环渤海地区临港石化产业集聚水平测度

韩增林, 杨文毅, 郭建科, 孙康

The Determination of the Port-petrochemical Industries’ Agglomeration Level in the Bohai Sea Rim

Zenglin Han, Wenyi Yang, Jianke Guo, Kang Sun

表4 空间滞后模型与空间误差模型回归结果

Table 4 Regression results of spatial lag models and spatial error models

	2003					2013
	SLM			SEM		SLM		SEM
	系数		P	系数	P	系数	P	系数	P
$\begin{matrix} ρ \end{matrix}$	-0.2360	0.0815	—	—		0.0772	0.0260	—	—
常数	0.0212	0.0001	0.0087	0.0000		0.0243	0.0000	0.0258	0.0015
$\begin{matrix} agg 25 \end{matrix}$	-0.1356	0.4985	0.9007	0.0000		6.1398	0.0000	4.9809	0.0000
$\begin{matrix} agg 26 \end{matrix}$	5.1036	0.0453	-4.7292	0.0093		-51.1114	0.0000	-53.4481	0.0000
$\begin{matrix} agg 27 \end{matrix}$	-6.1025	0.0000	-2.1091	0.0008		-11.5223	0.0028	-10.7991	0.0000
$\begin{matrix} agg 28 \end{matrix}$	-2.3583	0.0000	-1.3369	0.0000		2.5985	0.5384	5.7060	0.0000
$\begin{matrix} agg 29 \end{matrix}$	2.6521	0.0012	1.3594	0.0000		32.0323	0.0000	31.7849	0.0000
$\begin{matrix} coagg 25 \end{matrix}$	-0.0403	0.0004	-0.0191	0.0003		1.1937	0.0002	1.4582	0.0000
$\begin{matrix} coagg 26 \end{matrix}$	-0.5282	0.0008	-0.2691	0.0003		1.6223	0.0478	1.9371	0.0000
$\begin{matrix} coagg 27 \end{matrix}$	1.6685	0.0001	1.1197	0.0000		-3.4271	0.1921	-4.1790	0.0000
$\begin{matrix} coagg 28 \end{matrix}$	0.0246	0.0017	0.0142	0.0097		0.3140	0.0011	0.4881	0.0000
$\begin{matrix} coagg 29 \end{matrix}$	-1.0358	0.0000	-0.8043	0.0000		-0.3546	0.7923	-0.3128	0.0000
$\begin{matrix} Income \end{matrix}$	-1.4E-06	0.0023	-3.8E-07	0.0000		-3.0E-07	0.0000	-3.3E-07	0.0000
$\begin{matrix} Capital \end{matrix}$	1.4E-05	0.0000	1.3E-05	0.0000		-3.0E-06	0.0000	-3.1E-06	0.0000
$\begin{matrix} Talent \end{matrix}$	-6.5E-08	0.3802	-2.3E-07	0.0000		1.9E-07	0.0000	2.0E-07	0.0000
$\begin{matrix} R^{2} \end{matrix}$	0.9665		1.0000			0.9976		1.0000
Log-likelihood	99.9769		190.6182			99.3944		266.7993
$\begin{matrix} Akaike \end{matrix}$	-169.954		-353.236			-168.789		-505.599
Schwarz	-159.333		-343.324			-158.168		-495.686