黄河流域城市生态效率演化特征及门槛效应

doi:10.13249/j.cnki.sgs.2022.01.007

地理科学 ›› 2022, Vol. 42 ›› Issue (1): 74-82.doi: 10.13249/j.cnki.sgs.2022.01.007

黄河流域城市生态效率演化特征及门槛效应

徐维祥¹(), 郑金辉¹^,^*(), 王睿¹, 周建平¹, 胡豹², 刘程军¹^,³

1.浙江工业大学经济学院，浙江杭州 310023
2.浙江省农业科学院，浙江杭州 310022
3.浙江工业大学之江学院，浙江绍兴 312030

收稿日期:2020-09-21 修回日期:2021-02-05 发布日期:2022-01-20 出版日期:2022-01-30
通讯作者: 郑金辉 E-mail:xwq02@163.com;852808422@qq.com
作者简介:徐维祥（1963-），男，浙江东阳人，教授，博导，研究方向为产业集聚与区域经济学。E-mail: xwq02@163.com
基金资助:
国家自然科学基金项目(71774145);国家社会科学基金项目(18ZDA045)

The Evolution Characteristics and Threshold Effects of the Ecological Efficiency in the Yellow River Basin Cities

Xu Weixiang¹(), Zheng Jinhui¹^,^*(), Wang Rui¹, Zhou Jianping¹, Hu Bao², Liu Chengjun¹^,³

1. School of Economics, Zhejiang University of Technology, Hangzhou 310023, Zhejiang, China
2. Zhejiang Academy of Agricultural Sciences, Hangzhou 310022, Zhejiang, China
3. Zhijiang College, Zhejiang University of Technology, Shaoxing 312030, Zhejiang, China

Received:2020-09-21 Revised:2021-02-05 Online:2022-01-20 Published:2022-01-30
Contact: Zheng Jinhui E-mail:xwq02@163.com;852808422@qq.com
Supported by:
National Natural Science Foundation of China(71774145);National Social Science Foundation of China(18ZDA045)

摘要/Abstract

摘要：

基于非期望产出视角测度黄河流域城市生态效率，探讨2003—2017年黄河流域城市生态效率时空演化特征及资源禀赋的门槛效应。结果表明：① 黄河流域城市生态效率呈稳步上升态势，但全域和资源型城市表现出一定梯度效应，有两极分化现象；② 各城市生态效率总体呈东高西低、南高北低格局，并存在显著空间溢出效应，不同类型城市演化存在显著的时空惯性。③ 资源禀赋存在显著门槛效应，资源型城市生产性服务业集聚与生态效率呈“U”型关系，制造业集聚在跨过门槛值后会产生抑制作用，产业协同集聚则始终具有正向作用；非资源型城市资源禀赋会削弱生产性服务业集聚的促进作用，制造业集聚及产业协同集聚的影响跨过门槛值后不显著。

关键词: 生态效率, 产业集聚, 资源禀赋, 门槛效应, 黄河流域

Abstract:

This article studies the urban ecological efficiency of the Yellow River Basin, and discusses the spatial-temporal evolution characteristics of urban ecological efficiency and the threshold effect in the Yellow River Basin from 2003 to 2017 based on the perspective of unexpected output. The results showed that: 1) The ecological efficiency of the Yellow River Basin cities increased steadily, but the whole region and resource-based cities showed a certain gradient effect, with polarization phenomenon. 2) The ecological efficiency of each city is higher in the east and lower in the west, higher in the south and lower in the north, and there is a significant spatial spillover effect. 3) Resource endowment has a significant threshold effect. For resource-based cities, the relationship between producer services agglomeration and ecological efficiency is U-shaped, manufacturing agglomeration will have inhibitory effect after crossing the threshold, and industrial collaborative agglomeration always has a positive effect. For non resource-based cities, resource endowment will weaken the promoting effect of producer services agglomeration, while the influence of manufacturing agglomeration and industrial collaborative agglomeration is not significant after crossing the threshold.

Key words: ecological efficiency, industrial agglomeration, resource endowment, threshold effect, the Yellow River Basin

中图分类号:

F062.2

徐维祥, 郑金辉, 王睿, 周建平, 胡豹, 刘程军. 黄河流域城市生态效率演化特征及门槛效应[J]. 地理科学, 2022, 42(1): 74-82.

Xu Weixiang, Zheng Jinhui, Wang Rui, Zhou Jianping, Hu Bao, Liu Chengjun. The Evolution Characteristics and Threshold Effects of the Ecological Efficiency in the Yellow River Basin Cities[J]. SCIENTIA GEOGRAPHICA SINICA, 2022, 42(1): 74-82.

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相邻类型	本市类型	2003—2010年				2010—2017年				2003—2017年
相邻类型	本市类型	1	2	3	4	1	2	3	4	1	2	3	4
注：1为低效率；2为中低效率；3为中高效率；4为高效率。
1	1	0.8611	0.1278	0.0000	0.0111	0.7534	0.2466	0.0000	0.0000	0.8191	0.1741	0.0000	0.0068
	2	0.0672	0.8235	0.0756	0.0336	0.1000	0.9000	0.0000	0.0000	0.0945	0.8000	0.0764	0.0291
	3	0.0000	0.2222	0.5000	0.2778	0.0000	0.0000	0.0000	0.0000	0.0204	0.2041	0.4286	0.3469
	4	0.0833	0.0000	0.3333	0.5833	0.0000	1.0000	0.0000	0.0000	0.0732	0.1707	0.2927	0.4634
2	1	0.6508	0.3492	0.0000	0.0000	0.7000	0.3000	0.0000	0.0000	0.6494	0.3506	0.0000	0.0000
	2	0.0720	0.8640	0.0480	0.0160	0.0625	0.7981	0.1058	0.0337	0.0482	0.8394	0.0763	0.0361
	3	0.0000	0.0556	0.0556	0.3333	0.0179	0.2321	0.4464	0.3036	0.0000	0.1452	0.5806	0.2742
	4	0.0000	0.0000	0.4545	0.5455	0.0417	0.1458	0.2708	0.5417	0.0000	0.1087	0.3478	0.5435
3	1	0.0000	0.0000	0.0000	0.0000	0.6757	0.3243	0.0000	0.0000	0.0000	0.0000	0.0000	0.0000
	2	0.0000	1.0000	0.0000	0.0000	0.1029	0.7794	0.0588	0.0588	0.0000	0.9231	0.0769	0.0000
	3	0.0000	0.0000	0.0000	0.0000	0.0000	0.1000	0.6000	0.3000	0.0000	1.0000	0.0000	0.0000
	4	0.0000	0.0000	0.0000	0.0000	0.0000	0.2667	0.4000	0.3333	0.0000	0.0000	0.0000	0.0000
4	1	0.0000	0.0000	0.0000	0.0000	1.0000	0.0000	0.0000	0.0000	0.0000	0.0000	0.0000	0.0000
	2	0.0000	0.0000	0.0000	0.0000	0.0000	0.0000	0.0000	0.0000	0.0000	0.0000	0.0000	0.0000
	3	0.0000	0.0000	0.0000	0.0000	0.0000	0.0000	0.0000	0.0000	0.0000	0.0000	0.0000	0.0000
	4	0.0000	0.0000	0.0000	0.0000	0.0000	0.0000	0.0000	0.0000	0.0000	0.0000	0.0000	0.0000

变量	检验	门槛值	P值	95%置信区间	变量值	弹性系数	t值
注：^*、^和^分别表示在1%，5%和10%水平下显著；—表示三门槛检验不显著；psag、mag、coag*分别为生产性服务业集聚、制造业集聚、生产性服务业与制造业的协同集聚指数；re为资源禀赋水平。
psag	单门槛	0.320	0.012	[0.311,0.325]	re≤0.320	0.079^***	2.64
	双门槛	1.783	0.070	[1.569,1.790]	0.320<re≤1.783	-0.031^*	-1.78
	三门槛	—	—	—	re>1.783	0.033^**	1.97
mag	单门槛	0.179	0.036	[0.177,0.179]	re≤0.179	0.069^**	1.98
	双门槛	7.433	0.493	[1.056,7.732]	re>0.179	-0.334^***	-2.62
coag	单门槛	0.179	0.023	[0.167,0.179]	re≤0.179	0.081^***	2.68
	双门槛	7.149	0.767	[7.029,7.433]	re>0.179	0.055^**	2.37

变量	检验	门槛值	P值	95%置信区间	变量值	弹性系数	t值
注：^*、^和^分别表示在1%，5%和10%水平下显著；—表示三门槛检验不显著；psag、mag、coag*分别为生产性服务业集聚、制造业集聚、生产性服务业与制造业的协同集聚指数；re为资源禀赋水平。
psag	单门槛	0.013	0.043	[0.311,0.325]	re≤0.013	0.087^***	2.59
	双门槛	0.032	0.037	[0.026,0.033]	0.013<re≤0.032	0.004^**	2.07
	三门槛	—	—	—	re>0.032	0.100^*	1.87
mag	单门槛	0.032	0.041	[0.025,0.033]	re≤0.032	-0.121^***	-2.99
	双门槛	0.507	0.050	[0.444,0.564]	0.032<re≤0.507	0.068^***	2.75
	三门槛	—	—	—	re>0.507	0.047	0.98
coag	单门槛	0.032	0.020	[0.027,0.033]	re≤0.032	0.033^***	2.95
	双门槛	0.507	0.031	[0.479,0.564]	0.032<re≤0.507	0.006	0.18
	三门槛	—	—	—	re>0.507	0.059	1.52

黄河流域城市生态效率演化特征及门槛效应

The Evolution Characteristics and Threshold Effects of the Ecological Efficiency in the Yellow River Basin Cities

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