Chen Hong, Chen Zhuoxi, Du Tongyun, Cao Yuan, Huang Huiming
Accepted: 2026-01-07
Based on a bibliometrics analysis on existing literatures and a comparison of urban- ization models in Europe, North America, Latin America, and Southeast Asia, this study con- structs a “driving mechanisms-process-consequences” framework for analyzing urbanization. The framework adopts a time-series perspective and integrates three driving mechanisms: the primary driver of resource allocation, the fundamental endogenous and exogenous drivers, and “ push-pull” interactive dynamics. Furthermore, it assesses urbanization across 5 aspects that evolve through different stages: economic development coordination, population migration, so- cial integration, urbanization scale, and spatial representation. The post-1949 urbanization can be divided into three distinct historical stages. First, during the planned economy period from 1949 to 1977, cities primarily served industrialization needs. This resulted in a coexistence of incomplete urbanization and “counter-urbanization”. A distinct urban structure emerged, char- acterized by the intermingling of work-unit compounds and traditional residential areas, with factories and industrial zones located in the suburbs. Second, from 1978 to 2011, an era influ- enced by neoliberal policies, the combination of government macro-regulation and market forces generated a “new dualistic structure” within cities. This was defined by the socioeco- nomic divide between migrant workers and local hukou holders, as well as the spatial divide between the cheap, convenient housing of villages-in-the-city and high-end residential gated communities. Third, since 2012, China’s new-type urbanization has been defined by a rein- forced government guiding role focusing on high-quality development. Strategies such as smart city initiatives, equitable public service provision, and ecological conservation have been em- phasized. The people-centered approach to high-quality urbanization has provided critical guid- ance for charting a more mature course of urban development in China. As a result, a multi- polar spatial pattern led by metropolitan areas and supported by the coordinated development of small and medium-sized cities and towns has come into being. In a word, the Chinese urbaniza- tion since 1949 has been a state-led process, though market forces have progressively intensi- fied. It has shifted from a predominantly “push-driven” centralized one to a “pull-oriented” de- centralized one. This transition has engendered a “neo-dualistic urbanization” paradigm, char- acterized by the simultaneous coexistence of pseudo urbanization alongside synchronous urban- ization, of spatial concentration and decentralization, and of significant development gains with entrenched socio-spatial challenges. These features are fundamentally shaped by the evolving interaction between “push-pull” forces and “endogenous versus exogenous” dynamics. This study provides a valuable Chinese exemplar for understanding and theorizing urbanization in the Global South.