地理科学 ›› 2016, Vol. 36 ›› Issue (9): 1329-1337.doi: 10.13249/j.cnki.sgs.2016.09.006
收稿日期:
2016-04-26
修回日期:
2016-08-05
出版日期:
2016-09-20
发布日期:
2016-09-20
作者简介:
作者简介:郑蕾(1988-),女,讲师,河南南阳人,主要从事经济地理与区域发展研究。E-mail:
基金资助:
Lei Zheng1,2(), Yi Liu1,3, Weidong Liu1,2,3
Received:
2016-04-26
Revised:
2016-08-05
Online:
2016-09-20
Published:
2016-09-20
Supported by:
摘要:
对外直接投资不仅是东北三省建立全方位开放型经济体制的必经阶段,也是实现全面经济振兴的重要契机。在中国进入对外投资加速发展阶段的背景下,“一带一路”战略、东北亚经济圈建设等为东北三省对外直接投资发展提供了机遇。利用2003~2014年的省际对外直接投资规模、境外投资机构等数据,全面分析了东北三省对外直接投资的发展路径、空间特征及其在国内地位,并采用地理加权回归(GWR)模型深入地分析了东北三省对外直接投资的关键影响因素及其时空差异,最后提出相应的空间发展战略及政策建议。研究表明:① 东北三省对外直接投资主要集中在农、林、矿等资源型行业,具有显著的贸易服务、市场服务特征,并且对政府和国有经济的依赖较大;② 技术水平和金融环境对东北三省对外直接投资的推动力仍有较大的提升空间;③ 未来东北三省应推进企业联合投资和空间差异化投资战略,发挥国有企业的投资带动作用,加强对科技型企业和技术追寻型对外直接投资的鼓励和支持。
中图分类号:
郑蕾, 刘毅, 刘卫东. 东北三省对外直接投资空间格局及影响因素[J]. 地理科学, 2016, 36(9): 1329-1337.
Lei Zheng, Yi Liu, Weidong Liu. The Spatio-temporal Pattern Evolution of Northeast China’s Outward Direct Investment[J]. SCIENTIA GEOGRAPHICA SINICA, 2016, 36(9): 1329-1337.
表 3
东北三省GWR模型局部参数估计结果"
2003年 | 2013年 | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
辽宁 | 吉林 | 黑龙江 | 辽宁 | 吉林 | 黑龙江 | ||
Gdp | 0.952 | 0.970 | 0.984 | 2.984 | 2.978 | 2.975 | |
Ex | 0.182 | 0.177 | 0.168 | 2.443 | 2.430 | 2.398 | |
Res | -2.512 | -2.887 | -3.302 | 38.214 | 38.254 | 37.819 | |
Tec | -0.012 | -0.012 | -0.011 | 0.034 | 0.034 | 0.034 | |
Fin | 0.938 | 1.005 | 1.064 | -1.297 | -1.277 | -1.091 | |
Soe | 0.164 | 0.165 | 0.164 | 1.006 | 1.009 | 0.994 | |
Local R2 | 0.827 | 0.824 | 0.818 | 0.841 | 0.841 | 0.842 |
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