中国市域空间结构的特征及其影响因素
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李琬, 孙斌栋, 刘倩倩, 张婷麟
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The Features and Determinants of Spatial Structure in Chinese Prefecture-level City Regions
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Wan Li, Bindong Sun, Qianqian Liu, Tinglin Zhang
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| 表3 空间结构的全变量影响因素分析 |
| Table 3 Estimation results of all factors |
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| 2000年 | 2010年 | 2000年和2010年 | | Pareto | HHI | Primacy | Pareto | HHI | Primacy | Pareto | HHI | Primacy | | GEO | 土地面积（ln） | -0.07 | -0.04* | -0.01 | 0.03 | -0.02 | -0.01 | -0.01 | -0.03 | -0.01 | | (0.05) | (0.02) | (0.02) | (0.06) | (0.02) | (0.03) | (0.04) | (0.02) | (0.02) | | 1级河流密度 | 0.28 | 0.59 | 0.49 | 0.34 | -0.06 | -0.26 | 0.30 | 0.18 | 0.04 | | (0.92) | (0.50) | (0.42) | (1.10) | (0.33) | (0.31) | (0.72) | (0.47) | (0.42) | | 地表粗糙度（ln） | 0.06*** | 0.01* | 0.01 | 0.10*** | 0.02*** | 0.02*** | 0.10*** | 0.03*** | 0.02*** | | (0.02) | (0.01) | (0.01) | (0.02) | (0.01) | (0.01) | (0.02) | (0.01) | (0.01) | | ECO | 人均GDP（ln） | 2.44** | 0.26 | 0.52 | -1.78 | -0.94** | -0.30 | -1.63*** | -0.57*** | -0.48** | | (1.06) | (0.34) | (0.31) | (1.43) | (0.36) | (0.36) | (0.52) | (0.19) | (0.18) | 人均GDP的平方
（ln） | -0.13** | -0.01 | -0.03 | 0.11 | 0.05*** | 0.02 | 0.10*** | 0.03*** | 0.03*** | | (0.06) | (0.02) | (0.02) | (0.07) | (0.02) | (0.02) | (0.03) | (0.01) | (0.01) | | 城镇人口规模（ln） | -0.09 | -0.53 | -0.29 | 1.24 | -0.90*** | -0.55* | 0.40 | -1.14*** | -0.80*** | | (1.22) | (0.40) | (0.39) | (1.47) | (0.31) | (0.28) | (0.88) | (0.28) | (0.23) | 城镇人口规模的平
方（ln） | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0.01 | -0.05 | 0.03** | 0.02* | -0.02 | 0.04*** | 0.03*** | | (0.04) | (0.01) | (0.01) | (0.05) | (0.01) | (0.01) | (0.03) | (0.01) | (0.01) | | 二三产业比重 | 0.10*** | 0.03** | 0.03** | -0.00 | -0.01 | -0.01 | 0.04 | 0.02** | 0.01 | | (0.03) | (0.01) | (0.01) | (0.05) | (0.01) | (0.01) | (0.03) | (0.01) | (0.01) | | GOV | 行政等级-1 | 0.19* | 0.21*** | 0.22*** | 0.44*** | 0.24*** | 0.25*** | 0.43*** | 0.29*** | 0.30*** | | (0.11) | (0.04) | (0.03) | (0.13) | (0.06) | (0.05) | (0.08) | (0.05) | (0.04) | | 行政等级-2 | 0.13 | 0.09** | 0.11*** | 0.26** | 0.11*** | 0.13*** | 0.27*** | 0.15*** | 0.16*** | | (0.09) | (0.04) | (0.03) | (0.11) | (0.04) | (0.03) | (0.07) | (0.04) | (0.03) | | 县/县级市的个数 | 0.01 | -0.01** | -0.01* | -0.01 | -0.02*** | -0.02*** | -0.00 | -0.02*** | -0.02*** | | (0.01) | (0.00) | (0.00) | (0.01) | (0.00) | (0.00) | (0.01) | (0.00) | (0.00) | 政府支出
占GDP比重 | 7.78*** | 4.63*** | 4.53*** | 1.24** | 0.19 | 0.32 | 1.52*** | 0.70** | 0.68** | | (1.35) | (0.70) | (0.63) | (0.58) | (0.18) | (0.19) | (0.43) | (0.29) | (0.25) | 县/县级市内国家
级开发区的个数 | -0.29 | -0.10** | -0.12*** | -0.17 | -0.09** | -0.07** | -0.18* | -0.09** | -0.09** | | (0.22) | (0.04) | (0.04) | (0.12) | (0.03) | (0.03) | (0.10) | (0.04) | (0.04) | OTH
| 人均公路里程
（ln） | -0.11* | -0.05** | -0.07*** | -0.24** | -0.13*** | -0.10*** | -0.19*** | -0.08*** | -0.08*** | | (0.06) | (0.02) | (0.02) | (0.10) | (0.03) | (0.03) | (0.05) | (0.02) | (0.02) | 每万人互联网用
户数（ln） | 0.01 | -0.00 | 0.00 | 0.10* | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.04 | 0.01 | 0.01 | | (0.03) | (0.01) | (0.01) | (0.06) | (0.02) | (0.03) | (0.03) | (0.02) | (0.02) | | 是否为东部地区 | -0.10* | -0.04 | -0.05* | -0.04 | -0.04 | -0.05* | -0.05 | -0.02 | -0.04 | | (0.05) | (0.03) | (0.03) | (0.07) | (0.03) | (0.03) | (0.04) | (0.02) | (0.03) | | 是否为中部地区 | 0.04 | -0.02 | -0.01 | 0.06 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 0.03 | -0.02 | -0.01 | | (0.07) | (0.03) | (0.03) | (0.08) | (0.04) | (0.03) | (0.05) | (0.03) | (0.03) | | 是否是2010年 | - | - | - | - | - | - | -0.40*** | -0.10*** | -0.11*** | | | | | | | (0.09) | (0.03) | (0.03) | | -11.57 | 3.25 | 0.36 | -3.16 | 11.68*** | 5.85** | 3.10 | 11.52*** | 8.68*** | | 常数 | (9.03) | (3.09) | (2.86) | | (2.85) | (2.71) | (6.27) | (2.45) | (2.07) | | 样本量 | 229 | 239 | 239 | 228 | 240 | 240 | 457 | 479 | 479 | | 调整R2 | 0.377 | 0.779 | 0.727 | 0.404 | 0.766 | 0.730 | 0.393 | 0.731 | 0.684 | | F | 9.11 | 136.90 | 114.00 | 10.04 | 340.40 | 173.30 | 17.41 | 113.10 | 207.00 |
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