吉林省限制开发区域绿色发展格局演变及障碍因素识别

doi:10.13249/j.cnki.sgs.2020.05.007

地理科学 ›› 2020, Vol. 40 ›› Issue (5): 730-739.doi: 10.13249/j.cnki.sgs.2020.05.007

吉林省限制开发区域绿色发展格局演变及障碍因素识别

李平¹^,²^,³, 佟连军¹(), 范围广¹^,², 郭艳花¹^,⁴

1.中国科学院东北地理与农业生态研究所,吉林长春130102
2.中国科学院大学,北京100049
3.吉林省社会科学院,吉林长春 130033
4.东北师范大学地理科学学院,吉林长春 130024

收稿日期:2019-03-15 修回日期:2019-11-03 出版日期:2020-05-10 发布日期:2020-08-18
通讯作者: 佟连军 E-mail:tonglj@iga.ac.cn
作者简介:李平（1985-）,女,内蒙古阿荣旗人,满族,博士研究生,助研,主要从事城市发展与产业经济研究。E-mail: liping1202@126.com
基金资助:
国家自然科学基金项目(41771138)

Evolution of Green Development Pattern and Identification of Obstacles in the Restricted Development Zones of Jilin Province

Li Ping¹^,²^,³, Tong Lianjun¹(), Fan Weiguang¹^,², Guo Yanhua¹^,⁴

1. Northeast Institute of Geography and Agroecology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Changchun 130102, Jilin, China
2. University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China
3. Jilin Province Academy of Social Sciences, Changchun 130033, Jilin, China
4. College of Geographical Science, Northeast Normal University, Changchun 130024, Jilin, China

Received:2019-03-15 Revised:2019-11-03 Online:2020-05-10 Published:2020-08-18
Contact: Tong Lianjun E-mail:tonglj@iga.ac.cn
Supported by:
National Natural Sciences Foundation of China(41771138)

摘要/Abstract

摘要：

以吉林省限制开发区域为实证研究区域,基于2005、2010、2015、2017年各市（州）的截面数据,从绿色增长、绿色福利、绿色财富3个维度构建绿色发展指标体系,运用熵权-TOPSIS模型、障碍度模型等方法,探究吉林省限制开发区绿色发展水平的时空演变特征及障碍因素。结果表明： ① 2005-2017年吉林省限制开发区绿色发展水平呈现“N”字型波动上升的时序演化特征,总体上绿色发展水平上升较慢。② 吉林省限制开发区绿色发展水平存在明显的空间分异特征,总体呈现东部高,中、西部低的特征,且两级分化特征更加明显。③ 人均工业增加值、第二产业产值比重、建成区绿化覆盖率、每万人拥有普通高等学校人数、人均水资源量、城市生活污水处理率是研究期内制约吉林省限制开发区绿色发展水平提升的主要指标层障碍因子。

关键词: 绿色发展, 熵权-TOPSIS模型, 限制开发区

Abstract:

Based on the cross-sectional data of 2005, 2010, 2015 and 2017, this article constructs a green development index system from 3 dimensions of green growth, green welfare and green wealth, using entropy weight TOPSIS evaluation method and obstacle model to explore the temporal and spatial evolution characteristics and obstacle factors of green development level in Jilin restricted development zone. The results show that: 1) From 2005 to 2017, the green development level of the restricted development zone in Jilin Province presented the time sequence evolution characteristic of "N" type fluctuation rising, and the overall green development level rises slowly, with an average annual growth rate of only 0.3%. 2) The green development level of the restricted development zone in Jilin Province had obvious spatial differentiation characteristics, which was high in the East, middle and low in the west, and the two-level differentiation characteristics were more obvious. 3) Per capita industrial added value, proportion of secondary industry output value, green coverage rate of built-up area, number of ordinary colleges and universities per 10 000 persons, per capita water resources and urban domestic sewage treatment rate were the main obstacle factors restricting the improvement of green development level of Development Zone in Jilin Province during the research period.

Key words: green development, entropy weight TOPSIS model, restricted development zone

中图分类号:

F127

李平, 佟连军, 范围广, 郭艳花. 吉林省限制开发区域绿色发展格局演变及障碍因素识别[J]. 地理科学, 2020, 40(5): 730-739.

Li Ping, Tong Lianjun, Fan Weiguang, Guo Yanhua. Evolution of Green Development Pattern and Identification of Obstacles in the Restricted Development Zones of Jilin Province[J]. SCIENTIA GEOGRAPHICA SINICA, 2020, 40(5): 730-739.

图/表 6

表1

吉林省限制开发区绿色发展水平指标体系"

目标层	系统层	准则层	指标层	指标属性	权重
目标层	系统层	准则层	指标层	指标属性	2005年	2010年	2015年	2017年
吉林省限制开发区域绿色发展	绿色增长(A)	经济发展规模(A1)	人均GDP（万元/人）(A11)	正向	0.0253	0.0563	0.0500	0.0538
		经济发展规模(A1)	人均工业增加值（万元/人）(A12)	正向	0.0375	0.0672	0.0442	0.0694
		经济发展结构(A2)	第二产业产值比重（%）(A21)	正向	0.0364	0.0422	0.0550	0.0758
		经济发展结构(A2)	第三产业产值比重（%）(A22)	正向	0.0220	0.0665	0.0322	0.0452
		经济发展质量(A3)	万元GDP能耗（t标准煤/万元）(A31)	负向	0.0276	0.0284	0.0273	0.0449
			万元GDP SO₂排放量（kg/万元）(A32)	负向	0.0342	0.0364	0.0288	0.0221
			万元GDP COD排放量（kg/万元）(A33)	负向	0.0308	0.0258	0.0409	0.0225
	绿色福利(B)	社会发展效益(B1)	人均财政收入（元/人）(B11)	正向	0.0395	0.0516	0.0663	0.0559
			城镇居民人均可支配收入（元）B12)	正向	0.0590	0.0319	0.0216	0.0388
			农村居民人均可支配收入（元）(B13)	正向	0.0285	0.0249	0.0301	0.0312
		绿色公共服务(B2)	建成区绿化覆盖率（%）(B21)	正向	0.0583	0.0791	0.0341	0.0241
			每万人拥有卫生人员数（人）(B22)	正向	0.0332	0.0301	0.0464	0.0422
			每万人拥有普通高等学校人数（人）(B23)	正向	0.0655	0.0436	0.1377	0.0541
	绿色财富(C)	资源环境压力(C1)	人均工业废气排放量（t/人）(C11)	负向	0.0237	0.0249	0.0210	0.0302
			人均社会用电量（kWh/人）(C12)	负向	0.0364	0.0469	0.0403	0.0353
			人均工业废水排放量（t/人）(C13)	负向	0.0251	0.0260	0.0209	0.0381
		资源环境状态(C2)	人均水资源量（m³/人）(C21)	正向	0.0850	0.0799	0.0879	0.1041
			人均耕地面积（hm²/人）(C22)	正向	0.0397	0.0459	0.0463	0.0482
			森林覆盖率（%）(C23)	正向	0.0606	0.0695	0.0485	0.0506
		资源环境响应(C3)	工业二氧化硫去除率（%）(C31)	正向	0.0416	0.0437	0.0205	0.0215
			工业固体废弃物综合利用率（%）(C32)	正向	0.0422	0.0232	0.0309	0.0374
			城市生活污水处理率（%）(C33)	正向	0.1480	0.0559	0.0691	0.0544

表1

表2

图1

图2

图3

表3

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地级市	2005年		2010年		2015年		2017年
地级市	指数	排名	指数	排名	指数	排名	指数	排名
四平市	0.5176	1	0.3378	6	0.2998	7	0.3606	7
辽源市	0.4884	2	0.4824	3	0.3787	5	0.4957	3
通化市	0.3641	6	0.4483	5	0.3794	4	0.4491	4
白山市	0.4025	4	0.5221	2	0.4489	2	0.5688	1
松原市	0.3732	5	0.4535	4	0.4161	3	0.4263	5
白城市	0.2873	7	0.3329	7	0.3005	6	0.3867	6
延边朝鲜族自治州	0.4464	3	0.6151	1	0.6013	1	0.5018	2
平均值	0.4114	—	0.4560	—	0.4035	—	0.4556	—

年份	经济发展规模	经济发展结构	经济发展质量	社会发展效益	绿色公共服务	资源环境压力	资源环境状态	资源环境响应
2005	19.49	15.28	16.72	29.47	39.80	14.87	46.00	41.21
2010	45.64	42.53	16.40	21.39	40.16	20.49	50.73	25.37
2015	33.55	28.02	17.27	25.26	62.95	11.93	47.58	27.30
2017	45.64	49.49	16.46	27.20	27.34	21.32	53.67	23.91

吉林省限制开发区域绿色发展格局演变及障碍因素识别

Evolution of Green Development Pattern and Identification of Obstacles in the Restricted Development Zones of Jilin Province

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