地理科学 ›› 2019, Vol. 39 ›› Issue (11): 1757-1762.doi: 10.13249/j.cnki.sgs.2019.11.009

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城市更新对房地产市场的时空影响效应: 基于杭州市的实证研究

黄忠华1,2, 徐卫丽1, 杜雪君3()   

  1. 1.浙江工业大学管理学院,浙江 杭州 310023
    2.浙江工业大学中国住房和房地产研究院,浙江 杭州 310023
    3.浙江科技学院经济与管理学院,浙江 杭州 310023
  • 收稿日期:2019-04-29 修回日期:2019-10-10 出版日期:2019-11-10 发布日期:2020-01-09
  • 通讯作者: 杜雪君 E-mail:duxuejun@aliyun.com
  • 作者简介:黄忠华(1981-),男,浙江绍兴人,博士,教授,博导,主要从事土地与房地产研究。E-mail: zhonghuahuang2006@aliyun.com
  • 基金资助:
    国家社会科学基金一般项目(17BGL130);国家自然科学基金项目(71774143);浙江省哲学社会科学规划课题一般项目(20NDJC048YB);浙江省哲学社会科学规划课题一般项目(15NDJC185YB);浙江省自然科学基金一般项目(LY17G030016);浙江工业大学优秀青年学者专项(GB201902003);教育部哲学社会科学研究重大课题攻关项目资助(18JZD033)

Spatial and Temporal Effects of Urban Renewal on Real Estate Market: Empirical Research Based on Hangzhou City

Huang Zhonghua1,2, Xu Weili1, Du Xuejun3()   

  1. 1.School of Management, Zhejiang University of Technology, Hangzhou 310023, Zhejiang, China
    2.China Academy of Housing & Real Estate, Zhejiang University of Technology, Hangzhou 310023, Zhejiang, China;
    3.School of Economics and Management, Zhejiang University of Science and Technology, Hangzhou 310023, Zhejiang, China
  • Received:2019-04-29 Revised:2019-10-10 Online:2019-11-10 Published:2020-01-09
  • Contact: Du Xuejun E-mail:duxuejun@aliyun.com
  • Supported by:
    National Social Science Found of China(17BGL130);National Natural Science Foundation of China(71774143);Project of Philosophy and Social Science of Zhejiang Province(20NDJC048YB);Project of Philosophy and Social Science of Zhejiang Province(15NDJC185YB);General Project of Zhejiang Provincial Natual Science Foundation(LY17G030016);Excellent Young Scholar Project of Zhejiang University of Technology(GB201902003);Key Project of Philosophy and Social Sciences Research of Ministry of Education of China(18JZD033)

摘要:

以杭州市为例,采用双重差分法研究城市更新对房地产市场的时空影响效应。研究结果发现: 城市更新在不同阶段对周边住宅价格产生的影响效应不同,项目建设和运营期分别对周边房价产生28.6%和32.0%的推升作用; 城市更新对周边住房价格的影响在空间上存在显著差异,对城市边缘区的提升作用比核心区高23.0%; 城市更新对周边房价影响随着距离增加显著降低,距离城市更新项目中心2.0 km以内、2.0~3.5 km范围对房价的推升作用分别为41.9%、24.9%和9.1%。最后建议政府完善房地产市场微观调控,建立完善长效机制。

关键词: 城市更新, 住房价格, 时空异质性影响, 杭州

Abstract:

China's urban development has entered into a period of large-scale urban renewal. Urban renewal can not only improve land use efficiency, but also improve neighborhood amenities and environmental quality. Urban renewal can bring capitalization effect into neighboring housing prices, and affect the development of real estate market. This study takes Hangzhou as a case and employs the difference-in-differences method to investigate the spatial and temporal effects of urban renewal on the real estate market. The results indicate that: 1) Urban renewal has a significant positive impact on the surrounding housing prices, but the degree of impact is different at the different periods of renewal. The surrounding housing prices will increase by 28.6% and 32% during the construction and operation periods of urban renewal projects. 2) Urban renewal has spatial different impact on the surrounding housing prices, and urban renewal would increase the housing prices 23% more in the urban fringe area than that in the urban core area. 3) The impact of urban renewal on the surrounding housing prices decreases with the distance. The urban renewal's impact on the surround housing price are 41.9% and 24.9%, respectively, at the distances of less 2.0 km and 2.0-3.5 km to city center. This study provides references for government better managing urban renewal and real estate market by revealing the significant spatial and temporal effects of urban renewal on surrounding housing prices.

Key words: urban renewal, housing price, spatio-temporal heterogeneous effects, Hangzhou

中图分类号: 

  • F293.3