地理科学 ›› 2022, Vol. 42 ›› Issue (1): 174-184.doi: 10.13249/j.cnki.sgs.2022.01.017
• • 上一篇
莫贵芬1,2(), 冯建中3,*(
), 白林燕2, 王中美4, 李华林5, 于涛2
收稿日期:
2020-11-10
修回日期:
2021-02-20
出版日期:
2022-01-10
发布日期:
2022-03-21
通讯作者:
冯建中
E-mail:291077417@qq.com;fengjianzhong@caas.cn
作者简介:
莫贵芬(1994-),女,贵州贵定人,硕士研究生,研究方向为3S技术与水资源开发利用。E-mail: 2291077417@qq.com
基金资助:
Mo Guifen1,2(), Feng Jianzhong3,*(
), Bai Linyan2, Wang Zhongmei4, Li Hualin5, Yu Tao2
Received:
2020-11-10
Revised:
2021-02-20
Online:
2022-01-10
Published:
2022-03-21
Contact:
Feng Jianzhong
E-mail:291077417@qq.com;fengjianzhong@caas.cn
Supported by:
摘要:
基于2001—2018年长时间序列地表水遥感监测数据,提取中亚五国地表水面积信息,通过动态度法、变化斜率法和相关分析法揭示中亚五国地表水面积的时空动态变化特征并对其进行驱动力分析。结果表明:① 中亚五国地表水呈“北密南疏”分布特征,中北部地表水变化明显。近18 a来,季节水面积呈显著增加趋势,增加了133.55%,而永久水呈波动减少趋势,减少了17.27%。哈萨克斯坦地表水面积占比最大且变化也最为明显,其次是乌兹别克斯坦,其余三国无较大变化。② 2001—2018年,中亚五国全区季节水动态度为7.42%,并呈快-慢-快的增长趋势,而永久水呈增长-下降-增长的演变趋势,乌兹别克斯坦地表水变化最为活跃;北部边缘及图尔盖洼地、西部里海沿岸和咸海地区永久水面积显著减少而季节水显著增加,永久水向季节水转换现象明显。③ 中亚五国增温趋势不明显,降水呈减少趋势,人口、GDP和耕地均呈增加趋势。中亚五国地表水面积变化主要受社会经济因子的影响,气候因子对地表水的影响不显著。
中图分类号:
莫贵芬, 冯建中, 白林燕, 王中美, 李华林, 于涛. 2001—2018年中亚干旱区地表水资源时空变化特征[J]. 地理科学, 2022, 42(1): 174-184.
Mo Guifen, Feng Jianzhong, Bai Linyan, Wang Zhongmei, Li Hualin, Yu Tao. Spatio-temporal Dynamic Characteristics of Surface Water Resources in Arid Regions of Central Asia From 2001 to 2018[J]. SCIENTIA GEOGRAPHICA SINICA, 2022, 42(1): 174-184.
表1
2001—2018中亚五国地表水面积动态度变化/%
国家 | 总水动态度 | 永久水动态度 | 季节水动态度 | |||||||||||
2001— 2018年 | 2001— 2010年 | 2010— 2015年 | 2015— 2018年 | 2001— 2018年 | 2001— 2005年 | 2005— 2014年 | 2014— 2018年 | 2001— 2018年 | 2001— 2010年 | 2010— 2015年 | 2015— 2018年 | |||
哈国 | 1.11 | 0.69 | -0.67 | 4.25 | -0.95 | 0.23 | -2.46 | 1.73 | 6.53 | 6.34 | 0.01 | 8.27 | ||
吉国 | 0.19 | 0.23 | -0.19 | 0.57 | 0.01 | 0.16 | -0.15 | 0.18 | 6.86 | 5.77 | 0.10 | 10.22 | ||
塔国 | 0.74 | 0.97 | -0.23 | 1.17 | 0.23 | 0.66 | -0.13 | 0.43 | 2.22 | 2.52 | 0.38 | 2.30 | ||
土国 | 0.60 | 0.91 | -0.48 | 1.15 | -0.17 | 0.38 | -0.33 | -0.32 | 7.46 | 8.14 | -0.51 | 8.30 | ||
乌国 | -0.02 | -0.24 | -0.80 | 1.80 | -2.63 | -1.21 | -4.65 | 0.92 | 16.35 | 15.19 | 5.74 | 4.11 | ||
全区 | 0.81 | 0.58 | -0.62 | 3.11 | -0.96 | 0.05 | -2.13 | 0.96 | 7.42 | 7.22 | 0.72 | 7.51 |
表2
中亚地表水面积与各影响因子相关性
国家 | 水类型 | 温度 | 降水 | 人口 | GDP | 耕地 |
注:*表示通过0.05双侧显著性检验,**表示通过0.01双侧显著性检验。 | ||||||
哈国 | 季节水 | 0.05 | -0.02 | 0.86** | 0.54* | 0.81** |
永久水 | 0.19 | 0.25 | -0.85** | -0.94** | -0.84** | |
吉国 | 季节水 | 0.23 | 0.16 | 0.89** | 0.75** | 0.60** |
永久水 | 0.07 | 0.09 | -0.15 | -0.25 | -0.18 | |
塔国 | 季节水 | 0.33 | -0.01 | 0.88** | 0.73** | -0.66** |
永久水 | 0.11 | 0.29 | 0.52* | 0.27 | -0.55* | |
土国 | 季节水 | 0.20 | -0.11 | 0.82** | 0.69** | 0.71** |
永久水 | -0.02 | 0.22 | -0.89** | -0.84** | -0.64** | |
乌国 | 季节水 | 0.41 | -0.04 | 0.85** | 0.69** | -0.88** |
永久水 | -0.12 | 0.35 | -0.85** | -0.85** | 0.88** | |
中亚五国 | 季节水 | 0.15 | -0.36 | 0.88** | 0.63** | 0.82** |
永久水 | 0.10 | 0.29 | -0.86** | -0.96** | -0.87** |
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