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地理科学 >

1998 , Vol. 18 >Issue 6: 581 - 585

DOI: https://doi.org/10.13249/j.cnki.sgs.1998.06.581

研究方法

灰色系统理论在估产中的应用——以吉林省梨树县为例

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  • 中国科学院长春地理研究所 长春130021

收稿日期: 1996-06-13

  修回日期: 1998-04-13

  网络出版日期: 1998-11-20

基金资助

“八五”国家科技攻关“松辽平原玉米遥感估产”课题

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APPLICATION OF THE GRAY MODEL THEORY ON MAIZE YIELD ESTIMATION IN LISHU COUNTY

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  • Changchun Institute of Geography, the Chinese Academy of Sciences, Changchun 130021

Received date: 1996-06-13

  Revised date: 1998-04-13

  Online published: 1998-11-20

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摘要

以吉林省梨树县为例,阐述了利用灰色系统进行玉米气象估产的方法,其中包括用GM(1,1)模型进行趋势产量预测,用灰色关联度分析方法确定主气象因子群,以及利用GM(1,N)进行气象产量预测等.

本文引用格式

张树清, 陈春, 万恩璞 . 灰色系统理论在估产中的应用——以吉林省梨树县为例[J]. 地理科学, 1998 , 18(6) : 581 -585 . DOI: 10.13249/j.cnki.sgs.1998.06.581

Abstract

Taking Lishu County as an example, this paper states the way of maize yield estimation of meteorology by gray model, which includes the methods to forecast the tendency yield by GM(1, 1)model, to figure out the dominant meteorological factors affacting meteorological yield through gray-relative-degree analysis, to foreshow the meteorological yield by GM(1, N)and so on.

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