地理科学 ›› 2016, Vol. 36 ›› Issue (6): 917-925.doi: 10.13249/j.cnki.sgs.2016.06.015
收稿日期:
2015-06-24
修回日期:
2015-11-23
出版日期:
2016-10-20
发布日期:
2016-10-20
作者简介:
作者简介:颜明(1977-),男,四川内江人,助理研究员,主要从事河流地貌与环境研究。E-mail:
基金资助:
Ming Yan1, Fuxing Li1,2, Li He1, Meichao Lyu1, Dong Chen1()
Received:
2015-06-24
Revised:
2015-11-23
Online:
2016-10-20
Published:
2016-10-20
Supported by:
摘要:
基于黄河中游4个水文站1919~2010年还原的天然径流量、1873~2011年的夏季风强度指数、北大西洋涛动指数(NAO)和西太平洋副高指数等资料,利用Morlet小波方法分析了黄河中游河口镇-龙门区间(简称河龙区间),龙门-三门峡区间(简称龙三区间)和三门峡-花园口区间(简称三花区间)径流量的周期变化,并探索了夏季风、中纬度西风与西太平洋副高等环流因子对黄河中游3个区间径流量周期性变化的影响。研究发现,黄河中游3个区间径流量的变化对夏季风、中纬度西风和西太平洋副高存在差异性响应,季风对于黄河中游的径流量不仅在时间上具有趋势性的影响,更为重要的是存在周期性的控制作用,在80 a长周期上对于整个黄河中游都有控制作用,但影响黄河中游降水-径流过程的不仅仅是夏季风,相关统计结果表明还受到西风带和西太平洋副高周期的影响。3个区间都存在一个中等尺度(25 a)的周期,这个周期在夏季风上没有得到体现,河龙区间和龙三区间的25 a周期是受西风带影响所致,而三花区间的中尺度25 a周期是西太平洋副高指数的强度和西界的作用所致。
中图分类号:
颜明, 李夫星, 贺莉, 吕美朝, 陈东. 夏季风等环流因子对黄河中游径流量周期变化的影响[J]. 地理科学, 2016, 36(6): 917-925.
Ming Yan, Fuxing Li, Li He, Meichao Lyu, Dong Chen. Effects of Summer Monsoon and Other Atmospheric Circulation Factors on Periodicities of Runoff in the Middle Huanghe River During 1919-2010[J]. SCIENTIA GEOGRAPHICA SINICA, 2016, 36(6): 917-925.
表3
黄河中游不同区间径流量与影响因素间的多元回归分析"
区间 | 影响因素 | 回归系数 | 标准差 | t值 | p |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
河龙区间 | 夏季风 | 0.39 | 0.15 | 2.52 | 0.014 |
西太副高强度 | -0.02 | 0.05 | -0.33 | 0.755 | |
西太副高西界 | -0.04 | 0.05 | -0.90 | 0.372 | |
北大西洋涛动 | -0.04 | 0.03 | -1.38 | 0.171 | |
龙三区间 | 夏季风 | -0.27 | 0.19 | -1.42 | 0.159 |
西太副高强度 | -0.02 | 0.06 | -0.34 | 0.734 | |
西太副高西界 | 0.03 | 0.06 | 0.52 | 0.604 | |
北大西洋涛动 | -0.10 | 0.03 | -3.11 | 0.003 | |
三花区间 | 夏季风 | -0.11 | 0.33 | -0.33 | 0.740 |
西太副高强度 | -0.28 | 0.11 | -2.53 | 0.014 | |
西太副高西界 | -0.30 | 0.11 | -2.81 | 0.006 | |
北大西洋涛动 | -0.10 | 0.06 | -1.80 | 0.076 |
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