基于地理信息系统(GIS)及空间分析模型,从玉米生产与加工两个方面构建玉米产业可持续能力评价(sustainabliality Assessment SA)指标体系,对吉林省玉米产业发展可持续能力进行评价,并对吉林省玉米产业布局现状和规划的合理性进行分析。结果表明:长春市辖区由于地理条件优越、交通便捷以及丰富的玉米资源,是玉米产业发展的最优区域。吉林市辖区、四平市辖区、公主岭市、梨树县、农安县、扶余县地理条件相对优越、交通便捷以及丰富的玉米资源,是玉米产业发展的良好区域。松原市辖区、前郭县、德惠市、榆树市、辽源市辖区、东丰县是玉米产业发展的一般区域。大安市、乾安县、长岭县、舒兰市、永吉县、双辽市发展玉米产业条件相对较差。
The maize industry of Jilin Province has a wide prospects relying on maize resources and the preferable location factor.Based on spatial analysis theory,as a means of Geographic Information System,the indexes for sustainability assessment of the maize industries development are constructed from maize producing and maize processing.The sustainability of the maize industry is analyzed in Jilin Province.The sustainable development status in quo and planning of the maize industries are assessed scientifically.In conclusion,Changchun City is the super-region for developing the maize industry.Jilin City,Siping City,Gongzhuling county,Lishu City,Nong′an County,Fuyu County is the favorable region for developing the maize industry.Songyuan City,Qianguo County,Dehui County,Yushu County,Liaoyuan County,Dongfeng County is the common region for developing the maize industry.Da’an town,Qi’an county,Changling county,Shulan town,Yongji county,Shuangliao town is the poor region for developing the maize industry.
[1] Barry B Hughesa,Peter D Johnston.Sustainable futures:Policies for global development[J].Futures,2005,37:813-831.
[2] Woodrow Clark,Henrik Lund.Sustainable development in pracrice[J].Journal of cleaner production,2007,15:253-258.
[3] 李新华,李泉木.我国玉米深加工业的现状、存在问题及其解决对策[J].沈阳农业大学学报,1999,2:137～139.
[4] 刘长江,李秀军,李取生,等.东北农业可持续发展及其产业化战略思考[J].农业系统科学与综合研究,2006,22(3):234～236.
[5] 程叶青,张平宇.东北地区农业可持续发展问题探讨[J].经济地理,2006,26(2):300～303.
[6] 张思静.农业产业化与可持续发展[J].理论探讨,2003,11:8～11.
[7] 李薇,杨杰.提高吉林省玉米产业附加值的途径[J].农业与技术,2004,24(2):19～22.
[8] 黄海,姜会明.吉林省玉米产业的运行机制研究[J].中国农学通报,2005,21(9):426～429.
[9] 刘向辉,才卓,李淑华,等.发展高油玉米是促进吉林省玉米产业化发展的需要[J].吉林农业科学,2001.26(5):50～53.
[10] 张大瑜,刘兴土,高旺盛.吉林省玉米生产省域尺度上比较优势分析及建议[J].中国农学通报,2005,21(3):367～370.
[11] 刘兴土,武志杰,王建国,等.东北地区粮食生产潜力的分析与预测[J].地理科学,1998,18(6):502～509.
[12] 王宗明,于磊,张柏,等.过去50年吉林省玉米带玉米种植面积时空变化及其成因分析[J].地理科学,2006,26(3):299～305.
[13] 张大瑜,刘兴土,高旺盛.吉林省玉米生产县域尺度比较优势分析[J].吉林农业科学,2005,30(1):61～64.
[14] N J Walker,R E Schulze.An assessment of sustainable maize production under different management and climate scenarios for smallholder agro-ecosystems in KwaZulu-Natal,South Africa[J].Physics and Chemistry of the Earth,2006,31:995-1002
[15] 李彬,王志春.吉林省农业生态环境问题与对策分析[J].生态农业科学.2005,20(9):367～371.
[16] 邬伦,刘瑜,张晶,等.地理信息系统——方法、原理和应用[M].北京:科学出版社,2001.
