地理科学 ›› 2017, Vol. 37 ›› Issue (11): 1649-1658.doi: 10.13249/j.cnki.sgs.2017.11.006
收稿日期:
2016-12-05
修回日期:
2017-04-12
出版日期:
2017-11-20
发布日期:
2017-11-20
作者简介:
作者简介:吕海萍(1976-),女,浙江嵊州人,博士研究生,讲师,主要从事创新地理学、空间计量和区域经济学研究。E-mail:
基金资助:
Haiping Lyu1,2(), Renyong Chi1(
), Xiangyu Hua3
Received:
2016-12-05
Revised:
2017-04-12
Online:
2017-11-20
Published:
2017-11-20
Supported by:
摘要:
以中国31个省域为空间样本,运用趋势面、引力模型和探索性空间数据分析法研究中国创新资源协同空间联系的动态变化特征,通过构建创新资源协同势能与区域经济增长空间面板计量模型,实证探讨创新资源协同空间联系与区域经济增长关系。研究结果表明:2003~2014年中国各省域创新资源协同状况整体呈现“东南高,西北低”的空间分布特征;创新资源协同空间联系呈现显著的区域不平衡性,空间网络结构分布格局变化显著:从简单雏形逐渐发育为“鸡爪型”、多核心复杂化的“网络型”空间结构;创新资源协同势能呈现显著的空间正相关,主要向东部沿海地区集聚;实证结果显示中国区域经济增长存在显著的空间溢出效应,创新资源协同空间联系对区域经济增长表现出显著的促进效应,可以通过直接效应、间接效应和总效应空间溢出促进区域经济增长。
中图分类号:
吕海萍, 池仁勇, 化祥雨. 创新资源协同空间联系与区域经济增长——基于中国省域数据的实证分析[J]. 地理科学, 2017, 37(11): 1649-1658.
Haiping Lyu, Renyong Chi, Xiangyu Hua. Spatial Linkages of Innovative Resources Synergy and Its Impacts on Regional Economic Growth: An Empirical Study Based on Chinese Provincial Data[J]. SCIENTIA GEOGRAPHICA SINICA, 2017, 37(11): 1649-1658.
表1
中国各省域创新资源协同势能比重值 (%)"
省市 | 2003年 | 2009年 | 2014年 | 省市 | 2003年 | 2009年 | 2014年 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
北京 | 22.76 | 12.42 | 8.61 | 湖北 | 3.19 | 2.63 | 2.64 |
天津 | 3.53 | 2.12 | 2.58 | 湖南 | 0.83 | 1.17 | 1.28 |
河北 | 2.22 | 1.19 | 1.20 | 广东 | 8.70 | 10.46 | 11.89 |
山西 | 0.39 | 0.49 | 0.24 | 广西 | 0.11 | 0.12 | 0.11 |
内蒙古 | 0.06 | 0.11 | 0.11 | 海南 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
辽宁 | 3.90 | 1.53 | 0.87 | 重庆 | 0.26 | 0.23 | 0.26 |
吉林 | 0.43 | 0.23 | 0.11 | 四川 | 2.83 | 1.23 | 0.95 |
黑龙江 | 0.70 | 0.35 | 0.14 | 贵州 | 0.05 | 0.03 | 0.03 |
上海 | 9.07 | 10.02 | 7.25 | 云南 | 0.08 | 0.05 | 0.04 |
江苏 | 16.60 | 24.49 | 27.04 | 西藏 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
浙江 | 5.29 | 13.30 | 14.47 | 陕西 | 3.20 | 1.19 | 0.85 |
安徽 | 1.50 | 2.01 | 3.45 | 甘肃 | 0.15 | 0.05 | 0.04 |
福建 | 0.91 | 0.97 | 1.47 | 青海 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
江西 | 0.34 | 0.36 | 0.26 | 宁夏 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
山东 | 11.11 | 11.07 | 11.83 | 新疆 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
河南 | 1.78 | 2.18 | 2.27 |
表2
中国创新资源协同势能全局Moran’s I指数"
年份 | Moran’s I值 | Z值 | P值 |
---|---|---|---|
2003 | 0.1504 | 1.8826 | 0.0597* |
2004 | 0.1761 | 2.2008 | 0.0277** |
2005 | 0.2026 | 2.4129 | 0.0158** |
2006 | 0.2548 | 2.8354 | 0.0045*** |
2007 | 0.2524 | 2.7766 | 0.0054*** |
2008 | 0.2833 | 3.1017 | 0.0019*** |
2009 | 0.3066 | 3.4602 | 0.0005*** |
2010 | 0.2947 | 3.3552 | 0.0007*** |
2011 | 0.2985 | 3.3643 | 0.0007*** |
2012 | 0.2934 | 3.3662 | 0.0007*** |
2013 | 0.3088 | 3.6019 | 0.0003*** |
2014 | 0.3157 | 3.7152 | 0.0002*** |
表3
创新资源协同空间联系与区域经济增长回归估计结果"
变量 | OLS | SLPDM | SEPDM | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
模型I | 模型II | 模型I | 模型II | 模型I | 模型II | |
C | 6.5573③ | 6.3734③ | ||||
LnK | 0.3548③ | 0.3524③ | 0.3419③ | 0.3328③ | 0.3512③ | 0.3419③ |
LnL | 0.1911① | 0.1683① | 0.2201② | 0.1923① | 0.1873① | 0.1493① |
LnIP | 0.0212② | 0.0396③ | 0.0249② | |||
LnM | 0.0036 | 0.0028 | 0.0051 | 0.0041 | 0.0035 | 0.0024 |
LnIN | 0.0032 | 0.0031 | 0.0018 | 0.0012 | 0.0029 | 0.0027 |
0.1554③ | 0.2113③ | 0.1122 | 0.1735② | |||
R2 | 0.9919 | 0.9920 | 0.9922 | 0.9926 | 0.9919 | 0.9920 |
Log-L | 519.7319 | 522.3663 | 523.7828 | 527.2375 | 519.8546 | 523.0561 |
表4
创新资源协同空间联系对经济增长的直接效应、间接效应和总效应"
变量 | 直接效应 | 间接效应 | 总效应 | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
模型I | 模型II | 模型I | 模型II | 模型I | 模型II | |
LnK | 0.3438③ | 0.3368③ | 0.0632② | 0.0854③ | 0.4071③ | 0.4223③ |
LnL | 0.2204① | 0.1896① | 0.0408① | 0.0487① | 0.2612① | 0.2384① |
LnIP | 0.0399③ | 0.0102② | 0.0502③ | |||
LnM | 0.0050 | 0.0041 | 0.0009 | 0.0011 | 0.0060 | 0.0052 |
LnIN | 0.0021 | 0.0012 | 0.0004 | 0.0003 | 0.0026 | 0.0015 |
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