地理科学

地理科学 ›› 2011, Vol. 31 ›› Issue (6): 708-714.doi: 10.13249/j.cnki.sgs.2011.06.708

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陇中和鲁西南乡村居民对当地气候变化感知研究

常跟应, 李曼, 黄夫朋   

  1. 兰州大学西部环境教育部重点实验室 西部环境与气候变化研究院, 甘肃 兰州 730000
  • 收稿日期:2010-10-14 修回日期:2010-12-21 出版日期:2011-06-20 发布日期:2011-06-20
  • 基金资助:
    兰州大学中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金(lzujbky-2009-83)、国家创新研究群体科学基金(41021091)资助。

Perception of Local Climate Change of Rural Residents in Huining County and Southwestern Shandong Province

CHANG Gen-ying, LI Man, HUANG Fu-peng   

  1. Key Laboratory of Western China's Environmental System (Ministry 0f Education), Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, Gansu 730000, China
  • Received:2010-10-14 Revised:2010-12-21 Online:2011-06-20 Published:2011-06-20

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52

摘要： 基于问卷调查、气温和降水资料等气象资料以及农业灾害资料,分析甘肃省会宁县和山东省单县乡村居民对当地气候变化感知情况,探讨影响感知的因素。研究发现,绝大部分受访者在大部分情况下正确感知到气候变化,但感知及其影响因素较复杂。气候变化及其产生的影响是制约人们感知的最重要的要素,决定了感知的总体特征;感知也受相较调查时间而言较为显著的气候变化情况发生时间远近、极端天气事件和更长时间尺度的变化趋势等因素影响,这些因素虽然是非主流的,但其影响也可能是决定性的。

Abstract: Based on questionnaire survey, climate data and agricultural disaster data, this paper concerned about how the rural residents in Huining County of Gansu Province and in Shanxian of Shandong Province perceived local climate change in the past 20 years and which factors influenced their perceptions. It is found that at the most cases, the majority of respondents could perceive the trend of local climate change correctly. It is argued that perception of respondents of local climate change is decided basically by the trend of climate changes and its effects on their production and daily life, but other factors, such as obvious climate change occurred recently and extreme weather conditions, play a decisive role in some cases as well.

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