区域碳排放转移的演变特征与结构分解及减排对策分析——以河南省为例

doi:10.13249/j.cnki.sgs.2017.05.015

地理科学 ›› 2017, Vol. 37 ›› Issue (5): 773-782.doi: 10.13249/j.cnki.sgs.2017.05.015

区域碳排放转移的演变特征与结构分解及减排对策分析——以河南省为例

钟章奇¹(), 吴乐英², 陈志建³, 何凌云⁴()

1.浙江财经大学经济学院, 浙江杭州 310018
2. 华东师范大学地理信息科学教育部重点实验室, 上海 200241
3.华东交通大学经济管理学院, 江西南昌 330013
4.中国矿业大学管理学院, 江苏徐州 221116

收稿日期:2016-07-25 修回日期:2016-09-11 出版日期:2017-05-25 发布日期:2017-05-25
作者简介:
作者简介：钟章奇（1985-）,男,湖南岳阳人,讲师,博士,主要研究方向为区域科学与管理、经济政策模拟。E-mail: zzqi111@163.com
基金资助:
国家自然科学基金项目（71203219,41501133）、教育部人文社会科学研究规划基金项目（16YJAZH015）、江西省社会科学规划项目（15YJ36）资助

Evolution Characteristics and Structural Decomposition of Regional Carbon Emission Transfer and Implications for Carbon-Reduction Policy: Taking Henan Province as An Example

Zhangqi Zhong¹(), Leying Wu², Zhijian Chen³, Lingyun He⁴()

1. School of Economics, Zhejiang University of Finance & Economics, Hangzhou 310018, Zhejiang, China;
2. Key Laboratory of Geographic Information Science, East China Normal University, Ministry of Education, Shanghai 200241, China
3.College of Economics and Management, East China Jiaotong University, Nanchang 330013, Jiangxi, China
4.School of Management, China University of Mining and Technology, Xuzhou 221116, Jiangsu, China

Received:2016-07-25 Revised:2016-09-11 Online:2017-05-25 Published:2017-05-25
Supported by:
National Nature Science Foundation of China (71203219,41501133), Ministry of Education Research in the Humanities and Social Sciences Planning Fund(16YJAZH015), Social Science Planning Project of Jiangxi Province(15YJ36)

摘要/Abstract

摘要：

通过耦合投入产出分析方法和结构分解模型,探讨2002~2010年区域碳排放转移的演变特征、驱动因素及其地理源特征。研究发现：2002~2010年流出和流入河南省的贸易隐含碳排放均处于不断增加的趋势,其中流出贸易隐含碳排放主要是受外部最终需求的影响,且主要集中在中国的中部和东南部地区,而流入贸易隐含碳排放则主要是受本地最终需求和本地最终产品结构的影响最为显著,且主要来源于中国的东部、东北部和中部地区。研究还发现,为减轻贸易对区域碳排放及其减排责任的影响,开展区域合作来共同减排比单个地区独自应对更为有利,但在区域合作中各地区的获益程度可能会有所差别。

关键词: 贸易隐含碳, 投入产出分析, 地理源, 区域合作, 河南

Abstract:

Carbon emission embodied in trade plays an important role in reducing regional obligations towards carbon emission reduction in regional climate policy. Based on a multi-regional input-output analysis and structural decomposition method, this article analyzes the changes and geographic sources of the emissions embodied in trade in Henan Province, and examines how and why the EET changed in Henan Province in 2002-2010. Moreover, in policy terms, regional climate policy options that potentially reduce the impact of trade on individual region like Henan Province are also discussed. One finding from this study is that with the significantly increasing of the emissions embodied in exports and emissions embodied in imports in Henan Province in 2002-2010 in China, for Henan Province, the trend in terms of the geographic separation of consumers and the pollution emitted during the production of consumable items is increasing significantly. Furthermore, in terms of the driving forces onthe embodied emissions changes, emissions embodied in exports is affected most by demand in the other regions of China and production in the local region, while emissions embodied in imports is largely determined by demand in the local region and production in the other regions of China. In addition, for Henan’s emissions embodied in exports, their geographic sources are be mainly located in the central part of China and the southeastern China, whereas the geographic sources of the Henan’s emissions embodied in imports are primarily concentrated in the east of China, northeastern China and the central part of China. Another important finding is that if regions like Henan Province take binding commitments as a part of a coalition, instead of as individual regions, then the impacts of trade can be reduced. Notably, however, the extent of reduction in a coalition varies in different regions. Therefore, it is necessary that those regions that benefit most should provide financial and technological aid to those regions that suffer most or benefit least in climate policy.

Key words: carbon emissions embodied in trade, input-output analysis, geographic sources, regional cooperation, Henan Province

中图分类号:

F119

钟章奇, 吴乐英, 陈志建, 何凌云. 区域碳排放转移的演变特征与结构分解及减排对策分析——以河南省为例[J]. 地理科学, 2017, 37(5): 773-782.

Zhangqi Zhong, Leying Wu, Zhijian Chen, Lingyun He. Evolution Characteristics and Structural Decomposition of Regional Carbon Emission Transfer and Implications for Carbon-Reduction Policy: Taking Henan Province as An Example[J]. SCIENTIA GEOGRAPHICA SINICA, 2017, 37(5): 773-782.

图/表 6

表1

驱动河南贸易隐含碳排放演变的因素"

因素	含义
$Δ w r$	河南省的碳排放强度
$Δ w - r$	除河南省外的中国其他省区的碳排放强度
$Δ T r$	河南省的中间投入结构
$Δ T - r$	除河南省外的中国其他省区的中间投入结构
$Δ H r$	河南省的生产技术
$Δ H - r$	除河南省外的中国其他省区的生产技术
$Δ D r$	河南省的最终消费贸易结构
$Δ D - r$	除河南省外的中国其他省区的最终消费贸易结构
$Δ q r$	河南省的最终消费需求
$Δ q - r$	除河南省外的中国其他省区的最终消费需求

表1

表2

表3

河南省的流出贸易隐含碳因素分解（%）"

	$ΔEEE$	$Δ w r$	$Δ w - r$	$Δ T r$	$Δ T - r$	$Δ H r$	$Δ H - r$	$Δ D r$	$Δ D - r$	$Δ q r$	$Δ q - r$
$t 1$	134.4	12.2	1.2	32.0	0.7	-38.8	9.2	25.1	0.9	0.6	83.2
$t 2$	25.4	-15.9	-1.5	-12.4	-0.6	-2.3	4.3	6.8	0.3	0.6	58.4
$t 3$	194.0	-5.6	-0.4	14.6	0.3	-41.5	12.5	38.5	1.2	1.4	190.9

表3

表4

河南省的流入贸易隐含碳因素分解（%）"

	$ΔEEI$	$Δ w r$	$Δ w - r$	$Δ T r$	$Δ T - r$	$Δ H r$	$Δ H - r$	$Δ D r$	$Δ D - r$	$Δ q r$	$Δ q - r$
$t 1$	136.7	0.1	17.5	2.7	4.5	-26.6	4.7	21.5	0.1	89.1	6.1
$t 2$	52.0	-0.2	-18.8	-3.7	1.2	-1.3	2.8	8.0	0.1	67.5	4.9
$t 3$	259.9	-0.1	-5.6	0.1	5.9	-28.1	6.2	32.7	0.2	215.9	12.3

表4

图1

图2

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	1	2	3	4	5	6	汇总
年份	EEE(EEI)	EEE(EEI)	EEE(EEI)	EEE(EEI)	EEE(EEI)	EEE(EEI)	EEE(EEI)
2002	2.8(1.9)	38.9(37.4)	15.3(4.1)	1.13(1.7)	1.82(0.6)	7.0(3.9)	67.0(49.7)
2007	5.2(3.8)	85.2(85.0)	46.7(13.4)	1.84(1.3)	3.56(1.5)	14.6(12.6)	157.1(117.6)
2010	4.8(4.4)	121.1(141.8)	49.3(15.1)	2.06(1.0)	4.36(2.1)	15.3(14.5)	197.0(178.8)

区域碳排放转移的演变特征与结构分解及减排对策分析——以河南省为例

Evolution Characteristics and Structural Decomposition of Regional Carbon Emission Transfer and Implications for Carbon-Reduction Policy: Taking Henan Province as An Example

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