地理科学 ›› 2018, Vol. 38 ›› Issue (5): 717-726.doi: 10.13249/j.cnki.sgs.2018.05.009
收稿日期:
2017-05-10
修回日期:
2018-01-15
出版日期:
2018-05-10
发布日期:
2018-05-10
作者简介:
作者简介:赵雪雁(1971-),女,甘肃武都人,教授,主要从事生态经济研究。E-mail:
基金资助:
Xueyan Zhao1(), Zhiyu Gao1, Yanyan Ma1, Huanhuan Chen1, Bing Xue2
Received:
2017-05-10
Revised:
2018-01-15
Online:
2018-05-10
Published:
2018-05-10
Supported by:
摘要:
水贫困与农业现代化问题是影响国家安全与经济发展的两大重要问题,研究二者的耦合关系有助于促进中国资源环境与经济可持续发展。以中国30个省(市、自治区)为研究单元(不含西藏和港澳台),建立农村水贫困和农业现代化水平评价指标体系,采用耦合协调度模型,评估农村水贫困与农业现代化的耦合协调性,并利用空间自相关方法分析2005~2014年农村水贫困、农业现代化及二者耦合协调关系的时空变化。研究结果表明:① 2005~2014年中国农村水贫困程度降低14.68%,西部降幅高于东、中部,且农村水贫困程度一直保持“中-西-东”递减态势;② 农业现代化水平提高5.50%,西部地区增幅高达26.88%,但始终保持着“东-中-西”阶梯式递减态势;③ 农村水贫困与农业现代化水平协调度的区域差异趋于减小,基尼系数降低31.62%,但协调度一直保持着“东-中-西”阶梯式递减趋势;④ 农村水贫困与农业现代化水平协调度的冷点区呈收缩态势,热点区呈扩张态势。最后,提出了降低农村水贫困、提高农业现代化水平及二者协调性的建议。
中图分类号:
赵雪雁, 高志玉, 马艳艳, 陈欢欢, 薛冰. 2005~2014年中国农村水贫困与农业现代化的时空耦合研究[J]. 地理科学, 2018, 38(5): 717-726.
Xueyan Zhao, Zhiyu Gao, Yanyan Ma, Huanhuan Chen, Bing Xue. Spatio-temporal Coupling Between Rural Water Poverty and Agricultural Modernization in China from 2005 to 2014[J]. SCIENTIA GEOGRAPHICA SINICA, 2018, 38(5): 717-726.
[1] |
Oki T, Kanae S.Global hydrological cycles and world water resources[J]. Science,2006,313(5790):1068-1072.
doi: 10.1126/science.1128845 pmid: 16931749 |
[2] | 葛晨. 水资源管理不该碎片化联合国呼吁改善管理方式[N/oL].解放日报, 2012-3-15. . |
[Ge Chen.Water management should not defragment the United Nations to call for better management. .] | |
[3] | Heidecke C.Development and evaluation of a regional water poverty index for Benin[R]. International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI), Environment and Production Technology Division,2006,34-35. |
[4] | Fitch M, Price H.Water poverty in England and Wales[R].Centre for Utility Consumer Law and Chartered Institute of Environmental Health,2002,30(7),1195-1211. |
[5] |
Sullivan Caroline.The water poverty index: Development and application at the community scale[J]. Natural Resources Forum, 2003,27(3): 189-199.
doi: 10.1111/1477-8947.00054 |
[6] |
Pan A, Bosch D, Ma H.Assessing water poverty in China using holistic and dynamic principal component analysis[J]. Social Indicators Research, 2015, 130:1-25.
doi: 10.1007/s11205-015-1191-3 |
[7] |
Garriga R G, Foguet A P.Improved method to calculate a water poverty index at local scale[J]. Journal of Environmental Engineering, 2010,136(11):1287-1298.
doi: 10.1061/(ASCE)EE.1943-7870.0000255 |
[8] |
Manandhar S, Pandey V P, Kazama F.Application of Water Poverty Index (WPI) in Nepalese Context: A case study of Kali Gandaki River Basin (KGRB)[J]. Water Resources Management, 2012,26(1):89-107.
doi: 10.1007/s11269-011-9907-x |
[9] |
Wilk J, Jonsson A C.From water poverty to water prosperity—A more participatory approach to studying local water resources management[J].Water Resources Management, 2013,27(3):695-713.
doi: 10.1007/s11269-012-0209-8 |
[10] | 何栋材, 徐中民, 王广玉. 水贫困测量及应用的国际研究进展[J]. 干旱区地理,2009,32(2):296-303. |
[He Dongcai, Xu Zhongmin, Wang Guangyu.Progresses in the international research on water poverty measure and application. Arid Land Geography,2009,32(2):296-303.] | |
[11] | 曹茜, 刘锐. 基于WPI模型的赣江流域水资源贫困评价[J]. 资源科学, 2012,34(7):1306-1311. |
[Cao Qian, Liu Rui.Assessment of water poverty in Ganjiang basin based on WPI model. Resources Science,2012, 34(7):1306-1311.] | |
[12] | 孙才志, 王雪妮. 基于WPI-ESDA模型的中国水贫困评价及空间关联格局分析[J]. 资源科学,2011,33(6):1072-1082. |
[Sun Caizhi, Wang Xueni.Research on the assessment and spatial correlation pattern of water poverty in China based on WPI-ESDA model. Resource Science,2011,33(6):1072-1082.] | |
[13] |
王雪妮, 孙才志, 邹玮.中国水贫困与经济贫困空间耦合关系研究[J]. 中国软科学,2011(12):180-192.
doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1002-9753.2011.12.021 |
[Wang Xueni, Sun Caizhi, Zou Wei. Coupling relation analysis between water poverty and economic poverty in China. China Soft Science, 2011(12):180-192.]
doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1002-9753.2011.12.021 |
|
[14] | 黄庆华, 姜松, 吴卫红,等.发达国家农业现代化模式选择对重庆的启示——来自美日法三国的经验比较[J]. 农业经济问题, 2013(4):102-109. |
[Huang Qinghua,Jiang Song, Wu Weihong et al. The enlightenment of the choice of agricultural modernization mode in developed countries to Chongqing: The comparison of experience from the United States, Japan and France. Agricultural Economic Problem, 2013(4):102-109.] | |
[15] |
龙冬平, 李同昇, 苗园园,等.中国农业现代化发展水平空间分异及类型[J]. 地理学报,2014,69(2):213-226.
doi: 10.11821/dlxb201402006 |
[Long Dongping, Li Tongsheng, Miao Yuanyuan et al. The spatial distribution and types of the development level of Chinese agricultural modernization. Acta Geographica Sinica,2014,69(2):213-226.]
doi: 10.11821/dlxb201402006 |
|
[16] | 辛岭, 蒋和平. 我国农业现代化发展水平评价指标体系的构建和测算[J]. 农业现代化研究,2010,31(6):646-650. |
[Xin Ling, Jiang Heping.Setting up evaluation index system and calculation development level of China agricultural modernization. Research of Agricultural Modernization, 2010, 31(6): 646-650.] | |
[17] |
于正松,李同昇,龙冬平,等.陕、甘、宁三省(区)农业现代化水平格局演变及其动因分析[J].地理科学,2014,34(4):411-419.
doi: 10.11821/dlyj201311011 |
[Yu Zhengsong, Li Tongsheng, Long Dongping et al. The pattern evolution and it’s reasons about the agricultural modernization in Shaanxi-Gansu-Ningxia Region. Scientia Geography Sinica, 2014,34(4):411-419.]
doi: 10.11821/dlyj201311011 |
|
[18] | 丁志伟, 张改素, 王发曾. 中原经济区“三化”协调的内在机理与定量分析[J]. 地理科学, 2013, 33(4):402-409. |
[Ding Zhiwei, Zhang Gaisu, Wang Fazeng.The internal mechanism and quantitative analysis of coordination development of industrialization, urbanization and agricultural modernization of Zhongyuan Economic Region. Scientia Geography Sinica, 2013, 33(4):402-409.] | |
[19] |
尹鹏, 刘继生, 陈才. 东北振兴以来吉林省四化发展的协调性研究[J]. 地理科学, 2015, 35(9):1101-1108.
doi: 10.11820/dlkxjz.1998.03.013 |
[Yin Peng, Liu Jisheng, Chen Cai.The coordination development of Four Modernizations in Jilin Province since the Revival of Northeast China. Scientia Geography Sinica, 2015, 35(9):1101-1108.]
doi: 10.11820/dlkxjz.1998.03.013 |
|
[20] | 姜会明, 王振华. 吉林省工业化、城镇化与农业现代化关系实证分析[J].地理科学,2012,32(5):591-595. |
[Jiang Huiming, Wang Zhenhua.Empirical analysis on the relationship among industrialization, urbanization and agricultural modernization in Jilin Province. Scientia Geography Sinica,2012,32(5):591-595.] | |
[21] |
Forouzani M, KaramiE. Agricultural water poverty index and sustainability[J]. Agronomy for Sustainable Development, 2011,31(2):415-431.
doi: 10.1051/agro/2010026 |
[22] |
Ward J.Water, agriculture and poverty in the Niger River basin[J]. Water International, 2010,35(5):594-622.
doi: 10.1080/02508060.2010.515545 |
[23] |
黄初龙, 邓伟. 东北区农业水资源可持续利用地域分异的因子分析[J]. 地理科学, 2006, 26(3):284-291.
doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1000-0690.2006.03.005 |
[Huang Chulong, Deng Wei.Factor analysis on spatial variation of sustainable utilization of agricultural water resources. Scientia Geography Sinica, 2006, 26(3):284-291.]
doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1000-0690.2006.03.005 |
|
[24] |
Chartzoulakis K, Bertaki M.Sustainable water management in agriculture under climate change[J]. Agriculture & Agricultural Science Procedia,2015,4:88-98.
doi: 10.1016/j.aaspro.2015.03.011 |
[25] | Organization A.The state of the world’s land and water resources for food and agriculture[J]. Summary Report, 2011,66(4):418-419. |
[26] |
Allen S L.Connections between poverty, water and agriculture: Evidence from 10 river basins[J]. Water International, 2011,36(1):125-140.
doi: 10.1080/02508060.2011.541015 |
[27] |
潘丹,应瑞瑶.中国水资源与农业经济增长关系研究——基于面板VAR模型[J].中国人口资源与环境,2012,22(1):161-166.
doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1002-2104.2012.01.026 |
[Pan Dan, Ying Ruiyao.Relationship between water resource and agricultural economic growth in China: Research based on panel VAR. Chinese Journal of Population Resources and Environment,2012,22(1):161-166.]
doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1002-2104.2012.01.026 |
|
[28] | 李裕瑞, 王婧, 刘彦随,等. 中国“四化”协调发展的区域格局及其影响因素[J].地理学报, 2014, 69(2):199-212. |
[Li Yurui, Wang Jing, Liu Yansui et al. Spatial pattern and influencing factors of the coordination development of industrialization, informatization, urbanization and agricultural modernization in China: A prefecture level exploratory spatial data analysis. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2014, 69(2):199-212.] | |
[29] | 中华人民共和国国家统计局.中国统计年鉴[M].北京:中国统计出版社, 2006-2015. |
[National Bureau of Statistics of the People’s Republic of China. China statistical yearbook. Beijing: China Statistics Press, 2006-2015.] | |
[30] | 中华人民共和国国家统计局.中国农村统计年鉴[M].北京:中国统计出版社, 2006-2015. |
[National Bureau of Statistics of the People’s Republic of China. China rural statistical yearbook. Beijing: China Statistics Press, 2006-2015.] | |
[31] | 中华人民共和国国家统计局.中国环境统计年鉴[M].北京:中国统计出版社, 2006-2015. |
[National Bureau of Statistics of the People's Republic of China. China statistical yearbook on environment. Beijing: China Statistics Press, 2006-2015.] | |
[32] | 中华人民共和国国家统计局.中国水利统计年鉴[M].北京:中国统计出版社, 2006-2015. |
[National Bureau of Statistics of the People’s Republic of China. China water statistical yearbook. Beijing: China Statistics Press, 2006-2015.] | |
[33] | 中华人民共和国国家统计局.中国卫生和计划生育统计年鉴[M].北京:中国统计出版社, 2006-2015. |
[National Bureau of Statistics of the People’s Republic of China. China statistical yearbook on health and family planning. Beijing: China Statistics Press, 2006-2015.] | |
[34] | 赵雪雁, 王伟军, 万文玉.中国居民健康水平的区域差异:2003-2013[J].地理学报,2017,72(4):685-698. |
[Zhao Xueyan, Wang Weijun, Wan Wenyu.Regional inequalities of residents’health level in China: 2003-2013. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2017, 72(4):685-698.] | |
[35] | 张旺,周跃云,胡光伟.超大城市“新三化”的时空耦合协调性分析——以中国十大城市为例[J].地理科学, 2013,33(5):562-569. |
[Zhang Wang, Zhou Yueyun, Hu Guangwei.Coupling mechanism and space-time coordination of new-approach urbanization, New-approach industrialization and service industry modernization in Megacity Behemoths: A case study of ten cities in China. Scientia Geography Sinica,2013,33(5):562-569.] | |
[36] |
马丽,金凤君,刘毅.中国经济与环境污染耦合度格局及工业结构解析[J].地理学报,2012,67(10):1299-1307.
doi: 10.11821/xb201210001 |
[Ma Li, Jin Fengjun, Liu Yi.Spatial pattern and industrial sector structure analysis on the coupling and coordinating degree of regional economic development and environmental pollution in China. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2012,67(10):1299-1307.]
doi: 10.11821/xb201210001 |
|
[37] |
余菲菲,胡文海,荣慧芳.中小城市旅游经济与交通耦合协调发展研究——以池州市为例[J].地理科学,2015,35(9):1116-1122.
doi: 10.1364/JOSA.52.001209 |
[Yu Feifei, Hu Wenhai, Rong Huifang.Coordinated development about tourism economy and transportation in medium and small cities: Chizhou as example. Scientia Geography Sinica, 2015,35(9):1116-1122.]
doi: 10.1364/JOSA.52.001209 |
|
[38] |
盖美,王宇飞, 马国栋,等.辽宁沿海地区用水效率与经济的耦合协调发展评价[J].自然资源学报,2013,28(12):2081-2094.
doi: 10.11849/zrzyxb.2013.12.006 |
[Gai Mei, Wang Yufei, Ma Guodong et al. Evaluation of the coupling coordination development between water use efficiency and economy in Liaoning Coastal Economic Belt. Journal of Natural Resources, 2013,28(12):2081-2094.]
doi: 10.11849/zrzyxb.2013.12.006 |
[1] | 程利莎,王士君,杨冉. 中国东北地区地缘关系演化过程及区域效应[J]. 地理科学, 2019, 39(8): 1284-1292. |
[2] | 齐庆华,蔡榕硕,郭海峡. 中国东部气温极端特性及其气候特征[J]. 地理科学, 2019, 39(8): 1340-1350. |
[3] | 朱晓华,高春东. 中文权威核心期刊学术论文价值综合评价体系的构建与实践:以地理学科为例[J]. 地理科学, 2019, 39(8): 1351-1360. |
[4] | 潘峰华,方成,李仙德. 中国城市网络研究评述与展望[J]. 地理科学, 2019, 39(7): 1093-1101. |
[5] | 杨勇,邓祥征. 中国城市生态效率时空演变及影响因素的区域差异[J]. 地理科学, 2019, 39(7): 1111-1118. |
[6] | 任梅,王小敏,刘雷,孙方,张文新. 中国沿海城市群环境规制效率时空变化及影响因素分析[J]. 地理科学, 2019, 39(7): 1119-1128. |
[7] | 刘建国,张妍,黄杏灵. 中国人文地理学区域空间结构研究的主要领域及展望[J]. 地理科学, 2019, 39(6): 874-885. |
[8] | 马双,曾刚. 网络视角下中国十大城市群区域创新模式研究[J]. 地理科学, 2019, 39(6): 905-911. |
[9] | 陈嘉,韦素琼,陈松林. 中国台商农业技术时空扩散的格局、路径与机制——以福建省漳浦县为例[J]. 地理科学, 2019, 39(6): 957-966. |
[10] | 杨昆, 时燕, 罗毅, 夏典. 经济快速发展背景下中国民用汽车拥有量变化的时空特征[J]. 地理科学, 2019, 39(4): 654-662. |
[11] | 蔺雪芹, 郭一鸣, 王岱. 中国工业资源环境效率空间演化特征及影响因素[J]. 地理科学, 2019, 39(3): 377-386. |
[12] | 余玲, 刘家明, 姚鲁烽, 李涛. 中国实景演艺旅游资源时空格局研究[J]. 地理科学, 2019, 39(3): 394-404. |
[13] | 蔡善柱, 陆林. 中国国家级经济技术开发区及其产业空间格局演化——基于地级及以上市面板数据实证研究[J]. 地理科学, 2019, 39(3): 415-423. |
[14] | 周晓芳, 产健. 基于无尺度网络的中国城市医疗网络分析[J]. 地理科学, 2019, 39(2): 195-203. |
[15] | 李涛, 刘家明, 朱鹤, 龙飞, 余文婷. 中国旅游产业投资及旅游发展空间结构响应——基于2000~2015年旅游业三大核心部门数据的分析[J]. 地理科学, 2019, 39(2): 204-213. |
|