SCIENTIA GEOGRAPHICA SINICA ›› 2022, Vol. 42 ›› Issue (11): 1889-1899.doi: 10.13249/j.cnki.sgs.2022.11.004
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Shi Xiang1(), Wang Shijun2(
), Wang Dongyan3, Hao Feilong2, Li Zhuowei2
Received:
2021-04-15
Revised:
2022-01-09
Online:
2022-11-30
Published:
2022-11-20
Contact:
Wang Shijun
E-mail:shixiang@jlu.edu.cn;wangsj@nenu.edu.cn
CLC Number:
Shi Xiang, Wang Shijun, Wang Dongyan, Hao Feilong, Li Zhuowei. Characteristics and Influencing Factors of Daily Population Flow Among Cities in China[J].SCIENTIA GEOGRAPHICA SINICA, 2022, 42(11): 1889-1899.
Table 1
Variable de?nition in ERGM model
变量 | 计量单位 | 定义 | |
网络结构效应 | 边缘数 | 无 | 人口流动网络中连接数 |
互惠性 | 无 | 网络节点是否倾向于形成交互 | |
节点属性效应 | 人口规模 | 万人 | 城市的户籍人口规模 |
二产结构 | % | 第二产业增加值占国内生产总值比重 | |
三产结构 | % | 第三产业增加值占国内生产总值比重 | |
教育水平 | 元/人 | 人均技术支出 | |
科技水平 | 元/人 | 人均教育支出 | |
城市化水平 | 无 | 土地城市化、人口城市化、经济城市化和社会城市化的综合测度 | |
经济规模 | 元/人 | 人均GDP | |
外生网络效应 | 地理距离 | km | 地球表面上城市间最短距离 |
时间距离 | min | 城市间所有铁路车次出行时间的平均值 | |
经济距离 | 元 | 城市间所有铁路车次出行票价的平均值 | |
制度距离 | 无 | 城市间是否跨越省级行政区(是=1,否=0) | |
高铁连通度 | 无 | 城市间是否有高铁(是=1,否=0) | |
高速连通度 | 无 | 城市间是否有高速(是=1,否=0) |
Table 2
Analysis of the factors affecting the population ?ow networks
人口流出网络 | 人口流入网络 | ||||
(1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | ||
注:括号内数值为P值,* 、**、***分别代表变量在10%,5%,1%水平下显著;空白为无此项。 | |||||
网络结构效应 | |||||
边缘数 | −4.49149 (<1e-04)*** | −4.28501 (<1e-04)*** | −4.49183 (<1e-04)*** | −4.26362 (<1e-04)*** | |
互惠性 | 4.70789 (<1e-04)*** | 4.60989 (<1e-04)*** | 4.68381 (<1e-04)*** | 4.65761 (<1e-04)*** | |
节点属性效应 | |||||
经济规模 | 9.62969 (0.884887) | 8.90485 (0.884142) | |||
人口规模 | −1.53909 (0.001178)** | 0.45459 (0.0011775)** | |||
二产结构 | −8.81496 (0.89458) | −8.50411 (0.893914) | |||
三产结构 | −1.59955 (0.112897) | −0.46686 (0.1128975) | |||
科技水平 | −0.26842 (0.329531) | 1.33565 (0.336121) | |||
教育水平 | 2.57122 (0.582948) | 2.63779 (0.557048) | |||
城市化水平 | 0.92069 (0.012087)* | 0.92069 (0.0120885)* | |||
外部网络效应 | |||||
高铁连通度 | 2.21651 (<1e-04)*** | 0.16682 (<1e-04)*** | |||
高速连通度 | 0.51851 (<1e-04)*** | 0.19283 (<1e-04)*** | |||
地理距离 | −2.81816 (<1e-04)*** | −0.35489 (<1e-04)*** | |||
时间距离 | −1.92137 (<1e-04)*** | −0.21347 (<1e-04)*** | |||
经济距离 | −1.0689 (0.000467)*** | −0.08442 (0.0005)*** | |||
制度距离 | −1.85178 (<1e-04)*** | −0.05274 (<1e-04)*** | |||
Akaike Inf. Crit. | 23068 | 23745 | 23088 | 42794 | |
Bayesian Inf. Crit. | 23088 | 23891 | 23107 | 42920 |
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