地理科学 ›› 2016, Vol. 36 ›› Issue (9): 1426-1436.doi: 10.13249/j.cnki.sgs.2016.09.016
仇方道1(), 刘继斌2, 唐晓丹1, 朱传耿3(
), 张纯敏1
收稿日期:
2015-09-15
修回日期:
2015-12-27
出版日期:
2016-09-20
发布日期:
2016-09-20
作者简介:
作者简介:仇方道(1970-),男,江苏徐州人,教授,博士,主要从事经济地理与区域可持续发展研究。E-mail:
基金资助:
Fangdao Qiu1(), Jibin Liu2, Xiaodan Tang1, Chuangeng Zhu3(
), Chunmin Zhang1
Received:
2015-09-15
Revised:
2015-12-27
Online:
2016-09-20
Published:
2016-09-20
Supported by:
摘要:
在GIS空间分析技术支持下,采用工业结构转型相关指数方法,深入分析了2000~2012年徐州都市圈工业结构转型的时空演化特征及其对区域发展的影响效应。发现:近10 a来徐州都市圈工业转型速度、高级化呈较快提升趋势,且与工业经济增长明显相关,但合理化程度下降;竞争优势行业和主导产业均呈向资本技术密集型行业演化趋势,但主导产业的支撑作用有待增强;空间上呈现先集聚后扩散趋势,不同行业空间集聚程度各异,形成了沿东陇海工业集聚发展轴;工业专业化分工呈现以徐州为核心向外技术水平下降的圈层式垂直分工格局;工业高级化和区域工业占有率对经济增长促进作用显著,而对能源消耗和工业SO2排放抑制作用明显,但不同尺度区域影响存在差异。
中图分类号:
仇方道, 刘继斌, 唐晓丹, 朱传耿, 张纯敏. 徐州都市圈工业结构转型及其影响效应分析[J]. 地理科学, 2016, 36(9): 1426-1436.
Fangdao Qiu, Jibin Liu, Xiaodan Tang, Chuangeng Zhu, Chunmin Zhang. Industrial Structure Transformation and Its Influence Effect in Xuzhou Metropolitan Area[J]. SCIENTIA GEOGRAPHICA SINICA, 2016, 36(9): 1426-1436.
表1
徐州都市圈工业结构演变对经济增长的影响"
解释变量 | 徐州都市圈 | 核心-外围区域 | 省际边界区域 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
核心区域 | 外围区域 | 苏北 | 鲁南 | 皖北 | 豫东 | |||
C(常量) | 6.3631*** (3.8567) | -4.996*** (-0.727) | 6.414*** (0.428) | -2.737*** (-0.534) | -5.968*** (-0.424) | 5.642*** (0.686) | 14.27*** (2.422) | |
H | 0.7665** (2.4811) | 1.384*** (1.37) | 1.665*** (0.611) | 1.811*** (1.534) | 2.755*** (1.246) | 0.901*** (0.591) | -1.022*** (-0.999) | |
R | -0.096 (-0.4359) | -0.951*** (-2.057) | 1.734*** (1.034) | -1.026*** (-0.606) | 2.574*** (1.222) | 0.582*** (-1.093) | 0.496*** (-0.407) | |
G | -1.3895*** (-2.6394) | 0.541*** (-0.887) | -4.841*** (-1.312) | -1.9*** (-1.475) | -4.893*** (-2.733) | -1.505*** (-0.424) | -3.487*** (-0.871) | |
e | 8.8528*** (3.7505) | 16.252*** (3.119) | -42.039*** (-1.744) | 18.785*** (2.273) | 13.957*** (2.075) | 34.811*** (1.655) | 35.053*** (1.385) | |
lnFDI | 0.1266* (1.1487) | 1.035*** (-1.775) | 0.179*** (-0.559) | 0.407*** (-1.49) | 0.469*** (-0.539) | 0.287*** (0.66) | 0.093*** (0.68) | |
lnGZ | 1.5103*** (10.8053) | 0.82*** (1.319) | 1.873*** (3.83) | 1.028*** (1.469) | 1.238*** (3.123) | 1.033*** (2.516) | 1.525*** (2.666) | |
R2 | 0.7678 | 0.976 | 0.93 | 0.962 | 0.882 | 0.922 | 0.922 | |
F | 57.7497 | 81.418 | 27.595 | 52.28 | 15.899 | 24.518 | 24.54 |
表2
徐州都市圈工业结构演变对能源消耗的影响"
解释变量 | 徐州都市圈 | 核心-外围区域 | 省际边界区域 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
核心区域 | 外围区域 | 苏北 | 鲁南 | 皖北 | 豫东 | |||
C(常量) | -6.6643*** (-5.6347) | 14.47*** (4.239) | 54.115*** (3.159) | 7.353*** (1.968) | 57.7*** (2.245) | -18.496*** (-1.043) | -8.981*** (-0.494) | |
H | -0.6491*** (-3.0843) | 1.139*** (1.604) | 0.006*** (0.002) | 1.599*** (0.517) | -7.931*** (-1.418) | 2.627*** (3.819) | 1.085*** (0.187) | |
R | 1.3455*** (6.6386) | -2.664*** (-4.658) | -10.515*** (-3.3) | -1.502*** (-1.589) | -9.744*** (-2.011) | 4.292*** (1.391) | 4.062*** (1.127) | |
G | 1.9697*** (3.6969) | 1.683*** (2.288) | 24.861*** (4.362) | 6.789*** (3.266) | 16.042*** (3.818) | 3.367*** (0.454) | 5.278*** (0.448) | |
e | -10.993*** (-5.1111) | 0.274*** (0.05) | -25.353*** (-0.502) | -15.581*** (-1.423) | -52.627*** (-2.731) | -96.125*** (-2.672) | -181.019*** (-3.483) | |
R2 | 0.7490 | 0.918 | 0.816 | 0.765 | 0.679 | 0.849 | 0.73 | |
F | 24.6462 | 34.59 | 14.262 | 10.478 | 7.333 | 17.816 | 5.412 |
表3
徐州都市圈工业结构演变对环境的影响"
解释变量 | 徐州都市圈 | 核心-外围区域 | 省际边界区域 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
核心区域 | 外围区域 | 苏北 | 鲁南 | 皖北 | 豫东 | |||
C(常量) | -8.1178*** (-7.3359) | 0.096*** (2.079) | 0.42*** (4.815) | 0.117*** (5.087) | 0.509*** (3.45) | 0.023*** (0.172) | 0.12*** (1.675) | |
H | -0.6296*** (-3.0073) | 0.005*** (0.504) | -0.011*** (-0.591) | -0.005*** (-0.261) | -0.033*** (-1.025) | 0.01*** (1.978) | -0.003*** (-0.125) | |
R | 0.6456*** (3.4824) | -0.022*** (-2.838) | -0.078*** (-4.825) | -0.021*** (-3.626) | -0.09*** (-3.217) | 0.001*** (0.013) | -0.012*** (-0.875) | |
G | 2.9788*** (5.4132) | 0.022*** (2.264) | 0.114*** (3.916) | 0.031*** (2.439) | 0.068*** (2.819) | 0.017*** (0.311) | 0.151*** (3.25) | |
e | -13.7711*** (-6.2609) | 0.051*** (0.683) | 0.178*** (-0.634) | -0.052*** (-0.777) | -0.199*** (-1.801) | -0.59*** (-2.205) | -1.062*** (-5.173) | |
R2 | 0.6642 | 0.844 | 0.868 | 0.892 | 0.683 | 0.646 | 0.739 | |
F | 16.6742 | 17.205 | 19.07 | 25.842 | 7.468 | 6.471 | 9.5 |
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