海洋产业影响省域经济增长估计及其分异动因判识

马仁锋, 候勃, 张文忠, 袁海红, 窦思敏

Estimates of Marine Industry Impact on Provincial Economic Growth and Its Identification of Differentiation Dynamics in 2006-2015

Renfeng Ma, Bo Hou, Wenzhong Zhang, Haihong Yuan, Simin Dou

表4 海洋产业总产值的增长率ZX（X）与各省份GDP增长率ZGDP的回归模型

Table 4 The regression model of the growth rate of marine industrial output ZX(X) and the growth rate ZGDP of each province in China

地区 回归模型 R（Kendall’s ) Tau-b相关系数 R2 F 天津 y=-207.37x3+139.54x2-26.157x+1.6359 0.524 0.509 1.286 河北 y=-19.196x3+1.0969x2+2.1056x-0.09637 1.000 0.818 4.496 辽宁 y=-53.281x3+22.445x2-1.8977x+0.13773 0.429 0.786 3.675 上海 y=-45.604x3+9.3626x2+1.0051x-0.00386 0.619 0.497 0.990 江苏 y= 0.25393x0.30375 0.714 0.590 7.209 浙江 y=-45.389x3+12.404x2+0.08291x+0.02794 0.048 0.760 3.174 福建 y=7.7647x3-4.2736x2+1.004x+0.07884 0.333 0.421 0.726 山东 y=-231.2x3+94.61x2-11.199x+0.50071 0.619 0.937 11.074 广东 y=6.5954x3-2.375x2+0.30598x+0.11158 0.048 0.090 0.099 广西 y=1114.6x3-586.81x2+98.977x-5.1774 0.048 0.363 0.022 海南 y=-880.75x3+394.99x2-56.758x+2.747 0.238 0.159 0.300