降雨变化对东江流域径流的影响模拟分析
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刘洁, 陈晓宏, 许振成, 虢清伟, 肖志峰, 王兆礼, 吴根义
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The Impact of Variation in Rainfall on Runoff in the Dongjiang River Basin
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Jie LIU, Xiao-hong CHEN, Zhen-cheng XU, Qing-wei GUO, Zhi-feng XIAO, Zhao-li WANG, Gen-yi WU
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| 表4 日降雨随机模拟结果（1986~2010年多年平均） |
| Table 4 Results of daily rainfall stochastic simulation of every month (average of years 1986-2010) |
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| 月份 | 实测月均降雨天数
(d) | 模拟月均降雨天数
(d) | 相差天数
(d) | 实测月均降雨量
(mm) | 模拟月均降雨量
(mm) | 绝对差值
(mm) | 相对误差
(%) | | 1 | 11 | 12 | 1 | 48.23 | 46.02 | -2.20 | -4.57 | | 2 | 15 | 14 | -1 | 76.28 | 73.91 | -2.37 | -3.11 | | 3 | 21 | 20 | -1 | 139.01 | 119.41 | -19.60 | -14.10 | | 4 | 22 | 20 | -2 | 209.12 | 181.49 | -27.63 | -13.21 | | 5 | 23 | 22 | -1 | 246.21 | 236.07 | -10.14 | -4.12 | | 6 | 26 | 24 | -2 | 344.98 | 343.76 | -1.22 | -0.35 | | 7 | 24 | 23 | -1 | 221.93 | 222.67 | 0.74 | 0.33 | | 8 | 25 | 24 | -1 | 229.39 | 217.55 | -11.84 | -5.16 | | 9 | 19 | 18 | -1 | 147.19 | 141.03 | -6.15 | -4.18 | | 10 | 10 | 8 | -2 | 39.18 | 40.98 | 1.80 | 4.59 | | 11 | 9 | 7 | -2 | 32.90 | 36.96 | 4.05 | 12.32 | | 12 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 39.84 | 38.44 | -1.41 | -3.53 | | 合计 | 213 | 200 | -13 | 1774.28 | 1698.3 | -75.97 | -4.28 |
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