长江经济带地级及以上城市“五化”协调发展格局研究

doi:10.13249/j.cnki.sgs.2018.03.008

摘要/Abstract

摘要：

运用HR模型和耦合协调模型评价长江经济带每“两化”以及“五化”的协调发展指数,借助探索性空间数据分析探索“五化”协调发展指数的空间分布特征。结果表明：长江经济带“五化”发展指数中绿色化发展指数最高,农业现代化发展指数最低;“五化”发展指数上游地区绿色化指数最高,中游地区工业化指数最高,下游地区信息化、城镇化和农业现代化指数最高;“两化”协调发展指数最高为城镇化与信息化,最低为工业化与绿色化;“五化”协调发展指数空间格局为下游地区高于中游地区高于上游地区。

关键词: 五化协调, 分布格局, 空间相关, 影响因素

Abstract:

Taking the administrative unit of 130 prefecture level cities and above in the Yangtze River Economic Zone in 2014 as the research object, the HR model and the coupling and coordination model were used to evaluate the coordinated development level between each ‘two modernizations’ and “five modernizations”, through exploratory spatial data analysis to explore the “five modernizations” of the coordinated development of spatial distribution characteristics, the geographical weighted regression model reveals the influential factors and spatial differences of the coordinated development of “five modernizations”. The results show that: The greening development level of the “five modernizations” index in the Yangtze River Economic Zone is the highest, and the agricultural modernization development level of the “five modernizations” index in the Yangtze River Economic Zone is the lowest. The greening index in the upstream area of the “five modernizations” Indexes is the highest, the industrialization index in the midstream area is the highest, and the informatization, urbanization and agricultural modernization index in the downstream area are the highest. The highest coordination degree index of “two modernizations” in the Yangtze River Economic Zone is urbanization and information index, the lowest coordination degree index of “two modernizations” in the Yangtze River Economic Zone is industrialization and greening index. The comprehensive development index of the “five modernizations” in the Yangtze River Economic Zone is the downstream area higher than the upstream area higher than the midstream area, the coupling index and the coordination index of the “five modernizations” in the Yangtze River Economic Zone are the downstream area higher than the midstream area higher than the upstream area, the development pattern of the comprehensive development index, the coupling index and the coordination index is east high and west low as a whole. The “five modernizations” of the coordinated development level in the Yangtze River Economic Zone had a clear spatial correlation, high-value areas and low-value areas of the coordinated development level in the Yangtze River Economic Zone tend to gather in a space, there was showing a hot east and cold west development trend of the coordinated development level in the Yangtze River Economic Zone on the whole. Finally, the article puts forward some suggestions for improving the coordinated development level in the Yangtze River Economic Zone: improving the per capita green area of the downstream area; enhancing industrial productivity in the midstream area; improving the per capita consumption index, the internet penetration rate and the degree of agricultural mechanization of the upstream area.

Key words: five modernizations, distribution pattern, spatial correlation, influencing factors

中图分类号:

F299

王维, 张涛, 陈云. 长江经济带地级及以上城市“五化”协调发展格局研究[J]. 地理科学, 2018, 38(3): 385-393.

Wei Wang, Tao Zhang, Yun Chen. Coordinated Development Pattern of “Five Modernizations” of Prefecture Level Cities or Above in the Yangtze River Economic Zone[J]. SCIENTIA GEOGRAPHICA SINICA, 2018, 38(3): 385-393.

图/表 7

表1

“ 五化”发展水平评价指标"

目标层	准则层	指标层	权重	指标性质
五化发展指数	工业化发展指数	人均工业产值（元/人）	0.036	正
		第二产业增加值占GDP比重（%）	0.030	正
		第二产业就业人数占总就业人数比重（%）	0.031	正
		第二产业劳动生产率（元/人）	0.040	正
		规模以上工业利润额占规模以上工业总产值比重（%）^＊	0.016	正
		R&D经费支出占工业增加值比重（%）	0.020	正
		单位生产总值能耗（吨标准煤/万元）	0.020	负
		工业污染治理投资占工业增加值比重（%）	0.017	正
	城镇化发展指数	城镇人口比重（%）	0.031	正
		城镇就业人口占总就业人口比重（%）	0.022	正
		农转非人口数（人）	0.021	正
		城镇居民人均可支配收入（元/人）	0.015	正
		城镇居民恩格尔系数（%）	0.018	正
		城镇登记失业率（%）	0.020	负
		文教医疗卫生支出占财政支出比重（%）	0.022	正
		社保支出占财政支出比重（%）	0.020	正
		每万人公共汽车数（辆）	0.025	正
		每万人卫生技术人数（人）	0.019	正
	信息化发展指数	人均固定电话拥有数（部/百人）	0.026	正
		人均移动电话拥有数（部/百人）	0.024	正
		互联网用户比重（%）	0.035	正
		每万人公共图书馆藏书（册）	0.018	正
		人均邮电业务量（元/人）	0.015	正
		信息产业占GDP 比重（%）	0.012	正
		信息传输计算机服务软件业产值占GDP比重（%）	0.017	正
	农业现代化发展指数	农业产值占GDP比重（%）	0.032	正
		人均农业产值（元/人）	0.028	正
		第一产业劳动生产率（元/人）	0.026	正
		农村人均用电量（kW /人）^＊	0.017	正
		农业机械化水平（kW/hm²）	0.024	正
		耕地有效灌溉率（%）	0.029	正
		农村居民人均村收入（元/人）	0.020	正
		农村居民恩格尔系数（%）	0.022	正
		农田受灾面积比重（%）	0.012	负
	绿色化发展指数	人均水资源占有量（m³/人）^＊	0.028	正
		人均耕地面积（m³/人）	0.022	正
		湿地面积占国土面积比重（%）	0.016	正
		森林覆盖率（%）	0.018	正
		人均废水排放量（t/万人）	0.018	负
		人均二氧化硫排放量（t/万人）	0.019	负
		人均工业固体废物排放量（t/万人）	0.011	负
		人均城市生活垃圾清运量（t/万人）	0.023	正
		工业固体废弃物综合利用率	0.021	正
		城市生活垃圾无害化处理率	0.017	正
		环境污染治理投资占GDP比重（%）	0.015	正
		环保系统工作人数（人）	0.012	正

表1

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