地理科学 ›› 2017, Vol. 37 ›› Issue (5): 738-747.doi: 10.13249/j.cnki.sgs.2017.05.011
收稿日期:
2016-07-10
修回日期:
2016-09-20
出版日期:
2017-05-25
发布日期:
2017-05-25
作者简介:
作者简介:朱道才(1966-),男,安徽和县人,教授,硕导,主要研究方向为城市地理与城市经济。E-mail:
基金资助:
Daocai Zhu1,2, Jiamin Sun1, Lin Lu2()
Received:
2016-07-10
Revised:
2016-09-20
Online:
2017-05-25
Published:
2017-05-25
Supported by:
摘要:
从城市产业角度出发,依据2009~2014年的相关数据,采用城市流和ESDA模型对合肥经济圈空间关联进行分析,揭示空间相互作用的时间演变过程和空间分布。结果表明:① 经济圈形成了较稳定的中心-外围格局,空间结构呈现以合肥为中心圈层式向外辐射状,淮南和六安有望成为次增长极。② 经济圈产业外向功能性不强且出现异化,城市流倾向度呈现明显的等级异质性和不均衡性。③ 经济圈产业外向发展存在显著的空间依赖性,空间自相关符合距离衰减规律。④ 经济圈区域不平衡态势明显,空间关联的时空分异特征明显。应推进区域一体化,加快区域协调发展。
中图分类号:
朱道才, 孙家敏, 陆林. 合肥经济圈空间关联时空演进研究[J]. 地理科学, 2017, 37(5): 738-747.
Daocai Zhu, Jiamin Sun, Lin Lu. Spatial-temporal Evolution of Hefei Economic Circle’s Spatial Correlation[J]. SCIENTIA GEOGRAPHICA SINICA, 2017, 37(5): 738-747.
表1
合肥经济圈城市流强度全局自相关指数随临界距离变化"
年份 | 距离(km) | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
76 | 89 | 102 | 115 | 127 | 140 | 153 | 165 | 178 | 190 | |
2009 | 0.1773 | 0.1731 | 0.1701 | 0.1679 | 0.1658 | 0.1649 | 0.1634 | 0.1621 | 0.1611 | 0.1598 |
2010 | 0.1501 | 0.1553 | 0.1569 | 0.1547 | 0.1539 | 0.1512 | 0.1498 | 0.1475 | 0.1453 | 0.1422 |
2011 | 0.1121 | 0.1192 | 0.1185 | 0.1199 | 0.1163 | 0.1147 | 0.1132 | 0.1123 | 0.1119 | 0.1109 |
2012 | 0.2311 | 0.2297 | 0.2277 | 0.2254 | 0.2231 | 0.2210 | 0.2191 | 0.2145 | 0.2123 | 0.2049 |
2013 | 0.2456 | 0.2412 | 0.2374 | 0.2325 | 0.2230 | 0.2131 | 0.2087 | 0.2103 | 0.2090 | 0.1893 |
2014 | 0.1488 | 0.1542 | 0.1501 | 0.1487 | 0.1456 | 0.1431 | 0.1412 | 0.1378 | 0.1353 | 0.1346 |
表3
合肥经济圈外向功能量和城市流倾向度"
行业 | 制造业 | 建筑业 | 交通运 输业等 | 信息传 输业等 | 批发和 零售业 | 住宿和 餐饮业 | 金融业 | 房地 产业 | 科学研 究等 | 教育 | 卫生 业等 | 文化 业等 | 公共管 理业等 | 外向功能 | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ei | Ki | |||||||||||||||
2009年 | 合肥 | 1.188 | 0.081 | 0.412 | 0.035 | 0.438 | 0.168 | 0 | 0 | 0.552 | 0 | 0 | 0.169 | 0 | 3.043 | 0.064 |
六安 | 0 | 0.800 | 0 | 0.039 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.543 | 0.225 | 0 | 0.354 | 1.960 | 0.263 | |
巢湖 | 0.300 | 0 | 0 | 0.025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.202 | 0.111 | 0 | 0.376 | 1.014 | 0.220 | |
淮南 | 0.110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.162 | 0.315 | 0 | 0.338 | 0.145 | 0 | 0 | 1.070 | 0.078 | |
桐城 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.004 | 0.053 | 0 | 0.027 | 0 | 0 | 0.473 | 0.121 | 0.007 | 0.198 | 0.882 | 0.481 | |
2010年 | 合肥 | 1.581 | 0.185 | 0.497 | 0.056 | 0.634 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.546 | 0 | 0 | 0.163 | 0 | 3.663 | 0.066 |
六安 | 0 | 0.674 | 0 | 0.020 | 0 | 0.208 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.505 | 0.202 | 0 | 0.324 | 1.933 | 0.221 | |
巢湖 | 0.173 | 0 | 0 | 0.027 | 0 | 0 | 0.003 | 0 | 0 | 0.267 | 0.164 | 0 | 0.447 | 1.081 | 0.235 | |
淮南 | 0 | 0.078 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.169 | 0.449 | 0 | 0.412 | 0.204 | 0 | 0.026 | 1.337 | 0.094 | |
桐城 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.004 | 0.029 | 0 | 0.040 | 0 | 0 | 0.496 | 0.128 | 0.009 | 0.219 | 0.926 | 0.486 | |
2011年 | 合肥 | 2.646 | 1.018 | 0.456 | 0.136 | 0 | 0 | 0.122 | 0 | 0.707 | 0 | 0 | 0.091 | 0 | 5.175 | 0.073 |
六安 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.574 | 0.883 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 0.824 | 4.282 | 0.265 | |
淮南 | 0 | 0.088 | 0.048 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.282 | 0.521 | 0 | 0.738 | 0.438 | 0 | 0.098 | 2.214 | 0.129 | |
桐城 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.009 | 0 | 0 | 0.060 | 0 | 0 | 0.557 | 0.154 | 0.010 | 0.232 | 1.022 | 0.499 | |
2012年 | 合肥 | 1.877 | 4.107 | 0.055 | 0.011 | 0 | 0 | 0.014 | 0 | 0.683 | 0 | 0 | 0.060 | 0 | 6.808 | 0.235 |
六安 | 0.577 | 0.172 | 0.056 | 0.127 | 3.574 | 1.321 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.185 | 0.181 | 0.134 | 1.230 | 7.557 | 1.891 | |
淮南 | 0 | 0 | 0.208 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.375 | 0.706 | 0 | 0.936 | 0.494 | 0 | 0.281 | 2.999 | 0.536 | |
桐城 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.182 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.182 | 0.077 | |
2013年 | 合肥 | 0 | 7.174 | 0.221 | 0.250 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.248 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.893 | 0.074 |
六安 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.772 | 1.194 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.146 | 1.059 | 5.171 | 0.260 | |
淮南 | 0.430 | 0 | 0.206 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.384 | 0.664 | 0.114 | 1.222 | 0.690 | 0 | 0.562 | 4.273 | 0.259 | |
桐城 | 0.045 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.030 | 0 | 0 | 0.514 | 0.112 | 0 | 0.198 | 0.899 | 0.255 | |
2014年 | 合肥 | 1.986 | 12.266 | 0.945 | 0.391 | 1.502 | 0.553 | 0 | 0.077 | 0.814 | 0 | 0 | 0.213 | 0 | 18.747 | 0.171 |
六安 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.166 | 0.075 | 0 | 0.088 | 0.329 | 0.014 | |
淮南 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.311 | 0.439 | 0 | 0.662 | 0.358 | 0 | 0.375 | 2.146 | 0.086 | |
桐城 | 2.812 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.220 | 0 | 0 | 0.032 | 3.064 | 0.376 | |
滁州 | 1.064 | 0 | 0.275 | 0.260 | 0 | 0 | 0.214 | 0 | 0 | 0.215 | 0.121 | 0 | 0.422 | 2.571 | 0.294 |
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