珠江三角洲地区服务业与城镇化协调关系的时空演变

doi:10.13249/j.cnki.sgs.2018.07.013

地理科学 ›› 2018, Vol. 38 ›› Issue (7): 1118-1128.doi: 10.13249/j.cnki.sgs.2018.07.013

珠江三角洲地区服务业与城镇化协调关系的时空演变

张国俊¹(), 邓鸿鹄²

1. 广东财经大学公共管理学院,广东广州 510320
2.中山大学地理科学与规划学院/广东省城市化与地理环境空间模拟重点实验室,广东广州 510275

收稿日期:2017-10-12 修回日期:2018-01-23 出版日期:2018-07-20 发布日期:2018-07-20
作者简介:
作者简介:张国俊（1977-）,女,湖北公安人,博士,讲师,主要从事区域发展与城乡规划研究。E-mail: guojunz@gdufe.edu.cn
基金资助:
国家自然科学基金项目（41601161）、广东省自然科学基金项目（2017A030313224）、2017年度广州市哲学社会科学“十三五”规划课题（2017GZZK16）资助

Spatial-temporal Evolution of the Eoordination Relationship Between Service Industry and Urbanization in the Pearl River Delta Region

Guojun Zhang¹(), Honghu Deng²

1.School of Public Policy and Management, Guangdong University of Finance and Economics, Guangzhou 510320, Guangdong, China
2. School of Geography and Planning, Guangdong Key Laboratory for Urbanization and Geo-Simulation,Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou 510275, Guangdong, China

Received:2017-10-12 Revised:2018-01-23 Online:2018-07-20 Published:2018-07-20
Supported by:
National Natural Science Foundation of China (41601161), the NSF of Guangdong Province, China (2017A030313224), Guangzhou Planning Office of Philosophy and Social Science (2017GZZK16)

摘要/Abstract

摘要：

在厘清服务业与城镇化的关系机理基础上,构建了服务业系统与城镇化系统综合发展评价指标体系,运用熵值法对1987~2015年珠三角城镇化与服务业发展综合水平进行测度,利用耦合协调度模型对两者协调关系的时空演变特征进行了分析。结果表明：① 时序演变上,珠三角服务业与城镇化综合发展水平保持持续稳定增长态势,两者协调度不断增强,2008年开始进入协调期。② 空间演变上,服务业与城镇化的协调度呈现以珠江口城市为核心,逐渐向外圈层递减的空间分布规律;空间差异较大且保持相对稳定状态。③ 珠三角服务业与城镇化空间协调关系演变总体可分为均衡发展、惯性发展、反转发展3种模式,由1987年的4种失调类型演变为2015年初级协调等4种类型。④ 从加强服务业专业化分工和提升服务业发展潜力、加快空间城镇化和社会城镇化的发展、缩小服务业与城镇化协调关系的空间差异等方面提出对策建议,以推动珠三角服务业与城镇化的协调度向更高级别方向发展。

关键词: 服务业, 城镇化, 珠江三角洲地区, 粤港澳大湾区

Abstract:

On the basis of clarifying the relationship between service industry and urbanization, this article constructs an evaluation index system for the comprehensive development of the service industry system and the urbanization system, and uses the entropy method to measure the comprehensive development level of the urbanization and service industry in the Pearl River Delta from 1987 to 2015. With the help of the coupling coordination model, the spatial-temporal evolution characteristics of the coordination relationship between the two are analyzed. The results show that: 1) In terms of the evolution of the time series, the comprehensive development level of service industry and urbanization in the Pearl River Delta has maintained a sustained and stable growth, and the coordination degree between the two has also been increasing. The relationship began to enter a coordination period in 2008. 2) In terms of spatial evolution, the coordination degree between the service industry and urbanization presents a spatial distribution pattern of taking the cities in the Pearl River Estuary as the core and gradually decreasing to outer circle; The spatial pattern is quite different and relatively stable. 3) The evolution of spatial coordination relationship between service industry and urbanization in the Pearl River Delta can be divided into 3 models: balanced development, inertial development and reversed development, it evolves from four imbalanced types in 1987 to 4 types of primary coordination in 2015. 4) This paper puts forward the countermeasures and suggestions from strengthening the specialized division of labor in service industry, improving the development potential of service industry, speeding up the development of spatial urbanization and social urbanization, narrowing the spatial differences of coordination relationship between service industry and urbanization, so as to promote the development of the coordination degree of the service industry and urbanization to an even higher level.

Key words: service industry, urbanization, the Pearl River Delta, the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Great Bay Area

中图分类号:

F299.2

张国俊, 邓鸿鹄. 珠江三角洲地区服务业与城镇化协调关系的时空演变[J]. 地理科学, 2018, 38(7): 1118-1128.

Guojun Zhang, Honghu Deng. Spatial-temporal Evolution of the Eoordination Relationship Between Service Industry and Urbanization in the Pearl River Delta Region[J]. SCIENTIA GEOGRAPHICA SINICA, 2018, 38(7): 1118-1128.

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	维度	权重	基础指标	权重
A服务业发展系统	A1产业发展规模	0.3888	服务业产值	0.1273
			服务业占GDP比重	0.0273
			服务业就业比重	0.0291
	A2产业产出水平	0.3240	服务业劳动生产率	0.0902
			服务业在岗职工人均工资	0.0900
			服务业人均服务产品占有量	0.1047
			产出密度	0.1271
	A3专业化程度	0.1202	批发和零售业区位熵	0.0255
			交通运输、仓储和邮政业区位熵	0.0595
			金融区位熵	0.0635
			房地产区位熵	0.0237
	A4产业发展潜力	0.1670	三产固定投资比重	0.0188
			万人科技活动从业人员数	0.0409
			万人高等学校在校学生数	0.0990
			服务业产值增长速度	0.0734
B城镇化系统	B1经济城镇化	0.2762	人均国内生产总值	0.1002
			人均社会固定资产投资	0.0877
			非农产业产值比重	0.0203
			人均地方财政收入	0.1310
	B2 人口城镇化	0.2592	城镇人口比重	0.0259
			城镇人口密度	0.0603
			非农就业人口比重	0.0546
			人口增长率	0.0870
	B3空间城镇化	0.2297	建成区面积占城区面积比重	0.0954
			人均建成区面积	0.0556
			人均道路铺设面积	0.0608
	B4社会城镇化	0.2349	人均社会消费品零售总额	0.0987
			每万人拥有医生数	0.0376
			人均邮电业务总量	0.0849

年份	服务业发展水平	城镇化发展水平	耦合度	耦合协调度	协调度等级	年份	服务业发展水平	城镇化发展水平	耦合度	耦合协调度	协调度
年份	服务业发展水平	城镇化发展水平	耦合度	耦合协调度	协调度等级	年份	服务业发展水平	城镇化发展水平	耦合度	耦合协调度	等级
1987	0.0259	0.0234	0.4994	0.1104	严重失调	2002	0.2636	0.3057	0.4986	0.3795	轻度失调
1988	0.0172	0.0437	0.4502	0.1221	严重失调	2003	0.2345	0.3560	0.4893	0.3878	轻度失调
1989	0.0208	0.0589	0.4392	0.1385	严重失调	2004	0.3301	0.3856	0.4985	0.4256	濒临失调
1990	0.0278	0.0796	0.4380	0.1606	严重失调	2005	0.3187	0.3922	0.4973	0.4248	濒临失调
1991	0.1518	0.0945	0.4863	0.2390	中度失调	2006	0.3710	0.4747	0.4962	0.4637	濒临失调
1992	0.1628	0.1340	0.4976	0.2691	中度失调	2007	0.4173	0.5099	0.4975	0.4850	濒临失调
1993	0.1309	0.2428	0.4771	0.3074	轻度失调	2008	0.4601	0.5480	0.4981	0.5054	勉强协调
1994	0.1611	0.1640	0.5000	0.2853	中度失调	2009	0.5128	0.5603	0.4995	0.5200	勉强协调
1995	0.1619	0.2040	0.4967	0.3049	轻度失调	2010	0.5660	0.6174	0.4995	0.5460	勉强协调
1996	0.1633	0.2120	0.4958	0.3089	轻度失调	2011	0.6398	0.6225	0.5000	0.5610	勉强协调
1997	0.1823	0.2312	0.4965	0.3242	轻度失调	2012	0.7073	0.7748	0.4995	0.6112	初级协调
1998	0.2035	0.2431	0.4980	0.3364	轻度失调	2013	0.7836	0.8521	0.4996	0.6419	初级协调
1999	0.2115	0.2636	0.4970	0.3473	轻度失调	2014	0.8514	0.9260	0.4996	0.6691	初级协调
2000	0.2219	0.2699	0.4976	0.3532	轻度失调	2015	0.9187	0.9717	0.4998	0.6892	初级协调
2001	0.2374	0.2950	0.4971	0.3677	轻度失调

珠江三角洲地区服务业与城镇化协调关系的时空演变

Spatial-temporal Evolution of the Eoordination Relationship Between Service Industry and Urbanization in the Pearl River Delta Region

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