地理科学 ›› 2018, Vol. 38 ›› Issue (2): 258-263.doi: 10.13249/j.cnki.sgs.2018.02.012

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区域经济增长俱乐部趋同:假说检验及解释

张伟丽()   

  1. 河南财经政法大学资源与环境学院/中原经济区 “三化”协调发展河南省协同创新中心, 河南 郑州 450046
  • 收稿日期:2017-03-29 修回日期:2017-06-03 出版日期:2018-04-10 发布日期:2018-04-10
  • 作者简介:

    作者简介:张伟丽(1980-),女,河南省安阳市人,副教授,博士,主要研究区域经济增长差异与协调发展。E-mail:ljxzwl518@163.com

  • 基金资助:
    国家自然科学基金项目(41771124,71473070,41271144)、教育部人文社会科学研究青年基金项目(17YJC790198)、河南省哲学社会科学规划项目(2017BJJ009)、河南省高等学校哲学社会科学农户活动与农区发展创新团队支持计划项目(2014-CXTD-07)、河南财经政法大学青年拔尖人才计划项目(hncjzfdxqnbjrc201602)资助

Hypothesis Testing and Interpretation on Regional Economic Growth Club Convergence

Weili Zhang()   

  1. Department of Resource and Environmental Science, Henan University of Economics and Law, Henan Three New-types Coordinated Development Center, Central Plains Economic Region, Zhengzhou 450046, Henan, China
  • Received:2017-03-29 Revised:2017-06-03 Online:2018-04-10 Published:2018-04-10
  • Supported by:
    National Natural Science Foundation of China (41771124,71473070,41271144), The Humanities and Social Sciences Research Project of the Ministry of Education (17YJC790198), The Philosophy and Social Science Program in Henan Province(2017BJJ009), Farmers’ Activities and Agricultural Development Innovative Team Support Program of Philosophy and Social Sciences in Colleges and Universities of Henan (2014-CXTD-07), Young Top-Notch Talent Program of Henan University of Economics and Law (hncjzfdxqnbjrc201602)

摘要:

研究俱乐部趋同可以更加准确地观察区域经济增长的空间格局,针对性地分析不同类型区域经济增长的影响因素,这对于缩小区域经济差异具有重要意义。从俱乐部趋同假说的检验、解释及中国的相关研究等方面对现有国内外文献进行综述,并指出有待进一步拓展的研究方向,以期为国内该领域的深入研究提供借鉴。

关键词: 俱乐部趋同假说检验, 影响因素, 中国, 拓展方向

Abstract:

Since the reform and open trade policy was enacted in 1978, China’s economy has achieved sustained and rapid growth for more than 30 years, becoming the world’s second largest economy. But in recent years, China’s economic growth continued to decline from 14.2% in 2007 fell to 6.9% in 2015. Nowadays, China’s economy has entered a “new normal” period. Economic growth in developed regions is slowing down and some underdeveloped regions’ economic growth has been accelerating. There are indications that China seems to be ushering in the golden age of developing regions catching up to developed areas. Shall the developing regions overtake the developed regions? And how shall the developing regions catch up with the developed areas? Furthermore, which areas will become the dominant forces of China’s economic growth in the future? These are the real problems that need to be solved at present. And these issues are precisely classified in the main areas of club convergence research. In the real world, the phenomenon of coexistence of poor and affluent regions is very common. As a result, it has triggered to a prominent theme of club convergence in the existing literature. The related research can be more accurate when observing the spatial pattern of regional economic growth and analyzing the impact factors of different types of regional economic growth. This will undoubtedly provide important theoretical enlightenment and decision-making reference value for the promotion of the whole of economic growth. However, the current research on convergence club is still in the stage of testing whether there is the phenomenon of the club convergence, and the empirical research work is limited. This article reviews the existing literature from the aspects of testing the club convergence hypothesis, explaining the formation of convergence clubs, and relevant research about China. Then this article puts forwards some expanding directions as follows: 1) The research on the development of club convergence requires the combination of time dimension and space dimension, which can be extended to time and space coupling club convergence. 2) The study of club convergence needs to integrate into the heterogeneity of technology. 3) The test of the club convergence hypothesis needs to combine regional grouping and convergence test to improve the robustness of results. 4) The research on the formation mechanism of club convergence needs to consider the interaction of factors. 5) It is necessary to analyze the evolution mechanism of club convergence. 6) It is important to study club convergence among prefectures and counties in China.

Key words: testing club convergence hypothesis, influencing factors, China, expanding directions

中图分类号: 

  • K902