地理科学 ›› 2017, Vol. 37 ›› Issue (2): 181-189.doi: 10.13249/j.cnki.sgs.2017.02.003
收稿日期:
2016-01-19
修回日期:
2016-10-25
出版日期:
2017-02-25
发布日期:
2017-02-25
作者简介:
作者简介:陶卓霖(1990-),男,江西万载人,博士研究生,研究方向为城市与区域规划。E-mail:
基金资助:
Zhuolin Tao1,2(), Teqi Dai3(
), Qingjing Zheng3, Jinshe Liang3
Received:
2016-01-19
Revised:
2016-10-25
Online:
2017-02-25
Published:
2017-02-25
Supported by:
摘要:
目的地竞争模型是空间相互作用领域的重要进展之一,但其有效性尚未得到一致认可,且缺乏基于中国的实证依据。基于中国2010年城市间铁路客流数据,采用目的地竞争模型进行实证分析,并与传统空间相互作用模型相比较,以检验目的地竞争模型在实际应用中的有效性。结果表明:① 空间结构对中国城市间铁路客流存在显著影响,目的地之间存在较强的竞争效应;② 目的地竞争模型的引入显著地减弱了距离衰减参数的空间自相关程度,较大程度上改善了传统空间相互作用模型的距离衰减参数标定偏误问题;③ 既有研究中在区域尺度下对传统空间相互作用模型(即重力模型)参数的标定及实证分析可能会存在偏误,目的地竞争模型这一改进模型具备应用价值。
中图分类号:
陶卓霖, 戴特奇, 郑清菁, 梁进社. 空间相互作用模型中的目的地竞争效应 ——基于中国城市间铁路客流数据的实证研究[J]. 地理科学, 2017, 37(2): 181-189.
Zhuolin Tao, Teqi Dai, Qingjing Zheng, Jinshe Liang. Competing Effects Among Destinations in Spatial Interaction Models:An Empirical Study Based on Intercity Railway Passenger Data of China[J]. SCIENTIA GEOGRAPHICA SINICA, 2017, 37(2): 181-189.
表4
本研究结果与相关研究的比较"
研究案例 | 估计值 | 单约束空间相互作用模型 | 目的地竞争模型 |
---|---|---|---|
Ishikawa[ 数据集一 | β | -1.06 | -1.08 |
γ | — | 0.28 | |
G | 0.157 | 0.160 | |
Ishikawa[ 数据集二 | β | -0.97 | -0.87 |
γ | — | -0.44 | |
G | 0.148 | 0.138 | |
Ishikawa[ 数据集三 | β | -1.31 | -1.35 |
γ | — | 0.19 | |
G | 0.230 | 0.228 | |
Hu和Pooler[ | β | -0.49 | -0.76 |
Z-Score | 5.5* | 3.2* | |
PM | 30.4 | 25.4 | |
本研究 | β | -1.108 | -1.165 |
γ | — | -1.475 | |
Z-Score | 9.04*** | 2.73*** | |
G | 0.731 | 0.777 | |
PM | 47.55 | 49.71 |
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