地理科学 ›› 2021, Vol. 41 ›› Issue (4): 705-716.doi: 10.13249/j.cnki.sgs.2021.04.017
卜凡蕊1,2(), 孙鹏1,2(
), 姚蕊3, 张强4,5, 温庆志1, 胡玉乾1, 冯安兰1
收稿日期:
2020-06-11
修回日期:
2020-12-22
出版日期:
2021-04-25
发布日期:
2021-06-04
通讯作者:
孙鹏
E-mail:1556458552@qq.com;sun68peng@163.com
作者简介:
卜凡蕊(1999−),女,安徽亳州人,硕士研究生,主要从事气象水文学研究。E-mail:1556458552@qq.com
基金资助:
Bu Fanrui1,2(), Sun Peng1,2(
), Yao Rui3, Zhang Qiang4,5, Wen Qingzhi1, Hu Yuqian1, Feng Anlan1
Received:
2020-06-11
Revised:
2020-12-22
Online:
2021-04-25
Published:
2021-06-04
Contact:
Sun Peng
E-mail:1556458552@qq.com;sun68peng@163.com
Supported by:
摘要:
基于淮河流域1960—2014年39个气象站点数据、太平洋气候因子和NECP/NCAR再分析数据基础,利用空间Ward-like层次聚类分析划分4个子区域,通过体感温度的高温热浪指数分析淮河流域不同分区的夏季高温热浪时空演变特征,并通过EOF分析、相关性分析和大气环流遥相关等进一步揭示淮河流域高温热浪演变机理。研究表明:① 1960—2014年淮河流域夏季高温、高温热浪开始时间和持续时间均呈先增后减的趋势,20世纪80年代由暖相位进入冷相位,2010年后由冷相位进入暖相位;② 淮河流域各分区高温热浪开始时间呈现区域差异,分区1的高温热浪事件开始时间最早(平均为5月28日),分区3次之(平均为6月1日),分区2和分区4高温热浪开始时间最晚;③ 淮河流域轻度热浪发生频次最多平均为1.24次/a,中度热浪发生频次次之,平均为0.37次/a,重度热浪发生频次最少,平均为0.04次/a;淮河流域高温热浪事件与太平洋东部变暖(厄尔尼诺)或变冷(拉尼娜)变化相同。④ 青藏高原和内蒙古低压减弱导致了热浪高温事件的增加。分区4和分区1发生热浪的时间主要发生6、9月,分区2和分区3热浪发生时间集中在7、8月。分区1(西部)和分区4(东部)与Niño3、Niño1+2、MEI和PDO的相关性较高,分区2和分区3与Niño3.4、PNA相关性较高。
中图分类号:
卜凡蕊, 孙鹏, 姚蕊, 张强, 温庆志, 胡玉乾, 冯安兰. 淮河流域高温热浪时空演变规律及成因分析[J]. 地理科学, 2021, 41(4): 705-716.
Bu Fanrui, Sun Peng, Yao Rui, Zhang Qiang, Wen Qingzhi, Hu Yuqian, Feng Anlan. High Temperature Heat Waves in the Huaihe River Basin and Relation to the Madden-Julian Oscillation: Spatio-temporal Properties and Causes[J]. SCIENTIA GEOGRAPHICA SINICA, 2021, 41(4): 705-716.
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