A climate risk assessment model, based on the suitability model, is established combining with the mean suitability level and the influence of the climate change. Using the glide modeling technology, the article analyzed and assessed the climate risk to rice of Huaihe River Basin. Considering the temperature, precipitation, hours of sunlight and climate risk degree for rice, the article divided Huaihe River Basin into three types of regions: the low risk region, the medium risk region and the high risk region. In recent years, the climate risk to rice has an increasing trend in the Huaihe River Basin. The low risk region of the eastern has the decreasing trend, on the contrary, high risk region of the western Huaihe River Basin has the increasing trend, even will be possibility extending to eastern coastal regions in the future.
YU Fen, QIAN Huai-sui, DUAN Hai-lai
. Assessing on Climate Risk to Rice in Huai River Basin[J]. SCIENTIA GEOGRAPHICA SINICA, 2011
, 31(4)
: 501
-507
.
DOI: 10.13249/j.cnki.sgs.2011.04.501
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