环渤海地区海洋经济增长质量空间溢出效应研究

doi:10.13249/j.cnki.sgs.2020.08.005

地理科学 ›› 2020, Vol. 40 ›› Issue (8): 1266-1275.doi: 10.13249/j.cnki.sgs.2020.08.005

环渤海地区海洋经济增长质量空间溢出效应研究

李博¹(), 田闯², 金翠³^,*(), 史钊源⁴

1. 辽宁师范大学海洋经济与可持续发展研究中心，辽宁大连 116029
2. 大连海事大学航运经济与管理学院，辽宁大连 116026
3. 辽宁师范大学地理科学学院，辽宁大连 116029
4. 中山大学地理科学与规划学院，广东广州 510275

收稿日期:2019-08-11 出版日期:2020-08-10 发布日期:2020-12-07
通讯作者: 金翠 E-mail:libo_ok@126.com;cuijin@lnnu.edu.cn
作者简介:李博（1983−），女，吉林长春人，副教授，博士，主要从事区域发展和海洋经济地理研究。E-mail: libo_ok@126.com
基金资助:
国家自然科学基金项目（41976207）、辽宁省社科规划项目（L19BJY013）资助

Spatial Spillover Effects and Influence Mechanism of Marine Economic Growth Quality in Bohai Rim Region

Li Bo¹(), Tian Chuang², Jin Cui³^,*(), Shi Zhaoyuan⁴

1. Center for Studies of Marine Economy and Sustainable Development, Liaoning Normal University, Dalian 116029, Liaoning, China
2. School of Maritime Economics and Management, Dalian Maritime University, Dalian 116026, Liaoning, China
3. School of Geography, Liaoning Normal University, Dalian 116029, China
4. School of Geography and Planning, Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou 510275, Guangdong, China

Received:2019-08-11 Online:2020-08-10 Published:2020-12-07
Contact: Jin Cui E-mail:libo_ok@126.com;cuijin@lnnu.edu.cn
Supported by:
National Natural Science Foundation of China (41976207), Provincial Social Science Planning Project (L19BJY013)

摘要/Abstract

摘要：

海洋经济向质量效益型转变是建设海洋强国的新要求。通过构建海洋经济?地理距离空间权重矩阵对2000—2014年环渤海地区17个沿海地级市海洋经济增长质量主体的空间交互作用及空间效应进行研究；借助空间计量模型对海洋经济增长质量空间效应影响因素进行甄别。研究表明：① 环渤海地区海洋经济增长质量主体呈显著空间相关性，存在空间交互作用；② 海洋经济增长质量存在空间溢出的正反馈效应。影响因素中对环渤海地区海洋经济增长质量的直接贡献强度排序为：海洋环境>海洋产业>海洋人才>海洋资本>海洋科技，对其他地区溢出效应影响的排序为：海洋基建>海洋人才>海洋资本。研究为环渤海地区海洋政策制定提供一定参考依据。

关键词: 海洋经济增长质量, 溢出效应, SDM, 环渤海地区?

Abstract:

Marine economy in China should with more quality and effectiveness, which is a new requirement for the development of marine economy under the new normal context background. Based on panel data of marine economic growth quality in the Bohai Rim region from 2000 to 2014, the spatial weighting matrix based on marine economy-space distance function is established to discuss spatial autocorrelation of marine economic growth quality for coastal cities in the Bohai Rim region from 2000 to 2014. By mean of the space Durbin model, this paper studies spatial spillover effects and influence mechanism of marine economic growth quality for coastal cities in the Bohai Rim region, which also make a deterministic of the subject’s spatial and spatial effects. The results show that, 1)The marine economic growth quality of coastal areas in the Bohai Rim region from 2000 to 2014 is spatially correlated but with significant heterogeneity, and the differences of marine economic development in coastal areas have become increasingly significant. 2)The spatial Durbin model shows that the spatial autoregressive coefficient is positive and significant. There is a positive feedback effect of the space spillover for marine economic growth quality. Among the influencing factors, contributions to local marine economic growth quality with direct effect are: Marine environment>Marine industry>Marine talent>Marine capital>Marine science and technology, other mechanisms have no significant effect on local marine economic growth quality. Contributions to neighborhood marine economic growth quality with spatial spillover effect are: Marine infrastructure construction > Marine talent>Marine capital. The research provides some reference for the formulation of targeted and differentiated marine policies in the Bohai Rim region.

Key words: marine economic growth quality, spatial spillover effects, SDM, the Bohai Rim region

中图分类号:

李博, 田闯, 金翠, 史钊源. 环渤海地区海洋经济增长质量空间溢出效应研究[J]. 地理科学, 2020, 40(8): 1266-1275.

Li Bo, Tian Chuang, Jin Cui, Shi Zhaoyuan. Spatial Spillover Effects and Influence Mechanism of Marine Economic Growth Quality in Bohai Rim Region[J]. SCIENTIA GEOGRAPHICA SINICA, 2020, 40(8): 1266-1275.

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年份	Moran’s I	P	年份	Moran’sI	P	年份	Moran’s I	P
2000	0.005	0.363	2005	0.258	0.056*	2010	?0.101	0.433
2001	0.414	0.005***	2006	0.328	0.034**	2011	0.672	0.001***
2002	0.406	0.022**	2007	0.518	0.004***	2012	0.214	0.10*
2003	0.521	0.006***	2008	0.196	0.001***	2013	0.355	0.027**
2004	0.34	0.028**	2009	0.32	0.04**	2014	0.283	0.004***

变量	空间固定		滞后变量	空间固定		其他检验值
变量	回归系数	t值	滞后变量	回归系数	t值	其他检验值
K	0.0002***	3.83258	WK	?0.0006***	?4.27219	Wdep.var*.	0.3850***
C	?0.0277	?0.37117	WC	0.8347***	2.92409	R²	0.8551
I	0.7404***	2.95836	WI	?1.0403	?1.37481	Cor-R²	0.7592
H	0.1114***	4.63883	WH	0.3211***	4.28459	Log-L	?167.0503
E	2.4293*	1.73388	WE	?0.7505	0.20180	Hausman	277.2544***
T	?0.0001**	?2.23965	WT	?0.0001	?0.43082
O	0.0009	0.30559	WO	?0.0100	?1.18799

变量	直接效应		间接效应
变量	系数	t值	系数	t值
K	0.00017***	3.1523	?0.00091***	?3.4913
C	0.01462	0.1790	1.33908**	2.8465
I	0.70815**	2.7442	?1.16525	?0.9631
H	0.12942***	5.4227	0.58289***	4.6795
E	2.46584*	1.7530	2.49668	0.4351
T	?0.00008**	?2.2979	?0.00013	?0.6958
O	0.00058	0.1874	?0.01566	?1.1707

环渤海地区海洋经济增长质量空间溢出效应研究

Spatial Spillover Effects and Influence Mechanism of Marine Economic Growth Quality in Bohai Rim Region

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