云南省出口东盟的特征及其经济和就业贡献率分析

doi:10.13249/j.cnki.sgs.2018.02.010

地理科学 ›› 2018, Vol. 38 ›› Issue (2): 242-248.doi: 10.13249/j.cnki.sgs.2018.02.010

云南省出口东盟的特征及其经济和就业贡献率分析

唐志鹏^1,^2,³(), 邹嘉龄^1,⁴, 孙威^1,³()

1. 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所,北京100101
2.中国西南地缘环境与边疆发展协同创新中心,云南昆明 650500
3. 中国科学院大学资源与环境学院,北京100049
4. 中电科新型智慧城市研究院有限公司,广东深圳 518040

收稿日期:2017-02-03 修回日期:2017-07-15 出版日期:2018-04-10 发布日期:2018-04-10
作者简介:
作者简介：唐志鹏(1978-),男,四川成都人,博士,副研究员, 主要从事区域经济与区域可持续发展等方面研究。E-mail: tangzp@igsnrr.ac.cn
基金资助:
国家自然科学基金项目（41771135）、云南省中国西南地缘环境与边疆发展协同创新中心开放课题资助

Characteristics and the Contribution Rate of Its Economy and Employment of Yunnan’s Exports to ASEAN

Zhipeng Tang^1,^2,³(), Jialing Zou^1,⁴, Wei Sun^1,³()

1. Institute of Geography Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, China
2. Collaborative Innovation Center for Geopolitical Setting of Southwest China and Borderland Development, Kunming 650500, Yunnan,China
3. College of Resources and Environment, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China
4. The Smart City Research Institute of China Electronics Technology Group Corporation,Shenzhen,518040,Guangdong,China

Received:2017-02-03 Revised:2017-07-15 Online:2018-04-10 Published:2018-04-10
Supported by:
National Natural Science Foundation of China (41771135), Foundation of Collaborative Innovation Center for Geopolitical Setting of Southwest China and Borderland Development

摘要/Abstract

摘要：

利用海关信息数据、统计年鉴数据、相关贸易指标以及投入产出方法分析云南省与东盟之间的出口贸易特征,出口带来的经济和就业贡献。结果表明：云南省与东盟之间的贸易依赖关系显著增强,但是与东盟联系强度的空间分布不均匀,同时云南对东盟的出口产品出现升级特征,由矿产品、化工产品为主的出口转向了以农产品、电子制造产品为主的出口。云南省出口东盟农林牧渔产品对本省经济和就业贡献率最大,对农林牧渔产品深加工,有助于云南省的经济增长和保障就业,同时也有助于促进产业发展向技术密集型产业转型。

关键词: 云南, 东盟, 出口, 就业贡献率

Abstract:

Yunnan Province is located in the frontier of Southwest China, which borders on Vietnam, Myanmar and Laos. Since the agreement of Framework Agreement on Comprehensive Economic Co-operation Between the People’s Republic of China and the Association of South East Asian Nations, the trade relationship between Yunnan Province and the ASEAN plays an important role in the development of Yunnan Province. With “the Belt and Road” moves on, the trade relationship between Yunnan Province and the ASEAN would further intimate, while its export characteristics have also undergone tremendous changes. By using data from Customs and statistical yearbook, and with the help of related trade index and input-output method, this article analyzes export characteristics between Yunnan Province and the ASEAN. The result shows: the trade dependence between Yunnan and the ASEAN has been significantly enhanced, while Yunnan’s export trade to countries of the ASEAN is geographically unbalanced. Yunnan's export trade to the ASEAN has upgraded, from minerals-, chemical products-oriented to agricultural products-, electronic manufacturing products-oriented. As Yunnan Province’s export to ASEAN, agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry and fishery products had the strongest economic and employment effects, it can be argued that Yunnan’s export products upgrading can alleviate the employment problem, while promoting industrial transformation to technology-intensive industries. Under the research result, we take some advises that: firstly, ASEAN countries has a high economy growth rate, and Yunnan Province should be closer to ASEAN in the trade, especially to Vietnam etc.; Secondly, Yunnan Province should continue to promote the upgrading of export products for ASEAN steadily, especially for light industrial products to ensure the economic growth and employment growth incurred by the export; Thirdly, Yunnan Province should take “the Belt and Road” opportunities to increase its trade with ASEAN fully, and help to develop its economy. However, “the Burmese conflict” and other incidents would hinder the trade between Yunan and ASEAN, and China should offer some help for solving regional conflicts, which would help to build stronger trade relationship between Yunnan and ASEAN.

Key words: Yunnan, the association of South East Asian Nations(ASEAN), export, employment contribution rate

中图分类号:

F129.9

唐志鹏, 邹嘉龄, 孙威. 云南省出口东盟的特征及其经济和就业贡献率分析[J]. 地理科学, 2018, 38(2): 242-248.

Zhipeng Tang, Jialing Zou, Wei Sun. Characteristics and the Contribution Rate of Its Economy and Employment of Yunnan’s Exports to ASEAN[J]. SCIENTIA GEOGRAPHICA SINICA, 2018, 38(2): 242-248.

图/表 5

参考文献 23

[1]	邹嘉龄, 刘春腊, 尹国庆,等.中国与“一带一路”沿线国家贸易格局及其经济贡献[J].地理科学进展,2015,34(5): 598-605. doi: 10.11820/dlkxjz.2015.05.008
	[Zou Jialing,Liu Chunla, Yin Guoqing et al. Spatial patterns and economic effects of China’s trade with countries along the Belt and Road.Progress in Geography, 2015, 34(5): 598-605.] doi: 10.11820/dlkxjz.2015.05.008
[2]	Balassa B.Trade liberalisation and ‘revealed’ comparative advantage[J].The Manchester School, 1965, 33(2): 99-123. doi: 10.1111/j.1467-9957.1965.tb00050.x
[3]	J M Finger M E K A.Measure of ‘Export Similarity’ and Its Possible Uses[J].The Economic Journal, 1979, 89(356): 905-912. doi: 10.2307/2231506
[4]	Peter Drysdale R G.Trade intensities and the analysis of bilateral trade flows in a many-country world: A Survey[J].Hitotsubashi Journal of Economics, 1982, 22(2): 62-84. doi: 10.2514/6.2005-6747
[5]	刘习平.中国出口贸易、经济增长与就业关系的实证研究——基于中国1978~2010年数据的实证检验[J]. 国际贸易问题, 2012(11): 32-41.
	[Liu Xiping.An empirical study on the relationship among export trade, economic growth and employment in China. Journal of International Trade,2012(11): 32-41.]
[6]	彭丽. 中国农产品出口的经济效应研究[D]. 成都:西南财经大学, 2011: 1-73.
	[Peng Li.The Research of economic effect about china's agricultural products export. Chengdu: Southwestern University of Finance and Economics,2011:1-73]
[7]	丁雯. 我国出口商品结构和经济增长关系的实证分析[J].国际贸易问题, 2008(4): 3-8.
	[Ding Wen.Empirical Analysis between Commodity Export Structure and Economic Growth in China.Journal of International Trade, 2008(4) : 3-8.]
[8]	张志明, 代鹏, 崔日明. 中国增加值出口贸易的就业效应及其影响因素研究[J].数量经济技术经济研究, 2016(5): 103-121.
	[Zhang Zhiming, Dai Peng, Cui Riming.A Study on Employment Effect of China’s Value-added Export Trade and Its Determinants.The Journal of Quantitative & Technical Economics, 2016(5): 103-121.]
[9]	侯奔. 中国制造业贸易就业效应的实证研究[D].杭州: 浙江大学, 2010:1-66.
	[Hou Ben.Research on Manufacturing Trade and Employment of China. Hangzhou: Zhejiang University, 2010:1-66]
[10]	侯铁珊, 宋岩. 中国与东盟的贸易相关指数分析[J].国际贸易问题, 2005(7): 41-46.
	[Hou Tieshan, Song Yan.Analysis on Relative Trade Indexes between China and ASEAN. Journal of International Trade,2005(7):41-46]
[11]	潘青友.中国与东盟贸易互补和贸易竞争分析[J].国际贸易问题, 2004(7): 73-75.
	[Pan Qingyou.Analysis of the Trade Mutual Complement and Competition between Sino-ASEAN.Journal of International Trade, 2004(7): 73-75.]
[12]	张亚斌, 许苹.中国与东盟贸易竞争力及贸易相似度的实证分析[J].财经理论与实践, 2003, 24(6): 85-88. doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1003-7217.2003.06.020
	[Zhang Yabin, Xu Ping.An Empirical Research on Trade Competitive Power and Trade Comparability between China and ASEAN. The Theory and Practice of Finance and Economics, 2003, 24(6): 85-88.] doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1003-7217.2003.06.020
[13]	陈建军, 肖晨明.中国与东盟主要国家贸易互补性比较研究[J].世界经济研究, 2004(8): 22-28. doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1007-6964.2004.08.004
	[Chen Jianjun, Xiao Chenming.Comparative Study on Trade Complementation Between China and Main Countries of ASEAN.World Economy Study, 2004(8): 22-28.] doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1007-6964.2004.08.004
[14]	杜涛. 云南与东盟经贸现状分析及对策研究[J].云南财经大学学报, 2006, 22(3): 102-106. doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1674-4543.2006.03.020
	[Du Tao.Current Situation and Countermeasure of Economy and Trade between Yunnan Province and ASEAN.Journal of Yunnan University of Finance and Economics, 2006, 22(3): 102-106.] doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1674-4543.2006.03.020
[15]	肖杨, 刘秀玲.云南与东盟贸易发展情况研究[J].商场现代化, 2014(25): 17-18. doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1006-3102.2014.25.004
	[Xiao Yang, Liu Xiuling.Study on the Trade Development between Yunnan and ASEAN. Market Modernization, 2014(25):17-18] doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1006-3102.2014.25.004
[16]	罗春红. 云南与东盟贸易特点分析[J].中国商贸, 2012(35): 182-183.
	[Luo Chunhong.Analysis of the Trade Characteristics between Yunnan and ASEAN. China Business & Trade, 2012(35): 182-183.]
[17]	屠年松, 李德焱.云南省与东盟各国货物贸易分析[J].东南亚纵横, 2010(2): 27-30. doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1003-2479.2010.02.007
	[Tu Niansong, Li Deyan.Analysis on the Goods Trade between Yunnan and ASEAN Nations. Around Southeast Asia, 2010(2): 27-30.] doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1003-2479.2010.02.007
[18]	周文良, 庄丽娟.云南与东盟农产品贸易的现状及对策研究[J].商业研究, 2009(3): 185-188.
	[Zhou Wenliang, Zhuang Lijuan.Study on the Current Situation and Strategies of Agricultural Trade between Yunnan and ASEAN. Commercial Research, 2009(3): 185-188.]
[19]	屠年松, 洪文.云南与东盟商品贸易互补性研究[J].经济问题探索, 2010(5): 101-104. doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1006-2912.2010.05.020
	[Tu Niansong, Hong Wen.Study on the Complementarily of Commodity Trade between Yunnan and ASEAN. Inquiry into Economic Issues, 2010 (5): 101-104.] doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1006-2912.2010.05.020
[20]	彭有祥. 中国东盟自由贸易区建设与云南的对外开放[J].经济问题探索, 2008(2): 86-90. doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1006-2912.2008.02.019
	[Peng Youxiang.The Construction of China-ASEAN Free Trade Area and Yunnan’s Opening to the Outside World. Inquiry into Economic Issues, 2008(2): 86-90.] doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1006-2912.2008.02.019
[21]	云南省统计局.云南统计年鉴[M].北京:中国统计出版社, 2002-2016.
	[Yunnan Statistical Bureau. Yunnan Statistical Yearbook.Beijing: China Statistics Press, 2002-2016.]
[22]	国家统计局国民经济核算司.中国地区投入产出表2012[M].北京:中国统计出版社, 2016.
	[National Economic Accounting Division of National Bureau of Statistics of the People's Republic of China. The Chinese provincial input-output table 2012. Beijing: China Statistics Press, 2016.]
[23]	国家统计局国民经济核算司.中国投入产出表2007[M].北京:中国统计出版社, 2009.
	[ National Economic Accounting Division of National Bureau of Statistics of the People’s Republic of China. The Chinese national input-output table 2007. Beijing: China Statistics Press, 2009.]

云南省出口东盟的特征及其经济和就业贡献率分析

Characteristics and the Contribution Rate of Its Economy and Employment of Yunnan’s Exports to ASEAN

RichHTML

PDF (PC)

赞

可视化

被引次数

摘要/Abstract

引用本文

使用本文

图/表 5

参考文献 23

相关文章 15

Metrics

本文评价

推荐阅读 0

[1]	姜辉. 美国出口管制下中国外贸风险的省域地理差异[J]. 地理科学, 2020, 40(10): 1618-1626.
[2]	陆梦秋, 陈娱. “一带一路”倡议下中欧集装箱潜在铁路运输流的空间格局模拟[J]. 地理科学, 2019, 39(9): 1416-1424.
[3]	姜辉. 美国出口管制政策调整与中国香港贸易地理结构演变[J]. 地理科学, 2019, 39(5): 705-713.
[4]	刘希林,郭梨花. 泥石流易发区灾害可接受程度对比研究——以云南东川和甘肃舟曲为例[J]. 地理科学, 2019, 39(1): 164-172.
[5]	司增绰, 周坤, 仇方道, 邵军. 中国对“一带一路”沿线国家出口增长的边际特征时空变化[J]. 地理科学, 2018, 38(11): 1777-1787.
[6]	李伟, 贺灿飞. 劳动力成本上升与中国制造业空间转移[J]. 地理科学, 2017, 37(9): 1289-1299.
[7]	戢晓峰, 姜莉, 陈方. 云南省县域城镇化与交通优势度的时空协同性演化分析[J]. 地理科学, 2017, 37(12): 1875-1884.
[8]	李方一, 刘思佳, 程莹, 宋周莺. 出口增加值对中国区域产业结构高度化的影响[J]. 地理科学, 2017, 37(1): 37-45.
[9]	唐志鹏, 宋涛. 金融危机前后基于垂直专业化的中国出口价值份额分析[J]. 地理科学, 2016, 36(8): 1148-1154.
[10]	宋涛, 唐志鹏. 中国“出口世界工厂”的效率格局演变[J]. 地理科学, 2016, 36(7): 973-979.
[11]	陈利, 朱喜钢, 李小虎. 基于产业结构视角的云南省县域经济差异研究[J]. 地理科学, 2016, 36(3): 384-392.
[12]	贺灿飞, 任永欢, 李蕴雄. 产品结构演化的跨界效应研究——基于中国地级市出口产品的实证分析[J]. 地理科学, 2016, 36(11): 1605-1613.
[13]	梁经伟, 文淑惠, 方俊智. 中国-东盟自贸区城市群空间经济关联研究——基于社会网络分析法的视角[J]. 地理科学, 2015, 35(5): 521-528.
[14]	程进, 曾刚, 张云伟. 中国沿海大都市出口加工区生命周期研究——以上海金桥出口加工区为例[J]. 地理科学, 2012, 32(12): 1417-1423.
[15]	章新平, 关华德, 孙治安, 孙广禄, 张新主, 吴华武. 云南降水中稳定同位素变化的模拟和比较[J]. 地理科学, 2012, 32(1): 121-128.