跨境流域水-能源-粮食关联关系研究进展与展望

doi:10.13249/j.cnki.sgs.2023.08.013

Abstract

Abstract:

In the context of transboundary river basins, the water-energy-food nexus is of great significance for water security and ecological security, as well as for maintaining the geopolitical security and sustainable development of transboundary countries. The present study systematically reviewed the frontier progress of the water-energy-food nexus research in the transboundary river basins. These studies can be grouped into four categories: research on the internal core nexus, research on the nexus between coupling internal and external systems, research on the nexus of response measures caused by future uncertainty, and research on transboundary cooperation considered water benefit sharing. We recognize the types, characteristics, and challenges of current quantitative assessment methods, and point out the future development trends from the perspective of actual needs of transboundary basins, i.e., promoting information sharing and data mining, revealing the coupling and feedback mechanism of the water-energy-food nexus, enhancing the development and application of quantitative assessment model of the water-energy-food nexus, strengthening the researches on future uncertainty of the water-energy-food nexus, and promoting multi-stakeholder cooperation. This review will facilitate the rational development and utilization of water resources in the transboundary river basins and realize deeper international cooperation.

Key words: transboundary basins, water-energy-food, nexus, transboundary coorperation, global change

CLC Number:

TV212.3

Xu Ziyue, Ma Kai, Yuan Xu, He Daming, Su Yan. Progress and prospect of water-energy-food nexus in the transboundary river basins[J].SCIENTIA GEOGRAPHICA SINICA, 2023, 43(8): 1442-1450.

Figures/Tables 3

Fig. 1

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Table 1

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研究方法	方法类型	解决的问题	主要应用的流域	文献来源
系统动力学模型	仿真模型	定量分析水-能源-粮食关联关系的动态演变，揭示水资源利用价值对不同管理方案的反馈	青尼罗河	[54]
贝叶斯网络	概率图模型	模拟关联关系的强弱与不确定性，提升对复杂水资源系统演变过程中关联关系变化的认知	锡尔河	[38]
基于主体的耦合模型	集成模型	揭示自然界供水系统（降雨、河流径流）和人类用水部门之间的互馈关系	澜沧江-湄公河、尼日尔河	[39,42]
NEST	集成模型	模拟水、能源及土地资源系统应对未来经济发展和气候变化的脆弱性	印度河	[55]
DSS	集成模型	评估水-能源-粮食-环境关联关系，对流域可预见的决策方案进行模拟优化	梅克鲁河	[56]
水文经济模型	集成模型	量化关联关系系统指标的经济效益，模拟变化环境下资源效益变化特征	喜马拉雅河、青尼罗河、塞内加尔河	[40,57-58]
社会水文模型	集成模型	揭示气候变化、工程调度和政治权重变化、补偿机制等对跨境合作演化的影响规律	澜沧江-湄公河	[59]

Progress and prospect of water-energy-food nexus in the transboundary river basins

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