基于DER-Wolfson指数的中国海洋经济极化研究

doi:10.13249/j.cnki.sgs.2019.06.007

Abstract

Abstract:

From the perspective of per capita marine output, the density of marine economy, the contribution of marine industries, and with the help of DER index, Wolfson index and information diffusion technology, this study analyzed the trend and regularity of marine economic polarization in 11 coastal provinces in China （not including Hong Kong, Macao and Taiwan） during 1996-2015 , and explained the causes of polarization using the DER index identity-alienation framework .The study found: 1) Between 1996 and 2015, polarization effect begins to appear in the per capita marine output, the density of marine economy, the contribution of marine industries. 2) The DER index and Wolfson index of marine economic density, and contribution of marine industries all showed an upward trend. The DER index of per capita marine output shows an upward trend while the Wolfson index shows a downward trend. 3) The changes of alienation are the major causes of changes in the polarization of the marine economy. So this study proposed countermeasures to promote the coordinated and sustainable development of marine economy in Chinese coastal provinces.

Key words: polarization, DER index, Wolfson index, information diffusion technology, coastal provinces

CLC Number:

K902

Caizhi Sun,Kemeng Guo. Chinese Marine Economic Polarization Based on DER-Wolfson Index[J].SCIENTIA GEOGRAPHICA SINICA, 2019, 39(6): 920-928.

Figures/Tables 5

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Table 1

References 33

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	DER指数水平分解				DER指数变动分解（%）
	年份	认同性	疏离性	相关性	时期	认同性	疏离性	相关性
人均海洋产值	1996年	2.560	0.050	0.925
	2002年	1.708	0.113	0.941	1996~2002年	-96.400	192.490	3.910
	2008年	0.885	0.443	0.907	2002~2008年	-97.230	202.530	-5.30
	2015年	0.644	0.764	0.921	2008~2015年	-130.720	224.480	6.240
海洋经济密度	1996年	7.815	0.006	0.949
	2002年	5.244	0.012	0.942	1996~2002年	-101.250	203.320	-2.070
	2008年	2.141	0.075	0.951	2002~2008年	-97.600	196.550	1.050
	2015年	1.718	0.116	0.939	2008~2015年	-105.240	214.140	-5.900
海洋产业贡献度	1996年	2.766	0.042	0.975
	2002年	2.164	0.065	0.958	1996~2002年	-135.030	244.920	-9.890
	2008年	1.790	0.097	0.924	2002~2008年	-109.750	230.810	-21.060
	2015年	1.796	0.094	0.948	2008~2015年	-31.780	388.130	-256.340

Chinese Marine Economic Polarization Based on DER-Wolfson Index

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