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  • 地理科学
      2018年, 第38卷, 第11期 刊出日期:2018-11-20 上一期   
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    一种新的城市景观扩张过程测度方法:多阶邻接度指数
    刘稼丰,焦利民,董婷,许刚,张博恩,杨璐迪
    地理科学. 2018, 38 (11): 1741-1749.   DOI: 10.13249/j.cnki.sgs.2018.11.001
    摘要   HTML   PDF (7469KB)

    提出多阶邻接度指数(Multi-order Adjacency Index, MAI),应用多阶缓冲区完善对新旧斑块间空间关系的识别,从而更为详细地揭示城市扩张过程特征。MAI的延伸公式可供自下而上从宏观分析城市整体的扩张程度及空间变化过程。选取武汉市作为研究区,基于4期遥感影像(1995、2000、2005和2010年)划分3个时段应用MAI分析武汉市城市景观格局的演变特征。结果表明,MAI能够详细地反映出新增城市斑块在空间上有更加离散的分布趋势,新增斑块的扩张程度逐渐加深,建成区的边界不断向外延展。比较MAI与LEI(Landscape Expansion Index, LEI)的特征差异,指出MAI能够更加详尽地反映新旧斑块间的空间位置关系。


    Landscape index is an effective approach to capture the information for landscape pattern. In urban expansion, the spatial relationship of newly grown urban patches to existing urban areas reflects the properties of urban expansion evolution. However, existing metrics cannot comprehensively express the spatial distributions of all new patches relative to old patches, lacking quantitative reflection of spatial relationship gradient of outlying new patches to old patches. We propose a new landscape metric, multi-order adjacency Index (MAI), to depict urban expansion degree by adjacency degree based on distance between new and old patches and boundary-sharing rate. The two characteristics of MAI are shown as follows: 1) The value of MAI is continuous for reflecting the gradient of expansion degree of new patches. 2) MAI has clear physical meaning for representing actual distance between new and old patches, and the landscape expansion types are then redefined by MAI. Meanwhile, the two variants of MAI, mean multi-order adjacency Index (MMAI) and area-weighted mean multi-order adjacency Index (AWMMAI), are designed to capture information for the dynamic process of urban expansion from a bottom-up view. Based on four period’s remote sensing images (1995, 2000, 2005 and 2010) of Wuhan, we applied MAI for characterizing the change of landscape pattern. The following results were obtained: 1) The variation trend of the number for each expansion type show a tendency to decrease first and then increase except distant leap type that present a dramatic increasing trend; 2) The spatial pattern of Wuhan was more compact in the beginning, and became more and more dispersed along with urban expansion; 3) The result of MMAI indicate average expansion degree increased in the dynamic process of urban expansion, and the change trend of AWMMAI shows that the global spatial pattern of Wuhan city is dispersed in a general trend, but has a direction towards the compact development during 2005-2010. By comparing MAI and other dynamic metrics of urban expansion, we found that MAI can provide information more precisely than others in reflecting the gradient spatial relationship. At the same time, MAI improved the recognition of landscape expansion type and made up for the lack of quantitatively distinguishing the urban patches with larger urban expansion degree by the existing measurement methods. MAI also inquired into the spatial pattern change characteristics of urban landscape expansion in a deeper level. MAI provides a better perspective to understand the hidden mechanism of the spatial characteristics of urban expansion. Future research will include analysis and verification of the growth of the outlying seed regions. The simulation model of urban expansion by using MAI could be discussed for predicting the farther urban expansion. MAI is also expected to be a practical measurement to generalize in other cities or scales for better understanding urban expansion dynamics and analyzing problems of urban spatial pattern.

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    枢纽机场的航班波体系结构及其喂给航线的空间格局研究
    黄洁,王姣娥
    地理科学. 2018, 38 (11): 1750-1758.   DOI: 10.13249/j.cnki.sgs.2018.11.002
    摘要   HTML   PDF (3520KB)

    基于航班波的概念,提出了航班波识别的技术流程和喂给航线的研究方法,并对全国十大枢纽机场的航班波体系进行了研究与甄别。在此基础上,进一步分析了拥有明显航班波体系的枢纽机场的喂给航线空间格局演化。研究发现:① 北京首都、上海浦东、广州白云和昆明长水机场拥有较为明显的航班波体系;成都双流、深圳宝安、西安咸阳机场的航班波体系尚不清晰。②首位航空公司拥有足够的航班数量是机场构建航班波的必要但非充分条件,时刻资源的优化配置更为关键。③北京首都、上海浦东和广州白云三大枢纽机场的国际喂给航线和国内喂给航线在空间上存在显著的差异,且总体上与地理临近性无关,更多地与首位航空公司的航线网络扩张相关。


    It is important for airport hubs to establish wave-system structures in optimizing scheduling and enhancing operational efficiency so that airport hubs can significantly increase the number of passengers and intensify flight connectivity. Hence, this article proposed a research method that can be employed in the study of wave-system structures. With the research method, we surveyed wave-system structure for top 10 airports. This article then investigated spatial patterns of possible indirect connections for airport hubs whose wave-system structures were explicit. Some conclusions can be summarized. First, Capital Airport (Beijing), Pudong Airport (Shanghai), Baiyun Airport (Guangzhou) and Changshui Airport (Kunming) have adopted clear wave-system structures. But wave-system structures of Shuangliu Airport (Chengdu), Baoan Airport (Shenzhen) and Xianyang Airport (Xi’an) were not clear. Second, the large number of flights is a necessary, but not sufficient condition for the establishment of wave-system structures. It is important for airport hubs to optimize connection waves so that they can better utilize their temporal recourse. Third, possible indirect connections of Capital Airport (Beijing), Pudong Airport (Shanghai) and Baiyun Airport (Guangzhou) were spatially different. In general, their spatial patterns did not follow the rule of geographic proximity, but they were related to the network expansion of flights.

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    中国城市创新网络的时空复杂性及生长机制研究
    段德忠,杜德斌,谌颖,翟庆华
    地理科学. 2018, 38 (11): 1759-1768.   DOI: 10.13249/j.cnki.sgs.2018.11.003
    摘要   HTML   PDF (12313KB)

    以国家知识产权局专利转让记录为数据源,采用大数据挖掘与分析技术、空间分析技术、复杂网络模型和负二项回归模型,系统描绘了2001~2015年中国城市创新网络的拓扑结构、空间结构和生长机制。研究发现:中国城市创新网络规模迅速扩张,在两极分化下涌现出显著的小世界性和等级层次性,以北京、上海、深圳为核心的核心-边缘格局不断强化;以三角结构为基础的中国城市创新网络的四边形格局逐渐形成,京津、长三角、珠三角是中国城市专利转移的核心三角;中国城市创新网络的生长与城市科技创新实力显著相关,且受到地理距离的阻抗作用,凸显出强烈的地理邻近性,另外城市经济发展水平相似度和产业结构相似度也是影响城市创新网络生长的重要因素。


    At present, China’s city innovation system is gradually taking shape. As the core component of innovation resources, innovative technology represented by patents has become the focus of competition among all cities. Its gathering and diffusion channels urgently need to build a compatible city technology transfer system. The construction of a national technology transfer system in line with the law of science and technology innovation, the law of technology transfer and the law of industrial development is an inevitable choice for serving the strategy of innovation development. Based on data mining from National Intellectual Property Office of China, the heterogeneities and its evolution characteristics of city innovation network depicted by patent transfer in topology and space from 2001 to 2015 were sketched using lots of visualizing tools such as Pajek, Gephi, VOSviewer, ArcGIS, and so on. Topologically, from 2001 to 2015, with the increasing number of cities involved in technology transfer, China city innovation network has emerged a significant small-world feature with the smaller average path length and the extremely large cluster coefficient compared to its counterpart. In addition, the entire network presents a core- periphery structure with hierarchies, which dominated by Beijing, Shanghai and Shenzhen. Spatially, the quadrilateral pattern of China city innovation network based on the triangular structure is gradually formed. Last but not least, the growth mechanism of city innovation network were also verified by correlational analysis, negative binomial regression approach and gravity model of STATA. The growth of city innovation network in China is significantly related to the technological innovation strength represented by the number of patent application. The findings further confirm that geographical distance has weakened cross-city patents transfer. Meanwhile, the similarity of economic development and industrial structure between cities are also important factors influencing the growth of city innovation network.

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    中国小城镇产业结构特征及影响因素研究
    李国平,席强敏,吴爱芝,孙瑀
    地理科学. 2018, 38 (11): 1769-1776.   DOI: 10.13249/j.cnki.sgs.2018.11.004
    摘要   HTML   PDF (1405KB)

    分析揭示了2015年中国小城镇产业结构特征与空间差异,并利用加权最小二乘法实证估计了中国小城镇非农产业占比的影响因素。研究得出中国小城镇非农产业占比呈正态分布,非农产业占比较高的区域主要集中在东部沿海、长江经济带和边境口岸地区。东部地区小城镇非农产业占比呈负偏态分布,中部地区呈正态分布,而西部和东北地区则呈现正偏态分布特征,产业结构相对落后。小城镇规模、所在县域经济发展水平与小城镇非农产业占比显著正相关。县域第二产业占比提高带来的拉动效应略高于第三产业,小城镇产业更多的是为县域第二产业发展提供配套支撑。地级城市(地区、自治州、盟)规模的扩大对辖区内小城镇产业结构升级产生的扩散效应强于虹吸效应。


    As a hub connecting rural with urban areas, industrial structure optimization of small towns is significant to the local urbanization of farmers and to prevent the excessive concentration of population in big cities, and is also one of China's new urbanization problems in reality. This article reveals distribution characteristics and spatial differences of industrial structure of small towns in China in 2015, and puts forth influencing factors of proportions of non-agricultural industries of small towns in China by weighted least squares method. It is concluded that rates of non-agricultural industries have a normal distribution in small towns of China, and towns with higher rate of non-agricultural industries are mainly concentrated in China’s eastern coastal areas, the Yangtze Economic Belt and frontier port areas. The proportion of non-agricultural industries of small towns in the eastern region has a negative skewness distribution, and that in the central region has a normal distribution, while that in western and northeast regions have positive skewness distributions whose industrial structure is relatively backward. Shares of non-agricultural industries of small towns are positively correlated with size of small towns and country economic development level. The secondary industry in the county area has a slightly stronger driving effect than tertiary industry, and small towns always provide supporting services for the development of secondary industry in its county area. The diffusion effect of the expansion of prefecture-level cities (regions, autonomous prefectures and league) is stronger than its siphoning effect on the industrial structure upgrading of small towns.

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    中国对“一带一路”沿线国家出口增长的边际特征时空变化
    司增绰,周坤,仇方道,邵军
    地理科学. 2018, 38 (11): 1777-1787.   DOI: 10.13249/j.cnki.sgs.2018.11.005
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    基于CEPII BACI数据库提供的1995~2015年HS-92-6位数国际贸易数据,利用H-K三元边际框架分析了中国对“一带一路”沿线国家各类产品出口增长的边际特征。研究结果表明: 中国对“一带一路”沿线国家出口各类产品的种类扩张主要发生于1995~2001年与2001~2008年两个时段; 在后金融危机时段,中国对“一带一路”沿线国家各类产品出口增长模式主要表现为数量扩张为主,价格扩张为辅,而出口产品的种类扩张则不明显;区域性视角下的数量扩张更显著,而国别性视角下的种类扩张与价格扩张更显著;动态演进上,无论从区域视角还是从国别视角来看,不同产品部门的边际特征均呈现出较大的差异,中国出口价格边际极化现象较为显著。总体而言,中国对“一带一路”沿线国家产品出口的增长模式在国别层面与区域层面表现出较大的异质性,不同种类产品具有不同的出口增长模式,同一种类产品在不同时段也呈现出不同的出口增长模式。此外,我们发现考察期内中国对“一带一路”沿线国家出口增长模式正在发生显著变化,其中出口的广度增长效应正逐渐被数量增长与价格增长效应所取代。


    Since the "Belt and Road" initiative was put forward, the marginal analysis of trade growth between China and countries along the "Belt and Road" has gradually become a hot topic in the academic research. But in fact, a detailed classification of China's exports of various types of products exported to countries along the "Belt and Road" is the key to understanding China's export growth patterns. In the article, based on the international trade data of HS-92-6 from 1995 to 2015 provided by the CEPII BACI database, we respectively examined the ternary margins of China's manufacturing exports to the 7 major regional along the "Belt and Road" and China's manufacturing exports to the top 10 trading partners along the "Belt and Road" by using a detailed classification from a regional perspective and a country perspective. Certainly, we also use the nuclear density estimation technique to analyze the dynamic evolution of ternary margins of China's export. The results show that: Firstly, no mater whether it is from a regional perspective or a country perspective, China's expansion of various types of products exported to countries along the "Belt and Road" mainly occurred in 1995-2001 and 2001-2008. Secondly, in the post-financial crisis period, China's export growth patterns of various types of products exported to countries along the "Belt and Road" was mainly characterized by quantitative expansion, supplemented by price expansion, and the category expansion was no longer obvious. Thirdly, the quantitative expansion is more significant from a regional perspective, while the category expansion and price expansion are more significant from a national perspective. In fact, we find that, in terms of manufacturing exports, price growth is the core of China’s export growth to countries along the "Belt and Road", and the relative prices of Chinese manufacturing exports have generally surpassed the world average during the post-financial crisis, even when exporting to developed countries like Japan, the price growth rate also showed a relatively strong trend. Finally, in the dynamic evolution, no mater whether it is from a regional perspective or a country perspective, the marginal characteristics of different product sectors show great differences. The polarization of price margin of China's export is more significant. In general, China's export growth patterns to countries along the "Belt and Road" shows a large heterogeneity at the national and regional levels. Different types of products have different export growth patterns, even the same type of products also have different export growth patterns at different times. In addition, we find that China's export growth patterns to countries along the "Belt and Road" is undergoing significant changes during the inspection period. In particular, the breadth-growth effect of exports is gradually being replaced by the effects of quantitative growth and price growth.

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    中国绿色发展效率的空间特征及溢出分析
    车磊,白永平,周亮,汪凡,纪学朋,乔富伟
    地理科学. 2018, 38 (11): 1788-1798.   DOI: 10.13249/j.cnki.sgs.2018.11.006
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    提高绿色发展效率是建设生态文明、促进经济转型发展的重要途径。基于Super-SBM模型对中国(除港、澳、台、西藏地区)2005~2015年绿色发展效率进行测度,从空间异质、空间关联与空间机理3个方面分析绿色发展效率的空间特征,运用空间杜宾模型验证绿色发展效率的溢出效应并探讨各要素的空间传导机制。结果表明:2005~2015年,中国绿色发展效率表现为“先平稳再快速再稳定”的阶段性变化规律,地区间差异较大,形成了“东--西”阶梯式递减和“南--北”对称式分布的空间分异特征,“T”字型发展格局逐渐凸显。绿色发展效率存在显著的空间正相关,空间集聚程度逐步降低,热点区域增加,东部沿海地区形成稳定的热点区,中西部形成稳定的冷点区。绿色发展效率的空间自组织性逐渐增强,空间差异不断扩大,由空间自相关导致的结构化分异更加明显,随机成分引起的空间异质性正逐渐减弱,西北-东南是空间差异的主要方向。绿色发展效率存在较强的空间溢出效应,经济水平、技术创新和能源强度产生明显正向效应,产业结构则具有显著负向效应。


    :The concepts of innovation, coordination, green, open and sharing are the keys to the development of China and even the future. Green development is the main tone of the 13th Five-Year Plan of China, and it emphasizes on the mutual unity and coordinated development between economic growth and environmental protection. It is a kind of human-oriented way of sustainable development. Improving the efficiency of green development is an important way to achieve the ecological civilization construction and transformation of economic development the important way. This study used the spatial analysis methods, such as the Super-SBM model, spatial autocorrelation, spatial variation functions and spatial durbin model to measure the green development efficiency from 2005 to 2015 in China (Tibet, Hong Kong, Macao and Taiwan are excluded), by building an input and output index system of green development efficiency. In addition, from the perspective of geography space, it revealed the spatial pattern and spillover effects of green development efficiency in China. The results showed that: 1) From 2005 to 2015, the efficiency of China’s green development is characterized by the stage characteristics of ‘stable at beginning, then fast and last stable again’. It shows an overall upward trend with large differences among regions. The regional differentiation of the ‘East-Central-West’ stepwise decreasing and the ‘South-Central-North’ symmetrical distribution, and ‘T’ shaped shaft development pattern is particularly evident. 2) There is a positive correlation between green development efficiency, the degree of spatial agglomeration gradually decreases, the hot spots increase, the eastern coastal areas form stable hot spots, and the central and western parts form stable cold spots. 3) The spatial self-organization of green development efficiency is more and more strong, the space difference is gradually increased, the structural differentiation caused by spatial autocorrelation is more obvious, the spatial heterogeneity caused by random components is gradually weakened, and the space between northwest and southeast Significant difference. 4) There is a significant spillover effect of green development efficiency, a significant positive effect on the level of economic development, and a significant negative effect on industrial structure, urbanization and technological innovation. Trying hard to explore the law of spatial evolution of green development and provide a reference for the coordinated green development of the three systems of regional economy, society and environment.

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    公众参与型环境规制的时空格局及驱动因子研究——以长江经济带为例
    马勇,童昀,任洁,刘军
    地理科学. 2018, 38 (11): 1799-1808.   DOI: 10.13249/j.cnki.sgs.2018.11.007
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    以长江经济带公众参与型环境规制为研究对象,运用空间分析方法研究其时空格局,通过地理探测器筛选其主导驱动因子,基于GWR(Geographically Weighted Regression)模型揭示主导驱动因子空间异质性。结果表明:各年份公众参与型环境规制均呈显著空间正相关,但集聚程度逐年下降;公众参与型环境规制空间分异格局基本稳定;地理探测器剔除地均固定资产投资和万人在校大学生数两个初选因子;公众参与型环境规制驱动因子作用力由大到小依次为环境风险、人地压力、排放强度、信息化水平、经济水平、产业结构;各驱动因子存在特征不同的空间异质性,为制定针对性政策提供理论依据。


    The public participation in environmental regulation based on the 12369 environmental complaint data of the Yangtze River economic belt is taken as the research object. Taking the city as the research scale, the spatial analysis method is used to reveal the spatial and temporal pattern of public participation in environmental regulation. The dominant driving factors of public participation in environmental regulation are screened by Geodetector. Using GWR(geographically weighted regression)model to reveal the spatial heterogeneity of each dominant driving factors, such as economic level, industrial structure, human land pressure, emission intensity, informatization level, and environmental risk. The results show that: 1) The public participation in environmental regulation in the Yangtze River Economic Belt has significant spatial positive correlation, and the spatial agglomeration degree has decreased significantly in 2015. 2) The spatial pattern of public participation in environmental regulation in Yangtze River Economic Belt is basically stable in 2013-2015. The most area of the Yangtze River Delta city group, Wuhan and Nanchang in the middle reaches of the Yangtze River City Group, and small area of Chengdu Chongqing city agglomeration are the high intensity zone of public participation in environmental regulation. 3) The factor detection results from Geodetector excluded two primary variables: fixed assets investment per square kilometer and the number of college students per tens thousands of people. 4) The OLS model fitting results show that the driving force affecting the public participation in environmental regulation intensity followed by environmental risk factors, human factors, stress intensity factor, the informatization level of emission factor, economic factor, and industrial structure factor. In addition to the industrial structure and the level of information, the other factors are positively correlated with public participation in environmental regulation. 5) Multinomial parameters show that the GWR model of public participation environmental regulation intensity in the Yangtze River Economic Belt is better than the OLS model. 6) The GWR model fitting shows the driving factors of spatial heterogeneity, and spatial heterogeneity of each driving factor has the difference, provides a theoretical basis for environmental regulation policy and public participation intensity differences for different regions to take. The GWR model fitting results show the difference from spatial heterogeneity of each driving factor, and provides a theoretical basis and targeted strategies for of environmental regulation in different regions.

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    基于空间句法和LBS大数据的合肥市人口分布空间格局研究
    张晓瑞,华茜,程志刚
    地理科学. 2018, 38 (11): 1809-1816.   DOI: 10.13249/j.cnki.sgs.2018.11.008
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    针对目前城市人口分布研究现状,在传统的空间句法模型基础上,将LBS大数据技术有机引入到城市人口分布研究中,从而构建了理论分布和实际分布有机结合的城市人口分布研究新思路。合肥市中心城区的案例研究显示:空间句法模型与LBS大数据分析所得到的人口集聚区域在空间上并不完全一致;根据空间句法模型和LBS大数据分析结果的综合对比,合肥市中心城区被划分为高密度、中密度和低密度3类人口分区,同时提出了不同密度分区的人口分布发展建议。研究表明,LBS大数据的适时、动态特点能弥补传统数据的不足,其与空间句法模型有机结合将能为城市人口分布研究提供更加精确高效的工具与方法。


    The space pattern of urban population distribution is a classical research topic of urban science and urban planning. In terms of the current research situation of urban population distribution, the LBS big data technology which is considered as a new method and tool to observe the urban spatial and temporal characteristics is introduced into the research of urban population distribution based on the traditional space syntax model. Then, a new idea of urban population distribution research with the integration of theoretical distribution and actual distribution is established. The case study in the central urban area of Hefei City shows that: the spatial clustering areas obtained respectively by space syntax model and LBS big data analyses are different in space. According to the comprehensive comparison of space syntax model and LBS big data analysis, the central urban area of Hefei City is divided into 3 types of population distribution including high density, medium density and low density. The high density zoning consists of the old town, Shushan district and Baohe district. The medium density zoning includes Binhu district, Luyang district and High-tech area. Meanwhile, the low density zoning consists of economic developing area and Yaohai district. Finally, the suggestions of population distribution development in different density partitions are proposed. The research shows that the timely and dynamic characteristics of LBS big data can make up for the shortcomings of traditional data and greatly broaden the source and timeliness of basic data. Obviously, this will enhance the accuracy of the study. And, more importantly, it will provide more accurate and efficient tools and methods combined with the classical space syntax model for the study of urban population distribution. In addition, it is hoped that this research can make some exploration and reference for expanding the practical application field of LBS big data.

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    基于行动者网络理论的逢简村传统村落空间转型机制解析
    杨忍,徐茜,周敬东,陈燕纯
    地理科学. 2018, 38 (11): 1817-1827.   DOI: 10.13249/j.cnki.sgs.2018.11.009
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    基于行动者网络理论,对顺德区杏坛镇“逢简水乡”的空间重构过程与机制进行分析。结果表明: 逢简村的空间转型过程分为旅游型美丽乡村的建设和运营2个阶段。美丽乡村建设阶段是以地方政府为关键行动者,形成了以权力为核心的自上而下征召的行动者网络,实现了乡村环境的综合整治,为运营阶段做准备。运营阶段的行动者网络发生了转变,村集体、村民和其他下层行动者逐渐拥有更多的话语权,强化村民自治经营能力,增加了村内的公共空间建设并推进功能性空间的转化,进入了社区营造和经营阶段。乡村转型发展的过程中,行动者网络的结构处于时时动态调整的状态,乡村空间转型与重组呈现出一个持续的过程。随着关键行动者目的转变、社区营造机制的引入(征召方式的改变),网络中的行动者角色发生变化,促成行动者网络转变,进而对乡村空间转型与重构产生作用。


    With China’s rural transformation development, the rural space is facing a significant reconstruction. This article analyzes the process and mechanism of spatial reconstruction of "Fengjian" in Xingtan Town, Shunde District, Foshan City by using the theory of actor network. The results shown that this village had experienced two stages: the construction phase of the tourism-type beautiful countryside and the operation phase of cultural tourism-type village. With the local government acting as the key actor, the actor network of the construction is authority-based and realized the reconstruction of the ecology, living and production space. The operation phase of the network has changed, with the village committee, villagers and other lower-level actors gradually gaining more right to speak, which increased the public space and promoted the transformation of functional space. The mechanism of the actor's network transformation is mainly due to the change of the key actor's purpose, the adoption of the community empowerment (changing the way of enrolment), and the change of the actor's role in the network. As the actor network is in a dynamic process, rural spatial reconstruction is also a continuous process. The reconstruction of the rural space caused the dissolution of rurality. But under protection of the government and the villagers with high awareness of the reserving rural nature, a good demonstration of balancing the villagers’ interest and rurality was present.

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    长三角地区研发企业集聚与知识溢出强度——连续空间中的微观分析
    王庆喜,胡志学
    地理科学. 2018, 38 (11): 1828-1836.   DOI: 10.13249/j.cnki.sgs.2018.11.010
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    利用2005年中国规模以上制造业企业数据,以长三角地区为范围,对企业地址进行地理编码,建立企业点对点的空间邻近关系,将距离从5 km逐次扩大到100 km,进行企业知识溢出的空间效应分析。研究发现,长三角地区的研发企业比较集中,大约在20 km范围内有明显的集聚状况,之后则有比较明显的分散,并与整体制造业活动空间分布趋向一致。知识溢出的空间强度随距离递增呈负指数幂函数形式加速衰减,于40 km处左右减势趋于平缓。与连续空间上的微观数据分析相比,区域层面上的归并数据分析放大了知识溢出的效应。


    Former studies on knowledge spillovers often deal with aggregate data at regional level. However, the observed knowledge spillover comes from spatial interaction among micro entities, and needs to be examined microcosmically in nature. This article, employing micro data of Chinese manufacturing firms above designated size in 2005, analyzes spatial effects of firm knowledge spillovers in the Yangtze River Delta. Firstly, this article identifies geographical coordinates of all firms from Baidu API by R language program, and then calculates the point-to-point geosphere distances among firms. Secondly, with a step of 1 km in a range of 0-100 km, this article explores spatial point pattern of firms with DO index. This article discovers that R&D firms are significantly clustered within a scope of about 20 km, then disperse as distance increases, and tend to accord with the spatial distribution of all the manufacturing firms in the end. This article compares the results with those drawn from EG index calculated at various regional levels under Monte Carlo simulation, and finds that R&D firms are significantly agglomerated at village, town or county levels. However, at city level, firm agglomeration is not significantly observed. The significance level becomes lower as regional level gets higher. Thirdly, this paper constructs spatial contiguity relationships based on threshold distance. To observe how spatial effects of knowledge spillovers vary as distance increases, this paper set multiple threshold distances step by step from 5 km to 100 km, with a step of 5 km. With the package of spdep in R language, this article analyzes the spatial effects of knowledge spillovers at individual level in continuous space based on knowledge production function. This paper finds that, within range of 0-100 km, the spatial effects of firm knowledge spillovers decrease more and more rapidly, and can be described with a fitted function of negative exponential power. Beyond 40 km, the effect of knowledge spillovers moves down a stable low level. This shows that the spatial extent of firm knowledge spillover may be within a distance of about 40 km. Compared with micro data analysis in continuous space, aggregate data analyses based on regional analysis exaggerate the effects of knowledge spillovers. With the analysis of micro data, this article can avoid the modifiable area unit problem effectively, which is a big trouble appearing in the studies based on aggregate data. Under the limitation of the capability of computers, this paper only analyzes the firm data of the Yangtze River Delta in 2005. Subsequent researches can expand the spatial extent and prolong time duration to obtain more general results.

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    基于人口变化的东莞城镇增长与收缩特征和机制研究
    杜志威,李郇
    地理科学. 2018, 38 (11): 1837-1846.   DOI: 10.13249/j.cnki.sgs.2018.11.011
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    基于人口变化的视角,考察东莞城镇人口增长与收缩所出现的结构性变化,分析金融危机前后东莞城镇人口在规模数量、年龄结构、性别结构、学历结构,以及不同类型增长城镇与收缩城镇的产业经济和空间格局特征,并建立面板回归模型探讨影响城镇人口增长与收缩的因素和机制。研究表明,东莞总人口规模趋于波动增长的同时,人口结构呈现出外来人口市民化加快、男女性别失衡加剧、人口年轻化与高学历化的转变;增长类型城镇产业结构以先进制造业和现代服务业为主,而收缩类型城镇则面临传统加工制造业的转型升级问题;空间上呈现“北增长-南收缩”的格局,形成了中部增长、西北部和东南部收缩的城镇集中片区;而宏观经济波动、产业转型升级、科技创新投入、地方发展方式影响着东莞城镇人口的增长与收缩。


    After the financial crisis in 2008, a new phenomenon “shrinkage” has appeared in Dongguan’s urban area, which manifested population size reducing in its towns. Although the economic recovery rapidly in the post-crisis period, the spatial separation of population growth and shrinkage is aggravating, accompanied by a series of changes in the demographic structure. Base on the perspective of demographic change, this article makes an in-depth analysis of the growth and shrinkage in Dongguan by using the Social Security Registration data. We summarize the characteristic of demographic changes in the size, age, gender and education after the financial crisis, and industrial economic structure of different towns. Moreover, we construct a panel regression model for exploring the factors and mechanisms that affect urban population growth and shrinkage. The result shows: 1) While the population size of Dongguan tends to growing in fluctuation, the population structure shows trends for migrant population localization, male and female more imbalance, younger and highly educated population. 2) Advanced manufacturing and modern service industries to promote city growing, and outward processing and manufacturing transformation failure will affect the city shrinking. 3) The spatial distribution shows the "growing in the north, shrinking in the south", forming a concentrated area where the central area growing, the northwest area and the southeastern area are shrinking. 4) Macroeconomic fluctuation, industrial transformation, technological innovation inputs and local development pathway have significant impacts on demographic growth and shrinkage in Dongguan.

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    沈阳铁西区社区弹性特征与成因分析
    陈玉洁,张平宇
    地理科学. 2018, 38 (11): 1847-1854.   DOI: 10.13249/j.cnki.sgs.2018.11.012
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    基于问卷数据,运用统计分析、地理探测器,分析沈阳铁西区不同社区弹性差异、影响因素及其成因。研究发现:商品房社区社会弹性、制度弹性、社区资本分值高于单位社区;单位社区的经济弹性、物质弹性分值高于商品房社区。物质弹性、制度弹性对社区资本影响作用较为显著,社会弹性、经济弹性影响作用较小。从制度转型、地方政府、经济发展、社区服务和社会与个人5方面探讨了沈阳铁西区社区弹性成因。沈阳铁西区在搬迁改造、产业转型等冲击下,城市更新过程表现出较强的适应能力和较弱的学习能力,这是社会弹性、经济弹性、制度弹性、物质弹性共同作用的结果。


    Based on statistical analysis and geographical detector from primary data, this article analyzes the differential community resilience and influential factors and causing reasons in Shenyang Tiexi District. The results indicate that: 1) The respective score of social resilience, institutional resilience and community capital in commercial-house community are higher than those in unit residential community. While the score of economic resilience and physical resilience in commercial-house community is lower than unit residential community’s. 2) Physical resilience and institutional resilience, rather than social resilience and economic resilience, exert a significant effect on community resilience. 3) The comprehensive causing reason of community resilience, contained institutional transformation, local government, economic development, community service, social and individual factors, is put forward. Under the impact of transformation of the relocation, industrial transformation etc, stronger adaptability and weaker learning ability are reflected in the urban regeneration, which is the comprehensive result of social resilience, economic resilience, institutional resilience and physical resilience.

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    基于乡村振兴战略的人居文化环境质量演变驱动机制研究——以长江中游城市群为例
    朱媛媛,甘依霖,曾菊新,孙璇
    地理科学. 2018, 38 (11): 1855-1863.   DOI: 10.13249/j.cnki.sgs.2018.11.013
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    实施乡村振兴战略,必将重塑中国现有乡村人居文化环境格局并形成城乡人居文化融合发展的新格局。在科学界定乡村人居文化环境的基础上,侧重解析长江中游城市群乡村人居文化环境的时空基底;并围绕乡村人居文化环境的质量测度,遴选影响人居文化环境变化的关键人类活动因子,构建由目标层、系统指标层、目标分解层与具体指标层所构成的评价指标体系;综合运用人地关系理论、复杂系统理论、景观生态理论,借助Delphi及AHP法和ArcGIS平台探析2005~2015年长江中游城市群地区的乡村人居文化环境时空演变特征。结果显示: 长江中游城市群地区的乡村人居文化环境质量呈现差异化上升的趋势。宜昌、长株潭地区的乡村人居文化环境质量一直处于优良级别,武汉、南昌两大省会所辖乡村地区发展迅速,衡阳市、常德市等传统工业基地已由优良等级逐步降为较差或恶劣等级。 乡村人居文化环境及子系统质量的演变并非完全同步。人居物质文化是人居文化环境系统演变的基础,直接带动了人居制度文化的优先演变,人居精神文化环境滞后于人居物质、制度文化环境的演变。乡村人居文化环境的时空演变由政府体制机制扶持保障力、现代农业产业体系支撑多元主体需求力、农村公共设施服务力“四轮”共同驱动。


    Since China’s Strategy Plan for Rural Vitalization (2018-2022) was issued in 2018, that will break the existing cultural pattern of rural living environment and form a new pattern in China. The new pattern will be the urban-rural cultural integrated development. In the new era of rural development habitat cultural environment, this paper analyzed the spatio-temporal basis and development dilemma of the rural living environment at urban agglomeration in the middle reaches of the Yangtze River. This paper focused on the quality measurement of rural habitat cultural environment and built a hierarchy of evaluation index system from several factors that affect the habitat cultural environment. By using complex theories and methods such as theory of human-land relationship, theory of complex system, theory of landscape ecology, methods of Delphi and AHP, spatial analysis methods of ArcGIS, the paper explored the spatial-temporal evolution of rural habitat cultural environment at urban agglomeration in the middle reaches of the Yangtze River from 2005 to 2015. Three highlights results were unveiled: first, the quality of rural habitat cultural environment has been showing a difference trend of increasing at urban agglomeration in the middle reaches of the Yangtze River; second, the quality of rural habitat cultural environment has been at the most excellent level in Yichang and Chang-zhu-tan regions; and third, the rural areas are developing rapidly in Wuhan and Nanchang. Traditional industrial bases, such as Hengyang and Changde, have been developed from fine level gradually reduced to poor or bad level. The quality evolutions of rural habitat cultural environment and subsystem are not completely synchronized. The habitat material culture is the basis of systematic evolution, and directly led the priority evolution of habitat institutional culture. The evolution of habitat spiritual-cultural environment lags behind rural habitat cultural environment’s and habitat institutional culture’s. The spatio-temporal evolution of rural habitat cultural environment is driven by four forces, including the support security forces of government system and mechanism, support force of modern agricultural industry system, demand force of multiple subjects, service force of rural public facilities.

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    东北地区可持续生计安全时空分异格局及障碍因子诊断
    周宏浩,陈晓红
    地理科学. 2018, 38 (11): 1864-1874.   DOI: 10.13249/j.cnki.sgs.2018.11.014
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    随着“新东北现象”的出现,东北地区转型与可持续发展问题突显,可持续生计安全亟待提升。以2003~2015年东北地区37个地级市为例,基于可持续生计安全框架构建可持续生计安全评价体系,采用灰色关联TOPSIS模型对东北地区可持续生计安全进行综合测度,并运用空间自相关、地理探测器和障碍度模型等方法探讨其时空格局演变规律、空间分异成因和障碍因素。结果表明:东北地区可持续生计安全指数总体偏低,整体上空间分异特征明显,但随时间推移,区域间差异逐渐缩小。空间集聚性特征显著,热点区和次热点区分布主要呈现哈长地区和沈大沿线地区两大组团,次冷点区和冷点区呈边缘式分布于内蒙古东部、黑龙江北部、吉林南部等经济落后地区。工业化水平、经济总量、工资收入、二氧化硫排放强度和投资强度等是影响东北地区可持续生计安全的主要因素。资源环境支撑力和经济生产力是制约东北地区可持续生计安全提升的两大短板;空间阻力模式以“经济效率>生态安全>社会公平”类型占主导。最后,提出应将政策与制度因素纳入可持续生计安全框架。


    With the emergence of new ‘The Northeast China Phenomenon’, the transformation and sustainable development of the Northeast China were highlighted, and sustainable livelihood security needed to be improved urgently. Based on the framework of sustainable livelihood security analysis, the study constructed a evaluation system of sustainable livelihood security including 27 indicators in Northeast China by taking the 37 prefecture level cities of the Northeast China as the research object from 2003 to 2015. By using GRA-TOPSIS model, the study had a comprehensive measure of sustainable livelihoods security in the Northeast China. Based on spatial autocorrelation method, geographical detector and obstacle degree model, the study not only revealed spatio-temporal evolution of sustainable livelihood security, but also analyzed the causes of spatial differentiation and the diagnosis of obstacle factors in the Northeast China since 2003. The result showed that: 1) Sustainable livelihood security index (SLSI) in the Northeast China was on the low level as a whole, and the characteristics of spatial differentiation were obvious, but its regional difference reduced gradually in recent years. 2) The spatial agglomeration of sustainable livelihoods security in the Northeast China presented significantly, and the hot spots and sub hot spots showed the main area including the Shenyang-Dalian and Harbin-Changchun groups; the sub cold area and cold area were marginally distributed in less-developed areas, including the eastern Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region, the northern Heilongjiang Province and the southern Jilin Province. 3) Industrialization level, economic output, wage, emission intensity of sulfur dioxide and investment intensity are the main influencing factors of sustainable livelihood security in Northeast china. 4) The supporting capacity of resources and environment and economic productivity are the two short boards restricting the sustainable livelihood security improvement in Northeast China, and the most dominant type of economic efficiency is the most widely distributed area. Finally, this study put forward the factors of regional policy and system into the framework of sustainable livelihood security analysis.

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    山东半岛城市群经济联系空间格局演变研究
    于谨凯,马健秋
    地理科学. 2018, 38 (11): 1875-1882.   DOI: 10.13249/j.cnki.sgs.2018.11.015
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    基于产业互补性、综合经济质量、经济距离等多角度修正传统引力模型,运用社会网络分析法,对2006~2015年山东半岛城市群17市经济联系空间格局演变特征进行可视化分析。结果表明:城市群经济联系强度缓慢增长,经济联系方向逐渐多样化,整体网络逐渐密集;城市群网络中心性水平始终偏低,点入点出度差距增大;部分子群构成与行政区划分布不耦合,以济南、青岛为核心的两大经济圈间缺乏资源互通和产业交流。交通技术创新、产业结构变动、要素资源流动是山东半岛城市群经济联系空间格局演变的主要影响因素。


    The research analyzes spatial pattern evolution of urban agglomeration economic links mainly by means of social network analysis, based on the strength characteristics of economic links using the strength matrix constructed by modified gravity model. The model is mainly corrected from three dimensions: the complementary between different industries, comprehensive economic quality and economical distance which considers both time and economy cost. The research, taking 17 cities in Shandong Peninsula urban agglomeration as study objects, reveals the spatial pattern evolution of economic links from 2006 to 2015 with the help of ArcGIS 10.2 and Ucinet 6.0 which can manipulate data and render images. The results are shown as follows: 1) The overall strength of economic interaction grows slowly despite of its low level and the directions of economic linkage between different cities vary a lot, which contributes to a more dense network; 2) The level of overall centricity degree grows slowly, which indicates a low liquidity of resources among cities in urban agglomeration. Moreover, the disparity between indegree and outdegree gets more and more obvious; 3) The members of urban subgroups is usually unstable and some of the subgroups are uncoupled with the distribution of administrative districts, which lead to a low economic level of some cities; 4) Jinan and Qingdao become the core cities of two different economic circles in Shandong Peninsula urban agglomeration, whereas the communications of resources and energies and industry connections between the two city subgroups is scanty. At last, through the study of influencing factors we found that innovations of transportation technology, changes of industrial structure and flows of essential resources become the main factors for the evolution of spatial pattern of economic linkage in this urban agglomeration.

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    中国3A级以上旅游景区空间集聚特征研究
    李鹏,虞虎,王英杰
    地理科学. 2018, 38 (11): 1883-1891.   DOI: 10.13249/j.cnki.sgs.2018.11.016
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    基于中国3 228个3A级以上旅游景区数据分析其空间集聚特征。结果表明,中国3A级以上旅游景区具有典型的“类型极化、区域分化、板块集聚”的分布特征,胡焕庸线两侧景区密度悬殊;中东部地区为凝聚-随机分布,西部地区为凝聚分布,不同区域发育主题和特色不同;5A级景区集聚在经济发达地区,4A级景区沿黄河、长江集中分布,3A级景区多处于东部滨海沿线;历史知名度、自然地理环境、人口经济规模、交通区位条件、审批标准、效仿发展等因素影响较大,循环累积效应显著。据此提出“区域平衡、跨区协调、分类优化”的发展建议。


    Tourism scenic spots are indicative indicators for the development of China’s tourism industry. Research on spatial distribution of tourism scenic spots has great significance for the optimization of regional tourism development. Based on the data of 3 228 more than 3A-class tourist scenic areas (spots) in China Hongkong, Macou and Taiwan are excluded, using the method of kernel density, average nearest neighbor, spatial analysis and other methods, this article analyze the level, type, the geographical distribution of the scenic spots in China. Research shows that China’s more than 3A-class tourism scenic spots have typical characteristics of type polarizable, regional differentiation and plate agglomeration. There is a great disparity in the density of scenic spots on both sides of the Hu line. There are a lot of scenic spots in half of the country in the Southeast especially in the Beijing Tianjin area, the Pan Yangtze River Delta city group, the Pearl River Delta city group, the Chengdu Chongqing Region, while the northwest and northeastern regions are less distributed. The distribution of tourism attractions in the middle east and western regions is extremely unbalanced. The middle east regions present between cluster and random distribution, while western regions is characterized by significant cluster characteristics. Different levels of tourist attractions show a different distribution structure. The spatial distribution of 5A-class tourist attractions in China is ‘cross-shaped’, including the Beijing Tianjin Hebei region which is centered on Beijing and the Yangtze River Delta, on Shanghai especially in the Yangtze River Delta. The distribution characteristics of China’s 4A-class tourist attractions along the Yangtze River and the Yellow River, are more obvious, which is showing the distribution characteristics of ‘two lines and two pieces’. The distribution of the 3A-class scenic spots in China is characterized by the linear distribution along the coastline and the agglomeration of the Chengdu and Chongqing Region. In addition, the distribution characteristics in different types of scenic spots in the three regions of China show great differences and different characteristics. The distributed diversity are related to the forming factors of scenic spots including historical popularity, quality of tourism resources, geographical environment, level of population economic development, historical and cultural district, traffic conditions and other factors. In the future, the development strategy should be optimized with regional balance, cross district coordination and classification optimization.

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    中国边缘海沉积物中239+240Pu的来源与存量模型
    黄亚楠,潘少明,刘志勇
    地理科学. 2018, 38 (11): 1892-1903.   DOI: 10.13249/j.cnki.sgs.2018.11.017
    摘要   HTML   PDF (894KB)

    对海水和沉积物中239+240Pu活度、240Pu/239Pu比值和239+240Pu存量的分析,可以为海洋环境中水团输运、黑潮海水入侵、颗粒物通量、颗粒清除过程、污染物堆积、沉积年代等问题的研究提供有效途径。针对中国边缘海沉积物中239+240Pu活度分布、240Pu/239Pu比值特征和239+240Pu存量进行比较讨论,发现虽然全球大气沉降和太平洋核试验场的输入是中国边缘海沉积物中239+240Pu的2个主要来源,但是中国边缘海海洋环境中不同区域Pu的来源的比例有差异。同时,文中系统探讨了利用Pu端元法研究中国边缘海海洋沉积物中239+240Pu存量的质量平衡模型,这对认识海洋中沉积物的源与汇以及海洋放射性环境状况具有一定意义。


    Plutonium (Pu) is valuable a tracer for the study of marine biogeochemical processes, and an important element for evaluating the state of the marine environment. In seawater and marine sediments, it provided an effective tool for the studies of water transport in the marine environment, seawater intrusion, particle inventories, particle removal processes, the accumulation of pollutants, sediment age and other issues. In this article, the distribution of 239+240Pu activities, 240Pu/239Pu atom ratios and 239+240Pu inventories in marine sediments from China's marginal seas were analyzed. It was found that different regions of the marine environment show differences in the origins of the Pu, with global fallout and PPG (Pacific Proving Grounds) inputs being the two major sources of Pu. The 240Pu/239Pu atom ratios in the surface sediments from China’s marginal seas ranged from 0.158 to 0.297, and the activity range was 0.048 to 1.160 Bq/kg.The ocean is a continuous whole, and there was no simple linear relationship between 239+240Pu and 240Pu/239Pu in marine surface sediments.Using a simplified Pu two-end members model to calculate the ratio of PPG contribution 239+240Pu in China's marginal sea sediments range was from 0 to 68%. The data of Pu were discussed to have significance for understanding the sources and sinks of Pu in the ocean and marine environment.

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    基于Landsat 8 OLI数据与面向对象分类的昆嵛山地区土地覆盖信息提取
    张春华,李修楠,吴孟泉,秦伟山,张筠
    地理科学. 2018, 38 (11): 1904-1913.   DOI: 10.13249/j.cnki.sgs.2018.11.018
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    利用2015年Landsat 8 OLI遥感影像和DEM作为分类数据源,结合野外调查数据,采用面向对象的分类方法对昆嵛山地区土地覆盖信息进行提取,并对分类结果进行精度评价与比较分析。研究表明:面向对象分类方法提取的各地类连续且边界清晰,分类效果与实际情况基本吻合。昆嵛山地区占主导地位的土地覆盖类型是针叶林,面积为1 546.81 km2。研究区土地覆盖分类的总体精度和Kappa系数分别为91.5%和0.88,其中针叶林、草地、水体和建设用地的生产者精度均达到87%以上。相对于监督分类方法,本研究提出的土地覆盖信息提取方法的总体分类精度和Kappa系数分别提高14.7%和0.17。基于面向对象的中分辨率遥感影像,能够获取较高精度的土地覆盖信息,为大范围土地覆盖分类研究提供方法参考。


    Land cover classification is the basis for geoscience and global change studies. It can provide essential information for modelling and understanding the complex interactions between human activities and global change. Remote sensing has been widely recognized as the most economic and feasible approach to derive land cover information on a large regional scale. Landsat satellite data are commonly used remote sensing data for land cover classification. The object-oriented classification method, which takes full advantage of the spectral, geometrical and textural information of remote sensing images and considers the spatial distribution characteristics and correlations of geographical objects, can mitigate the deficiency associated with the pixel-based approach. The purpose of this study is to deepen the application of object-oriented classification method that is utilized to extract land cover information automatically and quickly from the satellite imagery. Taking the Kunyu Mountain of Jiaodong peninsula in Shandong province as the study area, land cover classification was conducted by using the object-oriented classification method on eCognition software platform, with Landsat 8 OLI satellite image in 2015 and digital elevation model (DEM) as data sources. Firstly, Landsat 8 OLI data of high quality was selected, and preprocessed by radiometric calibration, atmospheric correction, accurate geometric correction, image registration and fusion. Feature parameters including spectral (normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), band brightness), shape (area, roundness, rectangular fit), and topographic (DEM, slope) characteristics were calculated. Then, the land cover information was classified into cropland, grassland, needleleaf forest, broadleaf forest, built-up land, water bodies, and barren land by the object-oriented method following the steps of multi-resolution image segmentation, object feature extraction, and classification rule set construction. Finally, the accuracy of this method was evaluated and compared with that of the pixel-based supervised classification method and ground validation sampling points. The results indicate that land cover information extracted by the object-oriented classification method using Landsat 8 OLI data is well consistent with the true condition on distribution and range of each land cover type in the Kunyu Mountain. The dominant type of land cover is needleleaf forests, with the area of 1546.81 km2. The overall accuracy and Kappa coefficient of the method are 91.5% and 0.88, respectively. The production accuracy is higher than 87% for needleleaf forests, grassland, water bodies, and built-up land. By comparison with the maximum likelihood supervised classification method, the overall classification accuracy and Kappa coefficient of the proposed method in this study are increased by 14.7% and 0.17, respectively. This means the moderate resolution Landsat 8 OLI image, combined with the object-oriented classification method can effectively improve the accuracy of land cover information extraction in the typical vegetation areas. This study will provide a credible approach and valuable example for extracting and monitoring regional land cover type, and broaden the application vision and the scope of ecological remote sensing investigation in terrestrial ecosystem.

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    基于卷积神经网络和高分辨率影像的湿地群落遥感分类——以洪河湿地为例
    孟祥锐,张树清,臧淑英
    地理科学. 2018, 38 (11): 1914-1923.   DOI: 10.13249/j.cnki.sgs.2018.11.019
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    以洪河国家级自然保护区为研究对象,应用卷积神经网络(CNN)方法进行高分辨率湿地遥感影像的分类研究,并与基于光谱支持向量机(SP-SVM)的方法和基于纹理及光谱的支持向量机(TSP-SVM)的方法进行了对比。结果显示,对于所选取的2个研究区域,CNN分类方法的全局精度高于SP-SVM方法5.61%和5%,高于TSP-SVM方法4.18%和4.15%。尤其对于部分湿地植被的分类精度明显高于SP-SVM和TSP-SVM方法。研究表明,卷积神经网络为湿地识别的精细划分提供了有利的手段。


    On the high-resolution remote sensing imagery, the feature of the ground object spectra is very rich. The spectral differences are increased within the same type, differences between the categories are decreased, and the phenomenon is obvious that the same object with different spectra and the different objects with the same spectrum. Under high-resolution remote sensing imagery, the application of shallow classification models for classifying wetland remote sensing cannot unearth sufficient information, while the adoption of deep-structure models for classification of high-resolution wetland remote sensing images can fully utilize the spatial structure information of images. Deep-featured representations allow layered learning from simple concepts to higher-level complex patterns such as textures, segments, and objects. Convolutional neural network is a very representative network structure in deep learning, and it has been gradually applied to the classification of remote sensing images in the past two years. This article constructs a proper framework for the study of area image classification by selecting the size of convolution kernels and pooling kernels, classifiers and activation functions, and optimizing the number of convolutional layers. A study on the classification of different vegetation types in Sanjiang Plain Honghe National Nature Reserve is carried out through experiments. A comparison of accuracy is made between support vector machines method based on the spectrum and the support vector machines method based on the texture and spectrum. Experiments show that: 1) When adding the texture spectral features to the classification method, the classifying accuracy by SVM method based on Pixel is slightly improved compared with the SVM method based on spectrum. The CNN classification method based on patch with spectrum, texture, size, color and other semantic features, of which classification accuracy is generally higher than about 4% of the TSP-SVM method. 2) Pixel based classification methods can produce salt and pepper noise effects for misclassified pixels, and it’s hard to deal with the abundant Information from high-resolution data. The key feature of CNN’s algorithm is that it does not require manual pre-extraction of features, and the processing and classifying of images is performed in an end-to-end manner, so it has a stronger generalization ability. 3) However, in the experiment, it is also found that , on the one hand, the accuracy of the CNN classifier on the boundary is not as good as that of the SVM classifier, and there is a phenomenon of uncertainty along the boundary of the object in the classification, which leads to excessive smoothness to a certain extent. On the other hand, in the use of the CNN classifier, although the spectral features are significant, there is little spatial information and it may be misclassified. The experimental results conclude that the CNN as a deep structure classifier explores the complex spatial patterns hidden in high-resolution remote sensing images, and it can extract more abundant semantic features of the ground. Therefore, the use of the CNN method is more accurate to classify high-resolution wetland remote sensing images, and it can provide decision support for real-time monitoring, management, and protection of wetlands.

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    河流洪涝对城市公共安全应急响应能力的影响研究——以上海市外环以内中心城区为例
    经雅梦,殷杰,叶明武,廖邦固,尹占娥,许世远
    地理科学. 2018, 38 (11): 1924-1932.   DOI: 10.13249/j.cnki.sgs.2018.11.020
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    以上海市外环以内中心城区作为研究区域,采用洪涝情景模拟与GIS网络分析相结合的研究方法,评估了当前以及未来不同重现期河流洪涝情景下城市公共安全(110)应急响应能力。研究结果表明:在洪涝情景下,部分城市路网瘫痪、交通中断,应急车辆无法通行,公安应急服务空间可达性范围较正常情况明显变小,应急响应能力降低;由于高脆弱性区域(棚户区)主要位于黄浦江沿岸地区,江水漫溢导致淹没路段较多,因此部分棚户区的救援时间会出现延迟甚至失去应急救援服务。通过对河流洪涝情景下城市公共安全(110)应急响应能力的评估研究,可为城市洪涝灾害应急响应部门制定预防与应对措施提供理论和科学依据,具有重要的现实意义。


    In recent decades, in the context of global warming and rapid urbanization, increasing flood and waterlogging have resulted in a great threat to urban socio-economic development and public safety, and have been one of the hotpots in the field of natural hazards research. In this paper, the city center (within outer ring) of Shanghai, China has been selected as the study area. A simplified 1D/2D hydrodynamic model (FloodMap) was used to derive fluvial flood inundation associated with urban road network. Furthermore, GIS-based network analysis (New Service Area and New Closest Facility) was applied to evaluate the emergency responses accessibility of critical public service sectors (Public Safety 110) under normal and multiple scenarios of fluvial flooding (current state, 2030s and 2050s). The results show that, 1) at normal (smooth traffic) condition, emergency response service could cover almost the total research area, which could reach the majority (80%) of the study area within 15 minutes at the condition of extremely congested roads. 2) During 1 in 100 year flood scenario, part of the road network (mainly at the bank of Huangpu River) loses its capacity. As the interruption of the surrounding road network, the number of public security agency which lost the emergency response capability has also increased significantly. Among these, the most serious condition is of 22 police stations who lost emergency rescue capability, while the service area of emergency department have obviously decreased. 3) During 1 in 1000 year flood scenario, the response areas were further reduced than normal and about 1/6 of the public security organization lose their emergency response ability. Under the condition of traffic congestion, 30% of the central city couldn’t get emergency rescue. To conclude: in the flood situation, fluvial flooding have a serious influence on urban road network, leading to travel delays and disruption of emergency vehicles, along with emergency service, whose geographic coverage is smaller than normal. As the high vulnerability areas (shanty towns) mainly located in the Huangpu River floodplain, emergency response for some parts of this zone will be delay and even unreachable. The study suggests that the assessment of urban police (110) emergency response under fluvial flooding scenarios are proved to be practical, and will provide theoretical and scientific basis for formulating prevention and response measures.

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    增温增湿环境下天山山区降雪量变化
    邓海军,陈亚宁,陈忠升
    地理科学. 2018, 38 (11): 1933-1942.   DOI: 10.13249/j.cnki.sgs.2018.11.021
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    基于APHRO’s气温和降水数据集,运用气温阈值模型,分析了1961~2015年间天山山区降雪量变化特征。研究表明,自1961年以来,天山山区升温趋势显著,速率为0.027℃/a,且冬半年的升温速度大于夏半年。同时,3 000 m海拔以上区域的平均气温上升到0℃左右。冬季降水的增加速率为0.42 mm/a(P<0.01),春季和夏季的降水量呈减少趋势。降雪量变化时空差异显著,3 000 m海拔以上区域降雪随气温的升高而增加,而3 000 m以下区域降雪随气温的升高而减少。最大降雪量气温是控制降雪变化的关键因子,当平均气温低于最大降雪量气温时,随气温升高降雪量呈增加趋势;当平均气温高于最大降雪量气温时,随气温升高降雪量呈减少趋势。


    Snow as a land-cover type that is mainly distributed at the high latitude and high altitude regions. Snowfall, as are main precipitation type in mountainous areas, presents significant temporal and spatial difference which was affected by climate change. In this study, based on APHRO’s dataset and temperature threshold model to analyze snowfall changes in the Tianshan Mountains during 1961-2015. Results indicated that: 1) Temperature showed increasing trend in the Tianshan Mountains since 1961, with a rate of 0.027℃/a. And temperature increase rate in winter was higher than that in summer. Meanwhile, the average air temperature of elevation above 3 000 m is rise to around 0℃ during 1961-2015. 2) Precipitation exhibited significant increasing with a rate of 0.42 mm/a (P<0.01) in winter, while decrease in spring and summer. 3) Snowfall changes were characterized by temporal and spatial variations. Snowfall presented positive relationship with air temperature in the regions with elevation over 3 000 m, while negative relationship in regions with elevation below 3 000 m. 4) Maximum snowfall temperature is a key factor to understanding changes of snowfall under warming. When mean temperature is below/above maximum snowfall temperature, snowfall usually increases/decreases with increased warming. Therefore, study on the snowfall variations in mountainous areas can be very helpful to understand the effects of climate change on hydrology process in mountainous areas.

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