地理科学 ›› 2019, Vol. 39 ›› Issue (6): 920-928.doi: 10.13249/j.cnki.sgs.2019.06.007

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基于DER-Wolfson指数的中国海洋经济极化研究

孙才志,郭可蒙   

  1. 辽宁师范大学海洋经济与可持续发展研究中心,辽宁 大连 116029
  • 收稿日期:2018-03-28 修回日期:2018-10-25 出版日期:2019-06-10 发布日期:2019-06-10
  • 作者简介:孙才志(1970-),男,山东烟台人,教授,博导,主要从事水资源与海洋经济研究。E-mail: suncaizhi@lnnu.edu.cn
  • 基金资助:
    教育部人文社会科学重点研究基地重大课题资助(16JJD790021)

Chinese Marine Economic Polarization Based on DER-Wolfson Index

Caizhi Sun,Kemeng Guo   

  1. Center for Studies of Marine Economy and Sustainable Development of Liaoning Normal University,Dalian 116029, Liaoning, China
  • Received:2018-03-28 Revised:2018-10-25 Online:2019-06-10 Published:2019-06-10
  • Supported by:
    Key Issues of Humanities and Social Science Research Base of Ministry of Education(16JJD790021)

摘要:

从人均海洋产值、海洋经济密度、海洋产业贡献度的层面出发,借助DER指数、Wolfson指数和信息扩散技术对中国沿海11省市1996~2015年间的海洋经济极化趋势与规律进行分析,并利用DER指数的认同-梳理框架解释导致极化的原因。研究发现:1996~2015年间,人均海洋产值、海洋经济密度、海洋产业贡献度的极化效应已经显现。海洋经济密度、海洋产业贡献度的DER指数和Wolfson指数都呈上升趋势;人均海洋产值的DER指数呈上升趋势,Wolfson指数呈下降趋势。认同性和疏离性呈现相反的变化趋势,疏离性的变化是海洋经济极化的主要原因。由此提出促进中国沿海省域海洋经济协调、可持续发展的对策建议。

关键词: 极化, DER指数, Wolfson指数, 信息扩散技术, 沿海省域

Abstract:

From the perspective of per capita marine output, the density of marine economy, the contribution of marine industries, and with the help of DER index, Wolfson index and information diffusion technology, this study analyzed the trend and regularity of marine economic polarization in 11 coastal provinces in China (not including Hong Kong, Macao and Taiwan) during 1996-2015 , and explained the causes of polarization using the DER index identity-alienation framework .The study found: 1) Between 1996 and 2015, polarization effect begins to appear in the per capita marine output, the density of marine economy, the contribution of marine industries. 2) The DER index and Wolfson index of marine economic density, and contribution of marine industries all showed an upward trend. The DER index of per capita marine output shows an upward trend while the Wolfson index shows a downward trend. 3) The changes of alienation are the major causes of changes in the polarization of the marine economy. So this study proposed countermeasures to promote the coordinated and sustainable development of marine economy in Chinese coastal provinces.

Key words: polarization, DER index, Wolfson index, information diffusion technology, coastal provinces

中图分类号: 

  • K902