环渤海地区海洋经济增长质量空间溢出效应研究

doi:10.13249/j.cnki.sgs.2020.08.005

Abstract

Abstract:

Marine economy in China should with more quality and effectiveness, which is a new requirement for the development of marine economy under the new normal context background. Based on panel data of marine economic growth quality in the Bohai Rim region from 2000 to 2014, the spatial weighting matrix based on marine economy-space distance function is established to discuss spatial autocorrelation of marine economic growth quality for coastal cities in the Bohai Rim region from 2000 to 2014. By mean of the space Durbin model, this paper studies spatial spillover effects and influence mechanism of marine economic growth quality for coastal cities in the Bohai Rim region, which also make a deterministic of the subject’s spatial and spatial effects. The results show that, 1)The marine economic growth quality of coastal areas in the Bohai Rim region from 2000 to 2014 is spatially correlated but with significant heterogeneity, and the differences of marine economic development in coastal areas have become increasingly significant. 2)The spatial Durbin model shows that the spatial autoregressive coefficient is positive and significant. There is a positive feedback effect of the space spillover for marine economic growth quality. Among the influencing factors, contributions to local marine economic growth quality with direct effect are: Marine environment>Marine industry>Marine talent>Marine capital>Marine science and technology, other mechanisms have no significant effect on local marine economic growth quality. Contributions to neighborhood marine economic growth quality with spatial spillover effect are: Marine infrastructure construction > Marine talent>Marine capital. The research provides some reference for the formulation of targeted and differentiated marine policies in the Bohai Rim region.

Key words: marine economic growth quality, spatial spillover effects, SDM, the Bohai Rim region

CLC Number:

Li Bo, Tian Chuang, Jin Cui, Shi Zhaoyuan. Spatial Spillover Effects and Influence Mechanism of Marine Economic Growth Quality in Bohai Rim Region[J].SCIENTIA GEOGRAPHICA SINICA, 2020, 40(8): 1266-1275.

Figures/Tables 7

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References 29

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年份	Moran’s I	P	年份	Moran’sI	P	年份	Moran’s I	P
2000	0.005	0.363	2005	0.258	0.056*	2010	?0.101	0.433
2001	0.414	0.005***	2006	0.328	0.034**	2011	0.672	0.001***
2002	0.406	0.022**	2007	0.518	0.004***	2012	0.214	0.10*
2003	0.521	0.006***	2008	0.196	0.001***	2013	0.355	0.027**
2004	0.34	0.028**	2009	0.32	0.04**	2014	0.283	0.004***

变量	空间固定		滞后变量	空间固定		其他检验值
变量	回归系数	t值	滞后变量	回归系数	t值	其他检验值
K	0.0002***	3.83258	WK	?0.0006***	?4.27219	Wdep.var*.	0.3850***
C	?0.0277	?0.37117	WC	0.8347***	2.92409	R²	0.8551
I	0.7404***	2.95836	WI	?1.0403	?1.37481	Cor-R²	0.7592
H	0.1114***	4.63883	WH	0.3211***	4.28459	Log-L	?167.0503
E	2.4293*	1.73388	WE	?0.7505	0.20180	Hausman	277.2544***
T	?0.0001**	?2.23965	WT	?0.0001	?0.43082
O	0.0009	0.30559	WO	?0.0100	?1.18799

变量	直接效应		间接效应
变量	系数	t值	系数	t值
K	0.00017***	3.1523	?0.00091***	?3.4913
C	0.01462	0.1790	1.33908**	2.8465
I	0.70815**	2.7442	?1.16525	?0.9631
H	0.12942***	5.4227	0.58289***	4.6795
E	2.46584*	1.7530	2.49668	0.4351
T	?0.00008**	?2.2979	?0.00013	?0.6958
O	0.00058	0.1874	?0.01566	?1.1707

Spatial Spillover Effects and Influence Mechanism of Marine Economic Growth Quality in Bohai Rim Region

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