东北地区旅游经济影响因素时空特征研究

doi:10.13249/j.cnki.sgs.2018.06.013

Abstract

Abstract:

Taking cities of Northeastern China as the study object from micro level and selecting 2004, 2009 and 2015 section data since carrying out strategy of rejuvenating in Northeast China, this article analysis spatial correlation characteristics of tourism economic development by ways of ESDA, and the relationship between tourism economy and tourism industry factor, consumer factor, investment factor using OLS and GWR model, for the sake of excavating space and time structure information of tourism economy influence factors. The result shows that: 1) Development of tourism economy shows positive spatial autocorrelation significantly, and the correlation increased gradually. 2) OLS regression result shows that: the influence strength of tourism industry factor on the development of tourism economic is the largest, which always played a basic decision role in the development of the tourism industry, followed by consumer factor and investment factor, the latter two had little difference. 3) GWR regression results show that: GWR goodness of fit has improved and regression coefficients are all positive but the distribution is different. Tourism industry factor high value area of regression coefficient experienced moving from southwest to south-central, then to northeast, and diminishing to the outer circularly. Consumption factors shifted from northeast to the southeast, and diminished to peripheral gradually. Investment factors transferred from northeast to south-central, then to northeast, and diminished to peripheral gradually, too.

Key words: tourism economy, GWR, Northeast China

CLC Number:

F592

Wei Guan, Jinlian Hao. Spatial-temporal Characteristic Study on Impact Factors of Tourism Economy in Northeastern China[J].SCIENTIA GEOGRAPHICA SINICA, 2018, 38(6): 935-943.

Figures/Tables 9

Fig.1

Table 1

Table 2

Table 3

Table 4

Table 5

Fig.2

Fig.3

Fig.4

References 18

[1]	陈秀琼,黄福才.中国入境旅游的区域差异特征分析[J].地理学报,2006,61(12):1271-1280. doi: 10.3321/j.issn:0375-5444.2006.12.004
	[Chen Xiuqiong, Huang Fucai.Temporal change of regional disparity in Chinese inbound tourism. Acta Geographica Sinica,2006,61(12):1271-1280.] doi: 10.3321/j.issn:0375-5444.2006.12.004
[2]	敖荣军,韦燕生.中国区域旅游发展差异影响因素研究——来自1990~2003年的经验数据检验[J].财经研究,2006,32(3):32-43. doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1001-9952.2006.03.003
	[Ao Rongjun,Wei Yansheng.A study on the regional tourism resources and the unbalanced development of the tourism industry in China. Journal of Finance and Economics,2006,32(3):32-43.] doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1001-9952.2006.03.003
[3]	陆林,余凤龙.中国旅游经济差异的空间特征分析[J].经济地理,2005,25(3):406-410.
	[Lu Lin,Yu Fenglong.A study on the spatial characteristic of provincial difference of tourism economy. Economic Geography,2005,25(3):406-410.]
[4]	赵东喜. 中国省际入境旅游发展影响因素研究——基于分省面板数据分析[J].旅游学刊,2008,23(8):41-45. doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1002-5006.2008.01.012
	[Zhao Dongxi.Study on the influencing factors of the development of China's provincial inbound tourism—Analysis based on the provincial panel data. Tourism Tribune, 2008,23(8):41-45.] doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1002-5006.2008.01.012
[5]	唐承财,宋昌耀,厉新建.河北省入境旅游规模差异及影响因素分析[J].人文地理,2014,29(5):155-160.
	[Tang Chengcai,Song Changyao, Li Xinjian.Analysis of disparity of inbound tourism rank and scale and its influencing factors for cities in Hebei Province.Human Geography, 2014,29(5):155-160.]
[6]	万绪才,王厚廷,傅朝霞,等.中国城市入境旅游发展差异及其影响因素[J].地理研究,2013,32(2):337-346.
	[Wan Xucai, Wang Houting, Fu Chaoxia et al. The intercity difference and influencing factors of inbound tourism development in China:Taking the major tourism cities as an example. Geographical Research,2013,32(2):337-346.]
[7]	吴杨,倪欣欣,马仁锋.入境旅游影响因素及其空间效应计量——以上海市为例[J].财经科学,2016(3):122-132.
	[Wu Yang, Ni Xinxin, Ma Renfeng.The spatial correlation and difference of influencing factors of urban inbound tourism: A case study of Shanghai. Finance Economics, 2016(3):122-132.]
[8]	孙根年,张毓,薛佳.资源-区位-贸易三大因素对日本游客入境旅游目的地选择的影响[J].地理研究,2011,30(6): 1032-1043. doi: 10.11821/yj2011060007
	[Sun Gennian, Zhang Yu, Xue Jia.Scenery attraction, location accessibility and trade connection: Three factors and their influences on destination choice of Japanese tourists. Geographical Research, 2011,30(6): 1032-1043.] doi: 10.11821/yj2011060007
[9]	王洪桥,袁家冬,孟祥君.东北三省旅游经济差异的时空特征分析[J].地理科学,2014,34(2):164-169.
	[Wang Hongqiao,Yuan Jiadong, Meng Xiangjun.Spatio-temporal characteristics of tourism economy difference in Northeast China. Scientia Geographica Sinica, 2014,34(2):164-169.]
[10]	Prideaux B.The role of transport in destination development[J].Tourism Management,2000,21(2),53-64. doi: 10.1016/S0261-5177(99)00079-5
[11]	王淑新,王学定,徐建卫.西部地区旅游经济空间变化趋势及影响因素研究[J].旅游科学,2012,26(6):55-67.
	[Wang Shuxin, Wang Xueding, Xu Jianwei.A study on spatial variation and influential factors of tourism economy in the western region of China. Tourism Science, 2012,26(6):55-67.]
[12]	中国国家旅游局.中国旅游统计年鉴[M].北京:中国旅游出版社,2005,2010,2015.
	[China National Tourism Administration. China tourism statistical yearbook. Beijing: China Tourism Press,2005,2010,2015.]
[13]	中国国家旅游局.全国A级景点名录[R/OL]. .
	[China National Tourism Administration. National A-class tourism sites list. .]
[14]	孙根年,韩亚芬.基于自主特征中国省际国内旅游预测模型构建[J].陕西师范大学学报(自然科学版),2008,36(1):81-85.
	[Sun Gennian,Han Yafen.A forecast modeling of domestic tourists of Mainland China′s provinces based on self-determination factors.Journal of Shaanxi Normal University(Natural Science Edition), 2008,36(1):81-85.]
[15]	国家统计局国民经济综合统计司.中国区域经济统计年鉴[M].北京:中国统计出版社,2005,2010,2015.
	[National Bureau of Statistics of China. China regional economies statistical yearbook. Beijing: China Statistics Press,2005,2010,2015.]
[16]	Anselin L.Spatial econometrics: methods and models[M].Boston: Kluwer Academic Publishers, 1988.
[17]	孙克,徐中民.基于地理加权回归的中国灰水足迹人文驱动因素分析[J].地理研究,2016,35(1):37-48.
	[Sun Ke,Xu Zhongmin.The impacts of human driving factors on grey water footprint in China using a GWR model. Geographical Research,2016,35(1):37-48.]
[18]	欧向军,甄峰,秦永东,等.区域城市化水平综合测度及其理想动力分析——以江苏省为例[J].地理研究,2008,27(5):993-1002.
	[Ou Xiangjun, Zhen Feng, Qin Yongdong et al.Study on compression level and ideal impetus of regional urbanization: The case of Jiangsu Province. Geographical Research, 2008,27(5):993-1002.]

时间	Moran’s I	P	Z得分
2004年	0.0945	0.0730	1.8323
2009年	0.1558	0.0400	2.0730
2015年	0.2042	0.0160	2.6334

影响因子	指标体系	指标释义
旅游产业因子	旅游资源丰度、交通区位指数、星级饭店床位数、旅行社数	旅游景区、旅游交通、旅行社、旅游饭店是旅游产业发展的核心要素,表征旅游目的地吸引力、可达性和接待服务设施状况,即供给指标
消费因子	腹地人口密度、城镇居民人均可支配收入、农村居民人均可支配收入	旅游者对旅游资源、设施和产品的消费能力和消费潜力,即需求指标
投资因子	人均全社会固定资产投资额、人均财政支出	国有经济对旅游产业发展的贡献

模型参数	2004年		2009年		2015年
模型参数	非标准化系数	标准系数	非标准化系数	标准系数	非标准化系数	标准系数
常数项	-1.09841E-006		-5.725E-007		3.429E-7
旅游产业因子	2.276	0.822	2.077	0.771	1.522	0.783
消费因子	1.087	0.378	1.282	0.424	1.662	0.343
投资因子	1.102	0.321	1.038	0.310	1.189	0.373
校正R²	0.915		0.859		0.819

年份	带宽	残差平方和	有效数量	置信系数	调整 R²
2004	14228148	3.148	4.012	0.292	0.921
2009	14228148	5.218	4.012	0.376	0.869
2015	14228148	5.225	4.023	0.335	0.849

年份	Moran’s I	Z	P
2004	-0.034	-0.177	0.859
2009	-0.004	0.400	0.689
2015	-0.059	-0.568	0.353

Spatial-temporal Characteristic Study on Impact Factors of Tourism Economy in Northeastern China

RichHTML

PDF (PC)

Like

Knowledge

Abstract

Cite this article

share this article

Figures/Tables 9

References 18

Related Articles 15

Metrics

Comments

Recommended 10

[1]	Cheng Lisha,Wang Shijun,Yang Ran. Evolution Process and Regional Effect of Geo-relations in Northeast China [J]. SCIENTIA GEOGRAPHICA SINICA, 2019, 39(8): 1284-1292.
[2]	Zhuo Chen,Fengjun Jin,Jiao’e Wang. Spatial Boundaries and Structural Characteristics of Metropolitan Areas in Northeast China: A Study Using the Data of Expressway Flows [J]. SCIENTIA GEOGRAPHICA SINICA, 2019, 39(6): 929-937.
[3]	Shaobo Wang, Xiaolong Luo, Jianke Guo, Peigang Zhang, Zongni Gu. Dynamic Evolution of Tourism Spatial Structure Under the Improvement of the High Speed Rail Network in Northeast China [J]. SCIENTIA GEOGRAPHICA SINICA, 2019, 39(4): 568-577.
[4]	Jianhua Zhu, Chunliang Xiu. The Evolutionary Pattern and Contributing Factor of Administrative Division Adjustment in Northeast China Since 1949 [J]. SCIENTIA GEOGRAPHICA SINICA, 2019, 39(4): 606-615.
[5]	Zhanhua Jia, Guofeng Gu. The Evaluation of Imbalance of Economic Structure and Its Influence on Economic Growth: Based on the Spatial Econometric Model [J]. SCIENTIA GEOGRAPHICA SINICA, 2019, 39(4): 636-643.
[6]	Junfeng Tian, Binyan Wang, Shijun Wang. Urban Land Use Efficiency and Its Coupling Relationship in the Three Provinces of Northeast China [J]. SCIENTIA GEOGRAPHICA SINICA, 2019, 39(2): 305-315.
[7]	Liangang Li,Pingyu Zhang,Juntao Tan,Haoming Guan. A Regional Economic Resilience Approach to the Economic Revitalization Process in Liaoning Old Industrial Base, China [J]. SCIENTIA GEOGRAPHICA SINICA, 2019, 39(1): 116-124.
[8]	Huiqiang Ma, Yuchao Lun, Jianchao Xi, Quansheng Ge. Spatial Pattern of China’s Tourism Economic System Mismatch Degree and Its Formation Mechanism [J]. SCIENTIA GEOGRAPHICA SINICA, 2018, 38(8): 1328-1336.
[9]	Pingyu Zhang, Daqian Liu, Shiwei Liu. Retrospect and Prospect on Human Geography Research: In Honor of the 60th Anniversary of Northeast Institute of Geography and Agroecology, Chinese Academy of Sciences [J]. SCIENTIA GEOGRAPHICA SINICA, 2018, 38(7): 1012-1022.
[10]	Xiaozeng Han, Na Li. Research Progress of Black Soil in Northeast China [J]. SCIENTIA GEOGRAPHICA SINICA, 2018, 38(7): 1032-1041.
[11]	Jiamin Ren, Yanji Ma. Green Development Level and the Obstacle Factors of Old Industrial Base in Northeast China [J]. SCIENTIA GEOGRAPHICA SINICA, 2018, 38(7): 1042-1050.
[12]	Xianzhao Liu, Changchun Gao, Yong Zhang, Dongshui Zhang, Jinning Xie, Yan Song, Zhiqiang Wang. Spatial Dependence Pattern of Carbon Emission Intensity in China’s Provinces and Spatial Heterogeneity of Its Influencing Factors [J]. SCIENTIA GEOGRAPHICA SINICA, 2018, 38(5): 681-690.
[13]	Yan Chen, Lin Mei. Quantitative Analysis of Population Distribution and Influencing Factors of Resource-based Cities in Northeast China [J]. SCIENTIA GEOGRAPHICA SINICA, 2018, 38(3): 402-409.
[14]	Miaomiao Wang, Lei Zhou, Shaoqiang Wang, Xiaoqin Wang. Change of Growing Season Length and Its Effects on Gross Primary Productivity in Northeast China [J]. SCIENTIA GEOGRAPHICA SINICA, 2018, 38(2): 284-292.
[15]	Yong Ma, Yun Tong, Jie Ren, Jun Liu. Spatial-temporal Pattern and Driving Factors of Public Participation in Environmental Regulation: Taking the Yangtze River Economic Belt as An Example [J]. SCIENTIA GEOGRAPHICA SINICA, 2018, 38(11): 1799-1808.