地理科学 ›› 2020, Vol. 40 ›› Issue (2): 200-210.doi: 10.13249/j.cnki.sgs.2020.02.005

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山东省绿色发展水平绩效评价与驱动机制——基于17地市面板数据

郭付友1, 吕晓1, 于伟1, 任嘉敏2, 初楠臣2   

  1. 1. 曲阜师范大学地理与旅游学院,山东 日照 276826
    2. 中国科学院东北地理与农业生态研究所,吉林 长春 130102
  • 收稿日期:2019-02-01 修回日期:2019-05-09 出版日期:2020-02-10 发布日期:2020-04-09
  • 作者简介:郭付友(1987-),男,山东菏泽人,博士,讲师,硕导,主要从事经济地理与产业生态研究。E-mail: guofy945@nenu.edu.cn
  • 基金资助:
    国家自然科学基金项目(41801105);山东省自然科学基金项目(ZR2018BD002);山东省社会科学规划研究项目资助(18DJJJ14)

Performance Evaluation and Driving Mechanism of Green Development in Shandong Province Based on Panel Data of 17 Cities

Guo Fuyou1, Lyu Xiao1, Yu Wei1, Ren Jiamin2, Chu Nanchen2   

  1. 1. College of Geography and Tourism, Qufu Normal University, Rizhao 276826, Shandong, China
    2. Northeast Institute of Geography and Agroecology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Changchun 130102, Jilin, China
  • Received:2019-02-01 Revised:2019-05-09 Online:2020-02-10 Published:2020-04-09
  • Supported by:
    National Natural Science Foundation of China(41801105);National Natural Science Foundation of Shandong(ZR2018BD002);Social Science Planning Research Project of Shandong(18DJJJ14)

摘要:

构建绿色发展评价指标体系,并利用熵值法、全局莫兰指数、GWR模型等多种计量方法对2005~2016年山东省17地级市绿色发展水平时空分异特征与驱动机制进行了综合研究,结果表明:山东省绿色发展“自上而下”指令性特征比较突出,且依赖于物质消耗型规模增长,势必忽视经济要素横向转移反馈作用与产业集群效应;山东省绿色发展水平逐年递增,俱乐部收敛特征较为突出,但其年均增长率仅为1.77%反映了产业轻型化与清型化进程缓慢,绿色发展质量提升之路漫长而艰巨;山东省绿色发展经历了空间依存关系不明显到明显的过程,且绿色发展水平存在明显的空间分异态势,两极化发展特征较为明显;加入空间效应的空间加权回归模型更具有解释力,人均GDP、万人R&D人员数、人均固定资产投资等对于绿色发展水平的优化提升起到正向促进作用,第二产业增加值/第三产业增加值对于绿色发展回归系数呈现负相关,实际利用外资对于绿色发展回归系数有正有负。

关键词: 绿色发展, 绿色发展水平绩效, 资源环境, 山东省

Abstract:

This paper comprehensively constructs the performance evaluation index system of green development, and analyzes its spatial-temporal pattern and driving mechanism of 17 cities in Shandong Province by using a variety of measurement methods. The results show that: 1) The "top-down" commanding characteristics of green development in Shandong are more prominent, and its development depends on the scale expansion and total growth of economic, and neglects the optimization and promotion of industrial structure and the lateral transfer feedback effect of economic factors; 2) The level of green development in Shandong is increasing, and the characteristics of club convergence are more prominent. But its low growth rate with 1.77% shows that the process of light and clear industry is slow, and the way of improving the green development quality is long and arduous; 3) The green development of Shandong has experienced an obvious process of spatial dependence. And there is obvious spatial differentiation in the green development, and the trend of polarization is obvious; 4) Spatial weighted regression models with spatial effects are more explanatory, and the per capita GDP, the number of R&D personnel and the investment of per capita fixed assets have a positive effect on the improvement of the green development. The second industrial added value / third industrial added value has negative correlation to the regression coefficient of green development, and the actual utilization of foreign capital has positive negative effect on the regression coefficient of green development.

Key words: green development, green development performance evaluation, resource environment, Shandong Province

中图分类号: 

  • F127