地理科学 ›› 2017, Vol. 37 ›› Issue (1): 28-36.doi: 10.13249/j.cnki.sgs.2017.01.004
收稿日期:
2016-02-23
修回日期:
2016-05-26
出版日期:
2017-01-15
发布日期:
2017-01-15
作者简介:
作者简介:吴健生(1965-),男,湖南新化人,教授,博导,主要从事城市化与生态环境研究。E-mail:
基金资助:
Jiansheng Wu1,2(), Jiaying Mao1(
), Qian Lin3, Jiacheng Li1,4
Received:
2016-02-23
Revised:
2016-05-26
Online:
2017-01-15
Published:
2017-01-15
Supported by:
摘要:
基于“生态优先”理念,提出一种利用生境质量评估策略的城市增长边界划定方法。结合ArcGIS和InVEST模型,通过综合评估生境自身及其在威胁情境下的质量,模拟各市独立规划、建设用地指标再分配及区域一体化发展的三类建设用地扩张情景,分别划定2024和2034年的长三角地区城市增长边界。结果表明:研究区生境质量总体呈南高北低格局,平均生态系统服务价值密度为10 770.604元/(hm2·a),高质生境位于西南地区;根据指标再分配及一体化发展情景模拟的2024年研究区建设用地总量分别为10 583.273 km2和10 489.090 km2,2034年达到13 603.535 km2和13 252.370 km2;模拟的建设用地集中在东部沿海地区,并向北部及环杭州湾区域拓展;建设用地指标再分配能从整体上减少建设用地对优质生境的占用,区域一体化发展则能进一步降低城市发展造成的生态压力。
中图分类号:
吴健生, 毛家颖, 林倩, 李嘉诚. 基于生境质量的城市增长边界研究——以长三角地区为例[J]. 地理科学, 2017, 37(1): 28-36.
Jiansheng Wu, Jiaying Mao, Qian Lin, Jiacheng Li. Urban Growth Boundary Based on the Evaluation of Habitat Quality:Taking the Yangtze River Delta as an Example[J]. SCIENTIA GEOGRAPHICA SINICA, 2017, 37(1): 28-36.
表2
3类情景下城市建设用地需求量预测"
情景 | 区域 | 2024年城市建设 用地需求量(km2) | 2034年城市建设 用地需求量(km2) | 情景 | 区域 | 2024年城市建设 用地需求量(km2) | 2034年城市建设 用地需求量(km2) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
情景一 | 上海 | 2864.578 | 3772.177 | 情景一 | 无锡 | 609.556 | 745.237 |
杭州 | 865.583 | 1097.031 | 常州 | 411.636 | 506.986 | ||
南京 | 831.589 | 1025.493 | 镇江 | 254.929 | 298.485 | ||
宁波 | 736.942 | 961.495 | 苏州 | 1238.989 | 1881.625 | ||
舟山 | 94.939 | 116.762 | 扬州 | 334.810 | 381.189 | ||
嘉兴 | 378.285 | 496.456 | 泰州 | 350.377 | 400.938 | ||
绍兴 | 387.417 | 477.447 | 南通 | 562.589 | 645.837 | ||
湖州 | 215.216 | 262.478 | 情景二 | 长三角地区 | 10583.273 | 13603.535 | |
台州 | 445.837 | 533.898 | 情景三 | 长三角地区 | 10489.090 | 13252.370 |
[1] | 李冰,毕军,田颖.太湖流域重污染区土地利用变化对生态系统服务价值的影响[J].地理科学,2012,32(4):471-476. |
[Li Bing, Bi Jun, Tian Ying.Effects of Land Use Change on Ecosystem Service Value in the Heavy Polluted Area in Taihu Lake Basin. Scientia Geographica Sinica, 2012, 32(4): 471-476.] | |
[2] |
白杨,郑华,庄长伟,等.白洋淀流域生态系统服务评估及其调控[J].生态学报,2013,33(3):711-717.
doi: 10.5846/stxb201203270417 |
[Bai Yang, Zheng Hua, Zhuang Changwei et al. Ecosystem services valuation and its regulation in Baiyangdian basin: Based on InVEST model. Acta Ecologica Sinica, 2013, 33(3): 711-717.]
doi: 10.5846/stxb201203270417 |
|
[3] |
Egoh B,Reyers B,Rouget M et al.Spatial congruence between biodiversity and ecosystem services in South Africa[J].Biological conservation,2009,142(3):553-562.
doi: 10.1016/j.biocon.2008.11.009 |
[4] |
Tannier C,Thomas I.Defining and characterizing urban boundaries:A fractal analysis of the theoretical cities and Belgian cities[J].Computers,Environment and Urban Systems,2013,(41):234-248.
doi: 10.1016/j.compenvurbsys.2013.07.003 |
[5] |
Long Y,Han H Y,Tu Y C et al.Evaluating the effectiveness of urban growth boundaries using human mobility and activity records[J].Cities,2015,(46):76-84.
doi: 10.1016/j.cities.2015.05.001 |
[6] |
Jun M J.The effects of Portland's urban growth boundary on housing prices[J].Journal of the American Planning Association,2006,72(2):239-243.
doi: 10.1080/01944360608976742 |
[7] |
Marin M C.Impacts of urban growth boundary versus exclusive farm use zoning agricultural land use[J].Urban Affairs Review,2007,43(2):199-220.
doi: 10.1177/1078087407302235 |
[8] |
Tayyebi A, Pijanowski B C,Tayyebi A H.An urban growth boundary model using neural networks, GIS and radial parameterization: An application to Tehran, Iran[J].Landscape and Urban Planning,2011,100(1):35-44.
doi: 10.1016/j.landurbplan.2010.10.007 |
[9] | 韩昊英. 城市增长边界的理论与应用[M].北京:中国建筑工业出版社,2014. |
[Han Haoying.Theories and Application of Urban Growth Boundaries. Beijing: China Architecture and Building Press, 2014.] | |
[10] | 冯科,吴次芳,韦仕川,等.城市增长边界的理论探讨与应用[J].经济地理,2008,28(3):425-429. |
[Feng Ke, Wu Cifang, Wei Shichuan et al. Research on urban growth boundary: Theoretical analysis and its application in China. Economic Geography, 2008, 28(3): 425-429.] | |
[11] |
黄明华,田晓晴.关于新版《城市规划编制办法》中城市增长边界的思考[J].规划师,2008,24(6):13-15.
doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1006-0022.2008.06.003 |
[Huang Minghua, Tian Xiaoqing.Reflection on urban growth boundary in the new urban planning formulation means. Planners, 2008, 24(6): 13-15.]
doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1006-0022.2008.06.003 |
|
[12] | 李咏华. 城市增长边界设定的路径、技术、方法[M].北京:中国建筑工业出版社,2014. |
[Li Yonghua.The Establishment of Urban Growth Boundary Research Path, Technique, Method. Beijing: China Architecture and Building Press, 2014.] | |
[13] |
翟宝辉,王如松,李博.基于非建设用地的城市用地规模及布局[J].城市规划学刊,2008,(4):70-74.
doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1000-3363.2008.04.012 |
[Zhai Baohui, Wang Rusong, Li Bo.The scale and allocation of urban land use based on land unfit for construction. Urban Planning Forum, 2008, (4): 70-74.]
doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1000-3363.2008.04.012 |
|
[14] |
罗震东,张京祥.中国当前非城市建设用地规划研究的进展与思考[J].城市规划学刊,2007,(1):39-43.
doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1000-3363.2007.01.008 |
[Luo Zhendong, Zhang Jingxiang.The total progress on the planning study for the land out of urban constructing in China. Urban Planning Forum, 2007, (1): 39-43.]
doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1000-3363.2007.01.008 |
|
[15] | 张鸿辉,王丽萍,金晓斌,等.基于多智能体系统的城市增长时空动态模拟——以江苏省连云港市为例[J].地理科学,2012,32(11):1289-1296. |
[Zhang Honghui, Wang Liping,Jin Xiaobin et al Simulation of Spatio-temporal Dynamical Change of Urban Growth Based on Multi-agent System: Case Study of Lianyungang City, China. Scientia Geographica Sinica, 2012, 32(11): 1289-1296.] | |
[16] | 高玉宏,张丽娟,李文亮,等.基于空间模型和CA的城市用地扩展模拟研究——以大庆市为例[J].地理科学,2010,30(5):723-727. |
[Gao Yuhong, Zhang Lijuan,Li Wenliang et al Urban Expansion Simulation Using GIS Spatial Analysis and Cellular Automata—A Case Study in Daqing City. Scientia Geographica Sinica, 2010, 30(5): 723-727.] | |
[17] | 何丹,金凤君,周璟.基于Logistic-CA-Markov的土地利用景观格局变化——以京津冀都市圈为例[J].地理科学,2011,31(8):903-910. |
[He Dan, Jin Fengjun, Zhou Jing.The Changes of Land Use and Landscape Pattern Based on Logistic-CA-Markov Model—A Case Study of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Metropolitan Region. Scientia Geographica Sinica, 2011, 31(8): 903-910.] | |
[18] | Millennium Ecosystem Assessment.Millennium Ecosystem Assessment Synthesis Report[M].Washington,DC: Island Press,2005. |
[19] |
Kreuter U P,Harris H G,Matlock M D et al.Change in ecosystem service values in the San Antonio area,Texas[J].Ecological Economics,2001,39(3):333-346.
doi: 10.1016/S0921-8009(01)00250-6 |
[20] |
Chaudhary S,McGregor A,Houston D et al.The evolution of ecosystem services: A time series and discourse-centered analysis[J].Environmental Science and Policy,2015,(54):25-34.
doi: 10.1016/j.envsci.2015.04.025 |
[21] |
Häyhä T,Franzese P P,Paletto A et al. Assessing, valuing, and mapping ecosystem services in Alpine forests[J].Ecosystem Services,2015,(14):12-23.
doi: 10.1016/j.ecoser.2015.03.001 |
[22] | Stoll S, Frenzel M, Burkhard B et al.Assessment of ecosystem integrity and service gradients across Europe using the LTER Europe network[J].Ecological Modelling,2015,(295):75-87. |
[23] | 王耕,王嘉丽,龚丽妍,等.基于GIS-Markov区域生态安全时空演变研究——以大连市甘井子区为例[J].地理科学,2013,33(8):957-964. |
[Wang Geng, Wang Jiali, Gong Liyan et al. Spatial-temporal Evolution of Regional Eco-security Based on GIS-Markov Model—A Case Study of Ganjingzi District in Dalian, Liaoning Province. Scientia Geographica Sinica, 2013, 33(8): 957-964.] | |
[24] | Costanza R,d’Arge R,De Groot Ret al.The value of the world's ecosystem services and natural capital[J].Nature,1997,387(15):253-260. |
[25] | Daily G C.Nature’s Services: Social Dependence on Nature Ecosystems[M].Washington,DC: Island Press,1997. |
[26] |
Leh M D K,Matlock M D,Cummings E Cet al.Quantifying and mapping multiple ecosystem services change in West Africa[J].Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment,2013,(165):6-18.
doi: 10.1016/j.agee.2012.12.001 |
[27] |
Su C H,Fu B J.Evolution of ecosystem services in the Chinese Loess Plateau under climatic and land use changes[J].Global and Planetary Change,2013,(101):119-128.
doi: 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2012.12.014 |
[28] | 冯应斌,何建,杨庆媛.三峡库区生态屏障区土地利用规划生态效应评估[J].地理科学,2014,34(12):1504-1510. |
[Feng Yinbin, He Jian, Yang Qingyuan.Evaluation of Ecological Effects in Land Use Planning: A Case Study of Ecological Barrier Zone of Three Gorges Reservoir Area. Scientia Geographica Sinica, 2014, 34(12): 1504-1510.] | |
[29] |
Marquès M,Bangash R F,Kumar V et al.The impact of climate change on water provision under a low flow regime:A case study of the ecosystems services in the Francoli River basin[J].Journal of Hazardous Materials,2013,(263):224-232.
doi: 10.1016/j.jhazmat.2013.07.049 pmid: 23958138 |
[30] |
Kirchner M,Schmidt J,Kindermann G et al.Ecosystem services and economic development in Austrian agricultural landscapes-The impact of policy and climate change scenarios on trade-offs and synergies[J].Ecological Economics,2015,(109):161-174.
doi: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2014.11.005 |
[31] |
Delphin S,Escobedo F J,Abd-Elrahman A et al.Mapping potential carbon and timber losses from hurricanes using a decision tree and ecosystem services driver model[J].Journal of Environmental Management,2013,(129):599-607.
doi: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2013.08.029 pmid: 24036093 |
[32] | 张旭亮,宁越敏.长三角城市群城市经济联系及国际化空间发展战略[J].经济地理,2011,31(3):353-359. |
[Zhang Xuliang, Ning Yuemin.Urban economic contacting and internationalization spatial development strategy in Yangtze Delta Area urban agglomeration. Economic Geography, 2011, 31(3): 353-359.] | |
[33] |
周炳中,陈浮,包浩生,等.长江三角洲土地利用分类研究[J].资源科学,2002,24(2):88-92.
doi: 10.3321/j.issn:1007-7588.2002.02.017 |
[Chen Bingzhong, Chen Fu, Bao Haosheng et al. Land use classification in Yangtze River Delta. Resources Science, 2002, 24(2): 88-92.]
doi: 10.3321/j.issn:1007-7588.2002.02.017 |
|
[34] |
吴健生,张理卿,彭建,等.深圳市景观生态安全格局源地综合识别[J].生态学报,2013,33(13):4125-4133.
doi: 10.5846/stxb201208081123 |
[Wu Jiansheng, Zhang Liqing, Peng Jian et al. The integrated recognition of the source area of the urban ecological security pattern in Shenzhen. Acta Ecologica Sinica, 2013, 33(13): 4125-4133.]
doi: 10.5846/stxb201208081123 |
|
[35] |
谢高地,甄霖,鲁春霞,等.一个基于专家知识的生态系统服务价值化方法[J].自然资源学报,2008,23(5):911-919.
doi: 10.11849/zrzyxb.2008.05.019 |
[Xie Gaodi, Zhen Lin, Lu Chunxia et al. Expert knowledge based valuation method of ecosystem services in China. Journal of National Resources, 2008, 23(5): 911-919.]
doi: 10.11849/zrzyxb.2008.05.019 |
|
[36] | 谢高地,肖玉,甄霖,等.我国粮食生产的生态服务价值研究[J].中国生态农业学报,2005,13(3):10-13. |
[Xie Gaodi, Xiao Yu,Zhen Lin et al. Study on ecosystem services value of food production in China. Chinese Journal of Eco-agriculture, 2005, 13(3): 10-13.] | |
[37] | 涂小松,龙花楼.2000~2010年鄱阳湖地区生态系统服务价值空间格局及其动态演化[J].资源科学,2015,37(12):2451-2460. |
[Tu Xiaosong, Long Hualou.Spatial patterns and dynamic evolution of ecosystem service values in Poyang Lake Region from 2000 to 2010. Resources Science, 2015, 37(12): 2451-2460.] | |
[38] |
Petrosillo I,Zaccarelli N,Semeraro T et al.The effectiveness of different conservation policies on the security of natural capital[J].Landscape and Urban Planning,2009,89(1):49-56.
doi: 10.1016/j.landurbplan.2008.10.003 |
[39] | 肖明. GIS在流域生态环境质量评价中的应用[D].海口:海南大学,2011. |
[Xiao Ming.The application of GIS in watershed ecological quality evaluation. Haikou: Hainan University, 2011.] | |
[40] |
宋丽敏. 中国人口城市化水平预测分析[J].辽宁大学学报(哲学社会科学版),2007,35(3):115-119.
doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1002-3291.2007.03.025 |
[Song Limin.An Analysis of the Level of China's Urbanization. Journal of Liaoning University (Philosophy and Social Sciences), 2007, 35(3): 115-119.]
doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1002-3291.2007.03.025 |
|
[41] | 陈尹亓,周宝同,陈成龙.重庆市涪陵区城镇化水平驱动机制分析及预测[J].中国农学通报,2010,26(24):461-465. |
[Chen Yinqi, Zhou Baotong, Chen Chenglong.Driving Forces and Forecasting of Urbanization in Fuling District of Chongqing City. Chinese Agricultural Science Bulletin, 2010, 26(24): 461-465.] | |
[42] |
国土资源部.国土资源部关于强化管控落实最严格耕地保护制度的通知[J].资源导刊,2014,(4):8-10.
doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1672-321X.2014.05.010 |
[Ministry of Land and Resources of the People’s Republic of China. Notice of the Ministry of Land and Resources on Strengthening the Control and Implementation of the Most Stringent Farmland Protection System. Resources Guide, 2014, (4): 8-10.]
doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1672-321X.2014.05.010 |
|
[43] | 国家统计局城市社会经济调查司.中国城市统计年鉴[M].北京:中国统计出版社,2007-2015. |
[Department of Urban Surveys of National Bureau of Statistics of China. China City Statistical Yearbook. Beijing: China Statistics Press, 2007-2015.] | |
[44] | 浙江省统计局.浙江统计年鉴[M].北京:中国统计出版社,2007-2015. |
[Zhejiang Province Bureau of Statistics. Statistical Year Book of Zhejiang. Beijing: China Statistics Press, 2007-2015.] | |
[45] | 江苏省统计局.江苏统计年鉴[M].北京:中国统计出版社,2007-2015. |
[Jiangsu Province Bureau of Statistics. Statistical Year Book of Jiangsu. Beijing: China Statistics Press, 2007-2015.] | |
[46] | 李咏华. 生态视角下的城市增长边界划定方法——以杭州市为例[J].城市规划,2011,35(12):83-90. |
[Li Yonghua.Method of determining urban growth boundary from the view of ecology: A case study of Hangzhou. City Planning Review, 2011, 35(12): 83-90.] |
[1] | 仲俊涛, 王蓓, 米文宝, 樊新刚, 杨美玲, 杨显明. 基于InVEST模型的宁夏盐池县禁牧草地生态补偿标准空间识别[J]. 地理科学, 2020, 40(6): 1019-1028. |
[2] | 王万同, 孙汀, 王金霞, 付强, 安传艳. 基于多源遥感数据的区域生态系统服务价值年际动态监测——以中原城市群为例[J]. 地理科学, 2019, 39(4): 680-687. |
[3] | 史恒通, 睢党臣, 吴海霞, 赵敏娟. 公众对黑河流域生态系统服务消费偏好及支付意愿研究——基于选择实验法的实证分析[J]. 地理科学, 2019, 39(2): 342-350. |
[4] | 李哲睿, 甄峰, 傅行行. 基于企业股权关联的城市网络研究——以长三角地区为例[J]. 地理科学, 2019, 39(11): 1763-1770. |
[5] | 丁振民, 姚顺波. 生态系统服务弹性敏感性系数的合理性与决策属性探讨[J]. 地理科学, 2019, 39(10): 1672-1679. |
[6] | 滕堂伟, 覃柳婷, 胡森林. 长三角地区众创空间的地理分布及影响机制[J]. 地理科学, 2018, 38(8): 1266-1272. |
[7] | 谢余初, 巩杰, 张素欣, 马学成, 胡宝清. 基于遥感和InVEST模型的白龙江流域景观生物多样性时空格局研究[J]. 地理科学, 2018, 38(6): 979-986. |
[8] | 彭保发, 郑俞, 刘宇. 耦合生态服务的区域生态安全格局研究框架[J]. 地理科学, 2018, 38(3): 361-367. |
[9] | 唐玉芝, 邵全琴, 曹巍, 杨帆, 刘璐璐, 吴丹, 周书贵. 基于物质量评估的贵州南部地区生态系统服务及其县域差异比较[J]. 地理科学, 2018, 38(1): 122-134. |
[10] | 李晓炜, 侯西勇, 邸向红, 苏红帆. 从生态系统服务角度探究土地利用变化引起的生态失衡——以莱州湾海岸带为例[J]. 地理科学, 2016, 36(8): 1197-1204. |
[11] | 陈姗姗, 刘康, 包玉斌, 陈海. 商洛市水源涵养服务功能空间格局与影响因素[J]. 地理科学, 2016, 36(10): 1546-1554. |
[12] | 郑德凤, 臧正, 赵良仕, 孙才志. 中国省际资源环境成本及生态负荷强度的时空演变分析[J]. 地理科学, 2014, 34(6): 672-680. |
[13] | 黄润, 王升堂, 倪建华, 孙贤斌, 王笑梅. 皖西大别山五大水库生态系统服务功能价值评估[J]. 地理科学, 2014, 34(10): 1270-1274. |
[14] | 徐康, 吴绍华, 陈东湘, 戴靓, 周生路. |
[15] | 胡喜生, 洪伟, 吴承祯. 福州市土地生态系统服务与城市化耦合度分析[J]. 地理科学, 2013, 33(10): 1216-1223. |
|