适用性分析
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张玉虎, 王琛茜, 刘凯利, 陈秋华
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Applicability of Different Probability Distributions to Estimated Extreme Rainfall
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Yu-hu ZHANG, Chen-xi WANG, Kai-li LIU, Qiu-hua CHEN
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表2 站点降雨极值统计信息 |
Table 2 Maximum precipitation for 1-, 2- and 3-day duration at meteorological sites |
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降雨极值序列 | 连续降雨 日数(d) | 站台 编号 | 最小值 (mm) | 最大值 (mm) | 均值 (mm) | 标准差 (mm) | 站台 编号 | 最小值 (mm) | 最大值 (mm) | 均值 (mm) | 标准差 (mm) | | 1 | 50745 齐齐哈尔 | 25.60 | 135.50 | 53.75 | 22.12 | 57051 三门峡 | 30.80 | 115.80 | 59.29 | 22.47 | 全年 | 2 | 34.00 | 159.70 | 66.62 | 26.57 | 32.70 | 153.10 | 70.27 | 24.42 | | 3 | 37.40 | 165.10 | 71.72 | 27.59 | 40.00 | 213.70 | 78.40 | 28.89 | | 1 | 20.50 | 135.50 | 53.00 | 22.68 | 18.40 | 112.80 | 54.16 | 23.88 | 夏季 | 2 | 22.00 | 159.70 | 65.30 | 27.77 | 18.80 | 153.10 | 62.93 | 26.36 | | 3 | 26.80 | 165.10 | 70.32 | 28.82 | 18.80 | 213.70 | 69.20 | 31.59 | | 1 | 0.20 | 7.90 | 2.31 | 1.56 | 0.60 | 14.40 | 5.93 | 3.28 | 冬季 | 2 | 0.20 | 8.20 | 2.72 | 1.79 | 0.60 | 17.00 | 7.02 | 4.06 | | 3 | 0.20 | 8.30 | 2.82 | 1.87 | 0.60 | 21.40 | 7.59 | 4.63 | | 1 | 52679 武威 | 8.30 | 62.70 | 22.12 | 11.67 | 57461 宜昌 | 32.10 | 229.10 | 96.37 | 39.53 | 全年 | 2 | 11.50 | 79.10 | 26.78 | 13.55 | 39.60 | 229.10 | 113.50 | 39.80 | | 3 | 11.70 | 87.80 | 29.98 | 15.25 | 52.40 | 229.10 | 126.57 | 40.25 | | 1 | 4.50 | 62.70 | 20.21 | 12.70 | 32.10 | 229.10 | 89.72 | 38.20 | 夏季 | 2 | 4.50 | 79.10 | 24.30 | 15.18 | 37.10 | 229.10 | 107.27 | 39.19 | | 3 | 4.50 | 87.80 | 26.74 | 16.74 | 51.50 | 229.10 | 119.91 | 40.56 | | 1 | 0.10 | 5.30 | 2.11 | 1.33 | 3.90 | 36.90 | 15.95 | 7.97 | 冬季 | 2 | 0.10 | 6.90 | 2.36 | 1.52 | 4.00 | 53.10 | 21.23 | 10.90 | | 3 | 0.10 | 8.50 | 2.65 | 1.92 | 4.50 | 73.40 | 24.35 | 14.12 | | 1 | 53798 邢台 | 25.40 | 304.30 | 80.46 | 47.50 | 58203 阜阳 | 38.20 | 226.10 | 95.16 | 43.56 | 全年 | 2 | 29.20 | 431.50 | 104.58 | 66.90 | 56.30 | 249.80 | 120.75 | 49.50 | | 3 | 30.00 | 570.20 | 116.66 | 86.14 | 57.10 | 334.30 | 133.22 | 52.95 | | 1 | 25.40 | 304.30 | 77.16 | 48.08 | 36.00 | 226.10 | 89.45 | 46.28 | 夏季 | 2 | 29.20 | 431.50 | 100.16 | 67.65 | 38.40 | 249.80 | 115.67 | 52.74 | | 3 | 30.00 | 570.20 | 111.52 | 87.47 | 44.20 | 334.30 | 127.47 | 57.05 | | 1 | 0.10 | 16.20 | 5.54 | 3.85 | 4.80 | 53.90 | 17.91 | 9.17 | 冬季 | 2 | 0.10 | 18.90 | 6.59 | 4.66 | 4.80 | 54.20 | 23.77 | 11.90 | | 3 | 0.10 | 21.30 | 7.17 | 5.36 | 4.80 | 65.60 | 27.15 | 14.24 | | 1 | 54342 沈阳 | 32.50 | 215.50 | 75.28 | 33.78 | 58737 建瓯 | 52.40 | 183.40 | 96.03 | 29.19 | 全年 | 2 | 44.10 | 216.40 | 91.68 | 36.88 | 75.60 | 331.70 | 132.67 | 48.62 | | 3 | 44.40 | 216.40 | 100.15 | 37.93 | 84.30 | 398.50 | 160.41 | 69.67 | | 1 | 28.10 | 215.50 | 74.89 | 34.25 | 33.00 | 183.40 | 83.74 | 33.77 | 夏季 | 2 | 34.00 | 216.40 | 91.05 | 37.71 | 41.90 | 331.70 | 116.92 | 55.22 | | 3 | 41.70 | 216.40 | 99.64 | 38.55 | 43.60 | 398.50 | 139.40 | 75.59 | | 1 | 2.00 | 26.80 | 9.05 | 6.00 | 14.30 | 97.80 | 32.81 | 14.00 | 冬季 | 2 | 2.00 | 27.50 | 10.49 | 6.82 | 16.50 | 125.30 | 46.13 | 19.55 | | 3 | 2.00 | 27.50 | 11.04 | 6.90 | 16.90 | 135.00 | 53.98 | 22.34 | | 1 | 56227 波密 | 22.10 | 111.70 | 43.41 | 17.40 | 59265 梧州 | 48.60 | 334.50 | 108.95 | 50.34 | 全年 | 2 | 28.30 | 146.50 | 63.49 | 23.10 | 71.80 | 353.60 | 133.90 | 53.40 | | 3 | 33.90 | 174.20 | 76.11 | 28.53 | 81.90 | 368.60 | 149.30 | 55.54 | | 1 | 10.50 | 75.20 | 34.04 | 15.56 | 33.80 | 334.50 | 92.42 | 55.74 | 夏季 | 2 | 19.50 | 107.50 | 51.12 | 23.30 | 49.40 | 353.60 | 113.89 | 61.02 | | 3 | 20.50 | 137.40 | 61.77 | 26.90 | 50.50 | 368.60 | 127.45 | 63.06 | | 1 | 1.10 | 29.90 | 9.57 | 6.31 | 5.60 | 100.10 | 31.62 | 20.32 | 冬季 | 2 | 1.40 | 46.20 | 13.76 | 9.89 | 5.90 | 139.40 | 42.28 | 25.43 | | 3 | 1.40 | 60.10 | 15.94 | 11.92 | 8.60 | 182.10 | 48.95 | 31.68 |
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