After analyzing the flaws of neighboring year comparison method in the evaluation of tourism crisis, the post-impact evaluation method of tourism crisis from emergent event was put forward based on the theory of tourism background trend line. Using the statistics data of Qin's Terra-cotta Museum from 1980 to 2005, taking the tourism crisis response to three breakout events in Qin's Terracotta Warriors and Horses Museum as an example, the four tourism background trend lines of inbound tourist, domestic tourist, total tourist arrivals and tourism income was found. And the post impact evaluation of three emergent events to Qin's Terra-cotta Museum's tourism development wasanalyzed, which are the Jun. 4 Event in Beijing in 1989, Asian Finance Crisis in 1998, and SARS pestilence in 2003, then the tourist loss, tourism income loss and impact time-table were explored.
SUN Gen-Nian, YU Li-Xin
. Research on Post-Emergent Event Tourism Crisis Based on Background Trend Line in Qin's Terra-cotta Museum[J]. SCIENTIA GEOGRAPHICA SINICA, 2008
, 28(1)
: 107
-112
.
DOI: 10.13249/j.cnki.sgs.2008.01.107
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