关键词: 梅汛期, 暴雨, 长江下游, 水位

Abstract:

By using the daily precipitation data of Jiangsu Province and daily hydrological data of Nanjing City during the period from 1961 to 2009, the climatic characteristics of Meiyu rainstorms in Jiangsu and their relationship with the water levels over the lower reaches of the Changjiang River were analyzed based on the fuzzy clustering, wavelet analysis, correlation analysis and other methods. Results show that during the Meiyu period, although with a significant regional differences, rainstorms appear in most regions of Jiangsu, and the more or less of the maganitude of their rainfall to a certain extent determine the abundance or dry of the total Meiyu rainfall for a certain year. The rainstorms during Meiyu period both in North and South Jiangsu show multiple time scale features, but their period and intensity changes with time have different performance on the interannual and interdecadal time-scale. The water level from June to July in Nanjing has the similar inter-annual, decadal periodic variation and abnormal years, and the correlation between the rainfall and water level in Nanjing has passed the 0.1 confidence level of significance test, which suggests a certain close relevance between the water level and rainstorm in Nanjing during the Meiyu period.

Key words: Meiyu period, rainstorm, lower reaches of the Changjiang River, water level