地理科学 ›› 2018, Vol. 38 ›› Issue (1): 107-113.doi: 10.13249/j.cnki.sgs.2018.01.012
收稿日期:
2017-02-25
修回日期:
2017-05-03
出版日期:
2018-01-10
发布日期:
2018-01-10
作者简介:
作者简介:胡宇娜(1980-),女,山东青岛人,讲师,博士,主要从事旅游经济和旅游电子商务研究。E-mail:
基金资助:
Yuna Hu1(), Lin Mei2, Jianguo Wei1
Received:
2017-02-25
Revised:
2017-05-03
Online:
2018-01-10
Published:
2018-01-10
Supported by:
摘要:
基于DEA模型对中国31个省域的旅行社业效率空间分异特征进行了分析,首次运用GWR模型探索交通、资本、人才、信息化和经济动力对区域旅行社业效率影响的空间差异。结果表明:旅行社业效率在空间上具有正相关性和集聚特征,空间格局从“川”字型向“山”字型转变。各动力因子的系数均存在空间非平稳性。资本和人才动力的回归系数在空间分布上从南向北依次递减;经济动力的分布趋势为从北向南依次递减;交通动力对中西部地区旅行社效率提升的促进作用显著于东部地区;信息化动力则在东部地区表现出较强的促进作用。
中图分类号:
胡宇娜, 梅林, 魏建国. 基于GWR模型的中国区域旅行社业效率空间分异及动力机制分析[J]. 地理科学, 2018, 38(1): 107-113.
Yuna Hu, Lin Mei, Jianguo Wei. Spatial Differentiation and Dynamic Mechanism of Regional Travel Agency Efficiency in China Based on GWR Model[J]. SCIENTIA GEOGRAPHICA SINICA, 2018, 38(1): 107-113.
表2
2002~2014年旅行社业效率Moran’s I值"
年份 | 2002 | 2003 | 2004 | 2005 | 2006 | 2007 | 2008 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Moran’s | 0.136 | 0.2274 | 0.2938 | 0.2476 | 0.3233 | 0.3157 | 0.3157 |
Z | 2.1184 | 2.248 | 2.8138 | 2.4017 | 3.0446 | 2.9805 | 2.9805 |
P | 0.034 | 0.0246 | 0.0051 | 0.0163 | 0.0023 | 0.0029 | 0.0029 |
年份 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | |
Moran’s | 0.3172 | 0.2269 | 0.3172 | 0.0612 | -0.0797 | 0.2768 | |
Z | 2.9842 | 2.2230 | 2.9842 | 0.8194 | -0.4155 | 2.877 | |
P | 0.0028 | 0.0326 | 0.0028 | 0.4125 | 0.6778 | 0.004 |
[1] |
Anderson R I, Lewis D, Parker M E.Another look at the efficiency of corporate travel management departments[J].Journal of Travel Research,1999,37(3):267-272.
doi: 10.1177/004728759903700308 |
[2] |
Fuentes R.Efficiency of travel agencies:A case study of Alicante,Spain[J].Tourism Management,2011,32(1):75-87.
doi: 10.1016/j.tourman.2009.12.003 |
[3] |
Topolšek D,Mrnjavac E,Kovačić N.Integration of travel agencies with transport providers[J].Tourism Management Perspectives,2014,9(2):14-23.
doi: 10.1016/j.tmp.2013.11.003 |
[4] |
George Assaf A.Benchmarking the Asia Pacific tourism industry:A Bayesian combination of DEA and stochastic frontier[J].Tourism Management,2012,33(5):1122-1127.
doi: 10.1016/j.tourman.2011.11.021 |
[5] |
Chou J R, Shieh C J, Huang K P.A study of the performance on human resource management strategy in tourism industry with data envelopment analysis[J]. Pakistan Journal of Statistics,2012,28(5):735-741.
doi: 10.1080/01621459.2012.738580 |
[6] | 方叶林,黄震方,余凤龙,等.省际旅游资源相对效率的演化分析[J].地理科学,2013,33(11):1354-1361. |
[Fang Yelin, Huang Zhenfang,Yu Fenglonget al. The asynchronous phenomenon and relative efficiency of tourism resources in China: Taking the 31 provinces’ panel data from 2001 to 2009 for an example.Scientia Geographic Sinica,2013,33(11):1354-1361.] | |
[7] |
虞虎,陆林,李亚娟.湖泊型国家级风景名胜区的旅游效率特征、类型划分及其提升路径[J].地理科学,2015,35(10):1247-1255.
doi: 10.1631/jzus.B1000185 |
[Yu Hu, Lu Lin, Li Yajuan.Tourism efficiency evaluation classification and ascension path of lake-type Chinese national scenic area. Scientia Geographica Sinica,2015,35(10):1247-1255.]
doi: 10.1631/jzus.B1000185 |
|
[8] |
王兆峰,李丹.基于交通网络的区域旅游空间合作效率评价与差异变化分析——以湘西地区为例[J].地理科学,2016,36(11):1697-1705.
doi: 10.13249/j.cnki.sgs.2016.11.012 |
[Wang Zhaofeng, Li Dan.Regional Tourism Space Cooperation Efficiency Evaluation and Difference Change Based on Traffic Network: A Case of the Western Hunan, China.Scientia Geographica Sinica,2016,36(11):1697-1705.]
doi: 10.13249/j.cnki.sgs.2016.11.012 |
|
[9] |
姚治国,陈田,尹寿兵,等.区域旅游生态效率实证分析——以海南省为例[J].地理科学,2016, 36(3): 417-423
doi: 10.13249/j.cnki.sgs.2016.03.013 |
[Yao Zhiguo,Chen Tian,Yin Shoubinget al.Regional Tourism Eco-Efficiency Model and an Empirical Research of Hainan Province.Scientia Geographica Sinica,2016, 36(3): 417-423.]
doi: 10.13249/j.cnki.sgs.2016.03.013 |
|
[10] |
胡志毅. 基于DEA-Malmquist模型的中国旅行社业发展效率特征分析[J].旅游学刊,2015,30(5):23-30.
doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1002-5006.2015.05.003 |
[Hu Zhiyi.An Analysis of the Efficiency Characteristics of the Travel Agency Industry of China:Based on A DEA-Malmquist Model.Tourism Tribune,2015,30(5):23-30.]
doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1002-5006.2015.05.003 |
|
[11] | 孙景荣,张捷,章锦河,等.中国区域旅行社业效率的空间分异研究[J].地理科学,2014,34(4):430-437. |
[Sun Jingrong, Zhang Jie,Zhang Jinheet al.Spatial differentiation of efficiency of Chinese regional travel service industry. Scientia Geographic Sinic,2014,34(4): 430-437.] | |
[12] | Tu J, Xia Z G.Examining spatially varying relationships between land use and water quality wsing geographically weighted regression: Model design and evalution[J]. Science of the Total Environment,2009,407(1):358-378. |
[13] |
方远平,谢蔓,毕斗斗等.中国入境旅游的空间关联特征及其影响因素探析——基于地理加权回归的视角[J].旅游科学,2014,28(3):22-35.
doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1006-575X.2014.03.003 |
[Fang Yuanping,Xie Man,Bi Doudouet al. An exploratory analysis on the spatial correlation characteristics and influential factors of inbound tourism in China: A geograpyical weighted regression perspective. Tourism Science,2014,28(3):22-35.]
doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1006-575X.2014.03.003 |
|
[14] |
吴玉鸣. 中国省域旅游业弹性系数的空间异质性估计——基于地理加权回归模型的实证[J].旅游学刊,2013,28(2):35-43.
doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1002-5006.2013.02.003 |
[Wu Yuming.Spatial heterogene estimation of regional tourism industry elasticity in Chinese provinces: A geogaphically weighted regression study. Tourism Tribune,2013,28(2):35-43.]
doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1002-5006.2013.02.003 |
|
[15] | 庞瑞秋,腾飞,魏冶.基于地理加权回归的吉林省人口城镇化动力机制分析[J].地理科学,2014,34(10):1210-1217. |
[Pang Ruiqiu,Teng Fei,Wei Ye.A GWR-based study on dynamic mechanism of population in Jilin province. Scientia Geographica Sinica,2014,34(10):1210-1217.] | |
[16] | 中国国家旅游局.中国旅游统计年鉴及副本(2003~2015)[M].北京:中国旅游出版社,2003-2013. |
[China National Tourism Administration.The Yearbook of China Tourism Statistics(&supplement) (2003-2013).Beijing: China Travel & Tourism Press,2003-2015.] | |
[17] | 中华人民共和国国家统计局.中国统计年鉴(2003~2015)[M].北京:中国统计出版社,2003-2015. |
[National Bureau of Statistics of the People’s Republic of China. China statistical yearbook (2003-2013).Beijing: China Travel & Tourism Press,2003-2015.] |
[1] | 辛晓华, 吕拉昌. 中国主要城市技术创新影响环境污染的空间分异与机理[J]. 地理科学, 2021, 41(1): 129-139. |
[2] | 俞佳立, 杨上广. 长三角医疗卫生支出效率的时空演化研究[J]. 地理科学, 2020, 40(9): 1429-1438. |
[3] | 郭艳花, 梅林, 佟连军. 产业集聚对绿色发展效率的影响机制[J]. 地理科学, 2020, 40(9): 1484-1492. |
[4] | 王松茂, 褚玉静, 郭安禧, 郭英之. “一带一路”沿线重点省份旅游经济高质量发展研究[J]. 地理科学, 2020, 40(9): 1505-1512. |
[5] | 汪艳涛, 张娅娅. 生态效率区域差异及其与产业结构升级交互空间溢出效应[J]. 地理科学, 2020, 40(8): 1276-1284. |
[6] | 王兆峰, 刘庆芳. 产业融合背景下运动休闲特色小镇的空间分异及形成因素[J]. 地理科学, 2020, 40(8): 1310-1318. |
[7] | 魏宗财, 甄峰, 莫海彤, 刘晨瑜, 彭丹丽. 基于地理加权回归的中心城区共享单车出行特征及影响因素研究[J]. 地理科学, 2020, 40(7): 1082-1091. |
[8] | 汪言在, 董一帆, 刘目兴, 王勇. 土壤理化性质空间分布及其相关关系分析[J]. 地理科学, 2020, 40(7): 1191-1201. |
[9] | 王晓辰, 韩增林, 彭飞, 蔡先哲. 中国海洋科技创新效率发展格局演变与类型划分[J]. 地理科学, 2020, 40(6): 890-899. |
[10] | 曾冰. 基于NPP/VIIRS夜间灯光数据的湘鄂赣省际交界区县域经济空间格局及影响因素[J]. 地理科学, 2020, 40(6): 900-907. |
[11] | 郭政, 陈爽, 姚士谋, 熊传合. 肯尼亚交通优势度及其空间分异格局分析[J]. 地理科学, 2020, 40(6): 956-964. |
[12] | 张新林, 仇方道, 谭俊涛, 王长建. 中国工业生态效率时空分异特征及其影响因素解析[J]. 地理科学, 2020, 40(3): 335-343. |
[13] | 王凯, 张淑文, 甘畅, 杨亚萍, 刘浩龙. 中国旅游业碳排放效率的空间网络结构及其效应研究[J]. 地理科学, 2020, 40(3): 344-353. |
[14] | 王彬燕, 田俊峰, 施响, 王士君. 基于HLM和GWR的汪清县农村贫困成因探究[J]. 地理科学, 2020, 40(3): 409-418. |
[15] | 姜洪强, 梅林, 杨立青. 中国淘宝店铺服务质量空间分异及影响因素[J]. 地理科学, 2020, 40(3): 428-436. |
|