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  • 地理科学
      2018年, 第38卷, 第10期 刊出日期:2018-10-20 上一期    下一期
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    集聚经济、政策激励与中国计算机制造业空间格局——基于贸易数据的实证研究
    贺灿飞,朱向东,孔莹晖,李伟
    地理科学. 2018, 38 (10): 1579-1588.   DOI: 10.13249/j.cnki.sgs.2018.10.001
    摘要   RICH HTML PDF (5668KB)

    利用中国海关贸易库数据,对计算机上游和下游出口源地的空间格局演变进行对比分析,以面板数据方法揭示产业集聚和政策激励的作用。研究发现:计算机上游出口集中在长三角和珠三角,下游出口集中于长三角和成渝,上游出口格局更分散;从动态看,上游出口从珠三角逐步向内陆扩散呈现集聚-分散-集聚的过程,内陆地区承载大部分出口增长;下游出口增长态势更为明显,最初集中分布在长三角和珠三角,2010年以后内陆地区增长迅速,成渝成为继长三角后最为重要的集聚区;研究时段集聚经济对计算机上下游制造业的推动作用降低,政策激励的影响显著增加;沿海和内陆计算机制造业发展模式不同,前者的兴起主要是市场化条件下的集聚经济,后者则受到集聚经济和政策激励的共同影响;由于产业特征的差异,集聚经济对计算机上游的影响高于下游。在计算机制造业的发展中,要素成本增加造成的集聚不经济和地方政府的政策激励使得集聚效应逐步让位于政策支持。不同区域不同阶段产业对政策的敏感程度并不相同,政策制定应顺应产业演变规律。


    The coast areas of China took the lead in developing and exporting computer products based on comparative advantages. However, with the rising of wage, land price and environmental standards, as well as strong incentives of local governments, a large number of enterprises started to relocate to the inland areas of China. Thus, the spatial pattern of Chinese computer manufacturing had changed dramatically. On the base of export data compiled by the Chinese Customs Trade Statistics, this article investigated the spatial patterns of upstream and downstream computer industry during 2004 to 2013. Based on panel data method this research revealed the role of agglomeration economy and incentive policy in affecting the pattern of computer exportation. The results indicate that: 1) The exportation of upstream computer industry is concentrated in the Yangtze River Delta and the Pearl River Delta while the downstream industry is concentrated in the Yangtze River Delta and Chengdu-Chongqing region. The distribution of the upstream industry is more dispersed. 2) From a dynamic perspective, the exportation of upstream computer industry shows agglomeration-scattered-agglomeration feature as it decreased in the Pearl River Delta while increased in inland areas. Exportation of downstream computer industry is initially concentrated in the Yangtze River Delta and the Pearl River Delta. After 2010, the downstream industry grew rapidly and Chengdu-Chongqing region became the second biggest (after the Yangtze River Delta) export areas in 2013. 3) The influence of agglomeration on both upstream and downstream computer manufacturing was reduced while the impact of policy increased significantly. 4) The developing routines of computer manufacturing in the coastal and inland regions are different. The rise of the former is mainly stimulated by agglomeration under the background of marketization, and the latter is influenced by both agglomeration and policy. 5) Due to the difference of industrial characteristics, the impact of agglomeration on the upstream industry is more than the downstream. This article suggests that with the increasing of cost, agglomeration is gradually becoming not economical. Policy development should be consistent with the evolution of agglomeration economy to realize expected economic performance.

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    中国绿色化进程空间格局动态演变及其驱动机制
    侯纯光,任建兰,程钰,刘树峰
    地理科学. 2018, 38 (10): 1589-1596.   DOI: 10.13249/j.cnki.sgs.2018.10.002
    摘要   RICH HTML PDF (5323KB)

    运用综合指数法、空间计量模型等方法,对中国绿色化进程空间格局动态演变及其驱动机制进行研究。研究表明: 2000~2015年中国绿色化水平从0.352提升至0.859,其中绿色增长、绿色福利和绿色治理指数呈波动上升趋势,绿色财富指数呈逐渐下降的态势; 中国绿色化空间分异特征从“小差距低水平”向“大差距高水平”转变,呈东部高,中部低,西部较高的“凹”字形空间格局特征; 经济发展水平、城镇化水平、创新投入、市场体制、全球化水平与绿色化呈显著性正相关,而产业结构(工业产值占GDP比重)与绿色化呈显著性负相关。


    The article constructs a greenization evaluation index system which covers four dimensions of green growth, green welfare, green wealth and green governance based on defining the concept of “greenization”. The dynamic evolution characteristics of spatial pattern of greenization process in China are analyzed through using comprehensive index method, entropy weight method, Gini coefficient, coefficient of variation, and NICH index and combined with GIS spatial analysis software. In addition, this paper analyzed the driving mechanism of the dynamic evolution of the spatial pattern of greenization process in China through using the global Moran's I index, spatial econometric model combined with Matlab 2012 data analysis software. The conclusions are as follows: 1) In 2000-2015, China’s greenization level increased from 0.352 to 0.859, of which green growth, green welfare and green governance index fluctuated upward trend, while the green wealth index showed a downward trend; 2) The spatial differentiation features of China’s Greenization in 2000-2015 years changed from “small gap between the low level” to “large gap between the high level”, the greenization level of east and west are high, middle low, a feature of “凹” shape spatial pattern; 3) The economic development, urbanization, innovation investment, market system, globalization have significantly positively correlated with greenization. However the industrial structure (the proportion of industrial output value in GDP) showed a significant negative correlation with greenization.

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    人类福祉视角下中国生态效率时空演化研究
    王耕,李素娟,马奇飞
    地理科学. 2018, 38 (10): 1597-1605.   DOI: 10.13249/j.cnki.sgs.2018.10.003
    摘要   RICH HTML PDF (2614KB)

    基于非径向、非角度的SBM模型和Malmquist生产率指数模型,对2000~2015年中国30个地区的生态效率进行测度,对中国生态效率的时空动态变化特征及其驱动因素进行研究。结果表明:2000~2015年中国生态效率呈缓慢波动上升的特点,但整体处于中等水平;生态效率的高值区主要集中在东西部,中部生态效率相对较低;除北京、天津、上海、山东、海南外,其余地区都需要调整配比关系来改善生态效率;人类福祉在某些地区已成为制约生态效率的第一影响因素;中国生态效率的全要素生产率、技术进步变化指数以及纯技术效率变化指数均呈波动中缓慢上升的特点,规模效率变化指数则呈下降趋势,除四川全要素生产率的提高完全得益于规模效率外,科技进步对其他地区均具有正向作用。


    In today’s development of the concept of "people-oriented", it is not only the pursuit of resources, economy and environment sustainable development, but also human sustainable development. Therefore, the ecological efficiency can not only reflect the resources, economy, environment coordination, and it’s better to pursue the sustainable development of people, resources, economy and environment. The sustainable development of human beings is aimed at improving the human well-being and enhancing the happiness of people. Improving people’s livelihood and well-being is the basic starting point and goal of regional economic and social development in China. Therefore, based on the the concept of "people-oriented", we construct human well-being index, which reflects the livelihood and happiness of people, and integrate it into the evaluation system of Eco-efficiency. In order to reflect the ecological efficiency of our country from four aspects of resources, economy, environment and human well-being. Therefore, from the perspective of human well-being, the evaluation index of human well-being will be integrated into the measurement and evaluation of ecological efficiency in China, which can fully understand the changes of ecological efficiency and the statue of comprehensive, coordinated and sustainable development of resources, economy, environment and human in China. We measure the ecological efficiency from year 2000 to 2015 based on non radial and non angle SBM model in China, analyzing temporal and spatial variation characteristics of ecological efficiency in China, and studying its driving factors. The main results are summarized as follows: In 2000-2015, the ecological efficiency of China has been rising slowly and fluctuating, but the overall level is still at a moderate leve. There is a lot of space for improving ecological efficiency. The high value areas of ecological efficiency are mainly concentrated in the East and the West. The ecological efficiency is relatively low in the middle of the region, so the ecological efficiency of the central region needs to be further promoted. In addition to Beijing, Tianjin, Shanghai, Shandong, and Hainan, the rest of the region needs to adjust the mix ratio to improve ecological efficiency. Human well-being has become the first factor in restricting ecological efficiency in some areas. Therefore, human well-being can not be ignored for the promotion of ecological efficiency. The total factor productivity, the change index of technological progress and the pure technical efficiency index of ecological efficiency all show characteristics of fluctuations in the slowly rising, and the scale efficiency change index show a downward trend. The total factor productivity of Sichuan increases entirely due to scale efficiency, and technological progress has a positive impact on other areas excepting Sichuan.

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    中国海洋生态效率时空分异及其与海洋产业结构响应关系识别
    狄乾斌,梁倩颖
    地理科学. 2018, 38 (10): 1606-1615.   DOI: 10.13249/j.cnki.sgs.2018.10.004
    摘要   RICH HTML PDF (656KB)

    采用超效率DEA模型对中国海洋生态效率进行测算,运用标准差椭圆对其进行空间可视化表达,最后运用VAR模型对海洋产业结构和海洋生态效率进行脉冲响应分析,以评测中国海洋生态效率时空差异并探究其与海洋产业结构响应关系。结论如下:中国沿海省份海洋第三产业比重占海洋生产总值较大,在研究期内呈现增长趋势;大多数省份海洋产业结构熵值下降,说明该类省份海洋产业发展平稳;在时间上,海洋生态效率总体上处于无效状态,海洋第三产业占比重高的年份,海洋生态效率相对较高;在空间上,海洋生态效率重心总体呈现向北移动趋势,表明北方海洋生态效率的优化进度快于南方;基于沿海各省脉冲响应图可以得出,各省份海洋产业结构对海洋生态效率的冲击最后都趋于平稳,主要原因在于随着中国海洋产业结构升级变动稳定,其对海洋生态效率的影响越来越小;在方差分解部分,沿海各省份海洋产业结构升级对海洋生态效率方差分解的贡献度较高,且呈现增长趋势,说明海洋产业结构升级对海洋生态效率的提升有一定的作用。


    To evaluate the spatio-termporal difference of marine eco-efficiency of China and explore its response relationship with the structure of the marine industry, the super-efficiency DEA model, the standard deviation ellipse and VAR model were gradually applied to calculate the marine eco-efficiency, visualize spatially and analyze the impulse response of the marine industrial structure and marine eco-efficiency, respectively. The conclusions are as follows: 1) Marine tertiary industry has a large proportion of gross ocean product in coastal provinces of China, showing an increasing trend during the study. The entropy of marine industrial structure declines in most provinces, which indicate that the development of marine industry in these provinces is stable. 2) In terms of time series, marine eco-efficiency is invalid by and large, but the marine eco-efficiency is relatively high in the year when the marine tertiary industry has a high proportion of marine production. In terms of space, the gravity of marine eco-efficiency generally shows trend of moving to north, indicating that optimization of marine eco-efficiency in the north is faster than that in the south. 3) According to the impulse response charts of coastal provinces, it can be concluded that the impact of marine industrial structure of each province on marine eco-efficiency has finally stabilized. The main reason is that as China’s marine industry structure stabilizes, its impact on marine eco-efficiency is getting smaller and smaller; From the perspective of variance decomposition, the marine industrial structure upgrading in coastal provinces has a higher contribution to the decomposition of marine eco-efficiency variance, and it shows a growth trend, indicating that the upgrading of marine industrial structure has a certain effect on the improvement of marine eco-efficiency.

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    中国省域旅游经济增长的时空跃迁及其趋同研究
    方叶林,黄震方,李经龙,王芳
    地理科学. 2018, 38 (10): 1616-1623.   DOI: 10.13249/j.cnki.sgs.2018.10.005
    摘要   RICH HTML PDF (789KB)

    利用1997~2015年中国省域旅游经济相关数据,综合LISA时空跃迁模型及相关计量分析方法,分析省域旅游经济的时空演化是否会导致趋同现象。研究结果表明:1997~2015年,中国三大地带LISA时间路径相对长度表现出东部大于中部,中部大于西部的空间格局;LISA时间路径弯曲度表现出中部大于西部,西部大于东部的空间格局。省域旅游经济增长δ趋同较为显著,总体上绝对β趋同不显著,但在不同时段上绝对β趋同显著。区域经济、区位交通与市场化程度是影响省域旅游经济条件β趋同的主要因素。旅游经济时空跃迁与俱乐部趋同具有一定的关联性,东中部地区旅游经济增长的俱乐部趋同较为显著。


    The relationship between the results of time-space evolution and its convergence and divergence should be one of the main directions of human geography in the future. By taking the related data of provincial tourism economy in the Chinese Mainland from 1997 to 2015, comprehensively using the methods of LISA time hopping model, and related quantitative analysis methods, it analyze whether the time-space evolution of provincial tourism economy will lead to convergence phenomenon. The results show that: the relative length of LISA time path in the three major regions of Chinese Mainland presents that the East is larger than the Middle, while the Middle is larger than the West. However, the time path curvature of LISA shows that the Middle is larger than the West, while the West is larger than the East from 1997 to 2015. The time path movement direction of LISA shows that: the spatial pattern of provincial tourism economic development in Chinese Mainland has a weak optimization trend from 1997 to 2015. The spatial cohesion of provincial tourism economy is 0.71 in Chinese Mainland, which reflects the spatial correlation and agglomeration characteristics of provincial tourism economy presenting a high stability situation, and there is a certain path dependence or locking effect. It has a significant δ convergence of provincial tourism economy growth, generally speaking, absolute β convergence is not significant, but it is significant at different time period. In the long run, the absolute β convergence is not significant about tourism economy growth; however, in the short term, absolute β convergence rate appears weak increasing trend. There is a regional differentiation, which the introduction of regional dummy variables has significant influence on conditional β convergence, so it is necessary to introduce other variables for parameter estimation. Regional economy, location and transportation, marketization degree are the main factors that influence the conditional β convergence of provincial tourism economy. There is a downward trend compared with the compound regression coefficient and single regression coefficient, reflecting that the influence factors of tourism economic growth has not well optimized and combined, the external environment still needs to be optimized. There is some relationship between space-time transition and club convergence of provincial tourism economy, and the club convergence of the tourism economy growth in the East and Middle is more obvious. The club convergence will lead to the reduction of the gap in the groups, but the gap between groups will increase. Therefore, the cross regional tourism cooperation, which will break geographical location, needs to be strengthened in the future.

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    从城乡一体化到城乡融合:新型城乡关系的思考
    刘春芳,张志英
    地理科学. 2018, 38 (10): 1624-1633.   DOI: 10.13249/j.cnki.sgs.2018.10.006
    摘要   RICH HTML PDF (1456KB)

    新型城镇化和乡村振兴战略的深入实施,推动城乡关系进入了一个融合发展的新阶段。采用Citespace1.0软件分析及文献归纳方法,识别了城乡关系研究热点,梳理了城乡关系研究在理论探索、影响因素、测度与评价、空间组织及推进策略等方面的研究进展。在此基础上,重点对面向城乡融合发展的新型城乡关系研究进行了总结,从理论基础与总体思路、多源数据与方法集成等方面提出了基于要素流动的城乡融合分析框架,指出了城乡融合研究的重点是基于多源数据的城乡关系测度与评价,城乡要素流动的特征、格局与效应,城乡要素融合发展的流动机制,城乡融合发展调控策略等。


    The in-depth implementation of the new urbanization and rural revitalization strategy has pushed the urban-rural relationship into a new stage of integrated development. Based on Citespace1.0 software analysis and literature induction method, the paper identified the research hotspots of urban-rural relationship, reviewed the research progress of urban-rural relationship. Which included theoretical connotation and influencing factors of urban-rural relationship, measurement and evaluation of urban-rural connection, urban-rural spatial organization and development mode, and coordinated development of urban-rural areas and promotion strategy. Combining with the social economic background of information revolution and the change of urban-rural relationship in China, we points out that the construction of urban-rural relationship in the new period needs to change the traditional urban-rural relationship centered on the city, promote the integration of urban and rural areas and the formation of a new pattern of equal development between urban and rural areas. Based on this, we puts forward and discusses the construction and overall thought of a new urban-rural relationship toward urban-rural integration development. Then we proposes a framework for urban-rural integration analysis based on elements flow, puts forward the general idea of analyzing the characteristics, pattern and mechanism of urban-rural elements flow, which is supported by flow space theory and new mobility paradigm, multi-source data and visual analysis. The paper emphasizes the importance of measurement and evaluation of urban-rural relationship and the flow of urban-rural elements. The characteristics, pattern and mechanism of urban-rural factors flow, and the regulation and control strategy of the integration development of urban-rural areas are discussed in detail. The paper also explores the construction of the urban-rural integration database, the measurement of the flow of urban-rural elements and their spatial-temporal changes, and spatial simulation and visualization expression and other methods and techniques.

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    基于城、市视角的城市化水平与经济增长关系
    王雪辉,谷国锋
    地理科学. 2018, 38 (10): 1634-1642.   DOI: 10.13249/j.cnki.sgs.2018.10.007
    摘要   RICH HTML PDF (2010KB)

    基于城、市的视角,揭示2005~2014年中国285个地级市城市化水平及类型的时空演化规律,并基于非参数估计方法探究不同城市化类型与经济增长的函数关系。研究发现:中国城化水平空间分布呈离散状态,市化水平空间分布呈“核心-外围”结构。中国大多数城市属于同步发展型,该类型城市较非同步型城市更稳定。不同城市化类型与经济增长的函数关系也不相同,因此应有针对性地采取差异化政策。


    This article analyzes the level and types of urbanization of Chinese 285 prefecture-level cities from 2005 to 2014 based on the perspective of city and market, and reveals the spatiotemporal regulation of the evolution of urbanization level in China. The paper explored the relationship between different types of urbanization and economic growth based on the function of non parameter estimation method. The results show that: 1) The spatial distribution of city level in China is discrete, and the spatial distribution of market level shows the “core periphery” structure. According to the equilibrium and synchronization level of city and market, the study unit could be divided into five categories, which are city precedes market, market precedes city, low-level synchronization, medium-level synchronization, high-level synchronization. And we found that most cities of our country belong to the high-level synchronization type. 2) This article reveals the characteristics of urbanization type evolution through constructing a transtion-probablity matrix Markov chain. The first characteristic is that the cities belong to synchronous type shows more stability than that belongs to non-synchronous type. The second characteristic is that the transfer of urbanization type has stages. 3) Firstly, the economic growth rate of low-level synchronous city has cubic function relationships with city and market level. Secondly, the economic growth rate of media-level and high-level synchronous city has quadratic function relationships with its city and market level. Thirdly, the economic growth rate of non-synchronous city has cubic function relationships with city and market level. Therefore, different types of cities should adopt differentiated policies when raising their economic level.

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    城市土地利用/覆盖变化与热环境生态调控研究进展与展望
    匡文慧
    地理科学. 2018, 38 (10): 1643-1652.   DOI: 10.13249/j.cnki.sgs.2018.10.008
    摘要   RICH HTML PDF (661KB)

    城市土地利用/覆盖变化(LUCC)与热环境生态调控是城市生态学和城市气候适应性关注的热点问题。在提出城市LUCC/空间结构与生态服务热调节功能连接的重要性的基础上,综述了城市土地利用变化、城市绿色基础设施在热岛减缓和气候适应性发挥的作用,评述了观测实验、定量遥感和过程模型方面以及热调控的进展情况。基于此认为,局地或区域尺度城市高精度结构组分高精度遥感探测方法、城市高精度下垫面多尺度(功能区/覆盖组分/构造或材质等)对局地气温和辐射能量平衡影响机理和定量贡献识别、城市生态系统热调节功能的城市地表结构组分调控阈值确定、以及区域或全球尺度城市土地利用/覆盖变化影响的生物地球物理机制定量化认知等,是未来重要的发展方向。


    Urban land use/cover change (LUCC) and ecological regulation on thermal environment are hot topics of urban ecology and climate adaptation. This study proposed the significances in linking urban LUCC/spatial structure with the thermal regulation of ecological services. In this paper, the research progress of urban LUCC, the role of urban green infrastructure in heat island mitigation and climate adaptability, the integration of observational experiments, quantitative remote sensing, quantitative modeling of process models, and ecological regulation of thermal environment are reviewed. On this basis, a remotely sensed detection methods on urban structure components with high-precision at local or regional scales was proposed. We advanced synchronically implement field observation with satellite transits (e.g., Landsat 8, MODIS) and remotely sensed retrieval of micro-climate, eddy covariance, land surface temperature and other parameters along an urban-rural gradient in metropolitan area. The integration of these parameters into EcoCity V1.0 will be used to examine the mechanisms of the impacts of impervious surface area and green space components, their radiation and surface heat fluxes, and anthropenic heat sources on urban thermal environment, and to analyze the spatio-temporal heterogeneity of urban heat island effect induced by urban expansion of different city sizes and configuration. The impacts of urban high-precision underlying surface with multi-scale (functional zones/land-cover components/configuration and material, etc.) on local air temperature, and radiation and energy budget, the regulating threshold of urban surface structure components for alleviating urban heat island, and the quantitative knowledge of influence of urban LUCC on biogeophysical mechanisms at regional and global scales will be the important prospective contents in the future. So, the effective linking between spatial planning with urban ecology and urban climate will be of significance in this field. The overarching objectives of this study are to identify the ecological threshold on regulating urban underlyding impervious surface area and green space component for alleviating extreme weather heat and improving human comfortability aiming to UN Sustainable Development Goals 2030. This research will promote our understanding of the urban biophysical mechanisms of the urban thermal environment and provide the scientific fundamentals in building livable urban environment and urban ecology security.

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    中国水-能源-粮食压力时空变动及驱动力分析
    白景锋,张海军
    地理科学. 2018, 38 (10): 1653-1660.   DOI: 10.13249/j.cnki.sgs.2018.10.009
    摘要   RICH HTML PDF (3173KB)

    采用主成分分析法,把构建的水资源、能源和粮食的压力指数分解为3个正交向量,以矢量合成法计算水-能源-粮食(W-E-F)总压力指数。在考察1997~2015年30个省区(香港、澳门和台湾无数据,西藏缺能源数据)的水资源压力指数、能源压力指数、粮食压力指数和W-E-F总压力指数的时序变化后,选取8个反映总压力指数变化的指标,截取1997、2004、2015年3个断面,采用地理加权回归(GWR)模型对影响中国W-E-F压力指数变化的因素进行分析。结论如下: 时间上看,W-E-F总压力先升后降;空间上看,从东南沿海向西北内陆W-E-F总压力逐渐递减,东北和沿海城市化水平高的地区压力较大。 能源压力对中国W-E-F总压力的贡献最大,中东部地区的能源压力指数更高,淮河以北地区的水资源压力指数更高,东部的长江口以南沿海区域和广大西部地区的粮食压力指数更高。 1997~2015年,全国水资源压力指数多数地区上升,能源压力指数和粮食压力指数大部分地区下降。不同时段,W-E-F压力变化的驱动力不同。总体上看,大部分指标与W-E-F压力变化同向,人均受教育水平和人均GDP与W-E-F压力变化反向,人口密度增大、食物构成变化、粮食生产条件和经济发展是W-E-F压力升高的主因。在分析时段内,随着时间推移,社会因素和经济因素的影响在增大,提高人均受教育水平和经济转型发展是降低W-E-F压力的有效途径。


    As the basis of regional development, water-energy-food (W-E-F) is usually a bottleneck too. China’s strategy of sustainable development has been threatened and challenged by the spatially unbalanced distribution and the insufficient total amount of the water-energy-food supply, and the unbalanced socioeconomic development. Each year from 1997 to 2015, three pressure indices (i.e. water pressure index, energy pressure index and food pressure index) were decomposed into three orthotropic vectors by using principal component analysis, and the W-E-F pressure index were then calculated and created by vector synthesis method. For the thirty province units in China (no data are available for Hong Kong, Macao and Taiwan and no energy data for Tibet), after the temporal variations of the water pressure index, the energy pressure index, the food pressure index and the W-E-F pressure index were checked, eight variables (i.e. degree of per capita education, per capita GDP, per capita farmland area, per capita meat production, per capita aquatic product, population density, effective irrigation area, urbanization rate) which related to the W-E-F pressure were employed and three cross-section (i.e. 1997, 2004 and 2015) were chosen to carry out the geographically weighted regression (GWR) analysis. In the three developed GWR models, the dependent variable was the z-score standardized W-E-F pressure index differences between the start year and the end year, i.e. 1997 and 2004 (for model 1), 2004 and 2015 (for model 2), 1997 and 2015 (for model 3), and the eight independent variables were the respective z-score standardized differences (i.e. for the eight employed variables) between the start year and the end year. The factors which influence the variation of W-E-F index can be discovered from the developed GWR models and the conclusions are as follows: 1) The W-E-F pressure index rose initially and then declined from 1997 to 2015. Spatially, the W-E-F pressure decreased progressively from Southeast China to Northwest China, and larger pressure happened in Northeast China and those coastal provinces where urbanization level was higher. 2) The energy pressure index had made more significant contribution to the W-E-F pressure index than the water pressure index and the food pressure index. The energy pressure index was higher in central and east China and the water pressure index was bigger for those provinces in the north of Huaihe river. However, the food pressure index was higher for those coastal provinces in the south of the Yangtze River and for those provinces in west China. 3) In China, the water pressure index rose in most provinces, and the energy pressure index and the food pressure index declined in most provinces from 1997 to 2015. 4) The driving forces of the W-E-F pressure changes were different for the different phases. Overall, the same change direction was observed between most of the variables and the W-E-F pressure index. However, the opposite change direction existed between degree of per capita education and the W-E-F pressure index, so did between per capita GDP and the W-E-F pressure index. The main causes of the increased W-E-F pressure were the increased population density, the changed component of food supply, the conditions of food production and the economic development. The influences of socioeconomic factors on the W-E-F pressure rose progressively from 1997 to 2015. The effectual ways to reduce the W-E-F pressure were to improve the degree of per capita education and to reshape the economic development.

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    城市型目的地入境旅游市场演化差异研究——基于中国香港和新加坡市内部结构与外部规模分时段辨析
    查瑞波,伍世代,孙根年
    地理科学. 2018, 38 (10): 1661-1669.   DOI: 10.13249/j.cnki.sgs.2018.10.010
    摘要   RICH HTML PDF (489KB)

    借鉴区域交通网络建构中的O-D(Origin-Destination)模型提出一个能够从3个维度揭示入境旅游目的地内外部市场变化过程的旅游O-D对接模型,以中国香港和新加坡市为案例,分析了两地入境旅游市场结构与规模的变化。通过内外部多指标对比研究,辨析入境旅游市场集中化与多样性的利弊,比较小型城市型入境旅游目的地的内外部市场结构变化差异。利用2005~2016年相关统计数据,构建了市场重要度-市场偏好和市场偏好-市场占有率2个组合矩阵,取2005和2006年的平均值与2015和2016年的平均值,对中国香港和新加坡市的入境市场进行了比较。结果显示,从旅游目的地内部客源结构来看,10 a间香港入境旅游市场集中度高并呈现进一步集中化趋势,而新加坡入境旅游市场多样性高且相对稳定,这与香港2003年开放内地“自由行”而内地入港旅游持续增长有关;从目的地外部市场规模来看,中国是世界最大的出境游市场,出境游规模远超过印度尼西亚,导致香港旅游市场吨位指数也远大于新加坡。最后,结合已有研究进行文献对话讨论了市场集中化与多样化策略选择对不同规模入境旅游目的地的利弊,分析认为多样性的入境旅游市场策略有利于大型入境旅游目的地实现其全球政经战略需求等的目的。而对于小型城市入境目的地而言,集中性的入境旅游市场策略更有利于节约营销成本、获得稳定客源和实现入境旅游收入的长期稳定增长。


    In order to compare the differences between the internal and external market structure of the small urban inbound tourism destinations, this article draws on the O-D (Origin-Destination) model of the regional traffic network planning, and then puts forward a inbound tourism O-D model which can reveal the market change processes of the inbound tourism destinations from three dimensions. This article taking two city-destination, Hong Kong, China and Singapore city as examples, analyzed the changes in both internal market structure and external market scale using the statistical data from the year 2005 to 2016. At the same time, the article also constructed two matrices which called “market importance-travel preference” and “market share-travel preference” to compare the market changes of Hong Kong and Singapore. The results showed that from the internal view, the centralization level of Hong Kong’s inbound market has improved in the past 10 years, while the Singapore’s inbound sustained to be more diversity than Hong Kong. In conclusion, this article also discussed the important significance of the O-D modeling for choosing the right inbound market strategy and the pros and cons of concentration and diversity as inbound tourism market polices for different size inbound tourism destinations.

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    再生性资源型城市工业化与城镇空间耦合格局及驱动因素——以徐州市为例
    仇方道,孙莉莉,郭梦梦,谭俊涛,单勇兵
    地理科学. 2018, 38 (10): 1670-1680.   DOI: 10.13249/j.cnki.sgs.2018.10.011
    摘要   RICH HTML PDF (1343KB)

    整合脱钩模型、耦合协调模型和工业化城镇空间响应测度模型,采用ESDA和GWR等方法,以镇域为研究单元,分析了2003~2015年徐州市工业化与城镇空间耦合格局及影响因素。结果表明:徐州市工业化与城镇空间的脱钩关系呈现由无脱钩向绝对脱钩状态演化,二者之间的耦合协调程度呈增强趋势,但耦合作用不强;徐州市镇域工业化城镇空间响应程度呈波动性增强之势,各镇域间差异在逐渐增大;徐州工业化城镇空间响应强度差异的“一带”、“两翼”格局正在形成,交通区位优越类镇域尤为显著,表明再生性资源型城市工业化城镇空间响应的禀赋基础正在发生改变; 弱响应镇域主要集中于远离城市且区位不便的区域,持续表现为冷点区域,与经济发展水平的区域格局具有一致性;徐州市工业化城镇空间响应的影响因素作用程度呈现政府调控>投资因素>发展阶段>基础设施的特征,且均呈减弱之势,但各因素的影响作用表现出显著的空间异质性。


    Based on the decoupling model, coupling coordination model and spatial response measurement model of industrial towns, the article analyzed the coupling pattern of industrialization and urban space as well as its influencing factors in Xuzhou city from 2003 to 2015 by using the methods of Exploratory Spatial Data Analysis (ESDA) and Geographical Weighted Regression model (GWR). The results showed as followed. Firstly, the decoupling relationship between industrialization and urban space in Xuzhou City had evolved from no decoupling to absolute decoupling, and the degree of coupling coordination between them showed an upward trend, but the coupling effect was not strong. Secondly, the degree of industrialization urban spatial response presented a trend of fluctuating increasing in the town of Xuzhou, and the difference among the various towns increased gradually. Thirdly, the strength difference of industrialization urban space response were forming the pattern of one belt and two wings, and the towns with superior traffic location were particularly significant, which indicated that the endowment basis of industrialization urban spatial response in regenerative resource-based cities had been changing. Fourthly, the low urban space response towns mainly agglomerated in the areas far from the city where the location was unchanged, and it continued to present as cold point areas, consistent with the regional pattern of economic development level. Finally, we found that the degree of influence factors on spatial response of industrial towns had the characteristics of the greatest effects on industrialization urban space response, followed by investment factors, development stage and infrastructure, both showing a trend of weakening, but the influence of various factors showed significant spatial heterogeneity.

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    效率演化视角下吉林省松花江流域产业系统环境适应性研究
    郭付友,佟连军,李平,张慧敏,张春丽
    地理科学. 2018, 38 (10): 1681-1689.   DOI: 10.13249/j.cnki.sgs.2018.10.012
    摘要   RICH HTML PDF (667KB)

    基于效率演化视角与适应性分析范式,综合采用投入导向生产规模报酬可变的VRS模型,对吉林省松花江流域产业系统环境适应性时空分异特征与影响因素进行了研究,结果发现松花江流域产业系统:现状格局特征分析反映出吉林省松花江流域各县市尚处于规模扩张与总量增长阶段,仍有众多县市尚未达到最优规模阶段,在未来一段时间内,规模集聚仍是产业或经济发展的主流;时序演化特征分析反映出吉林省松花江流域产业生态化发展迟缓,产业规模扩张仍是效率提升的关键所在,科学技术尚未发挥出其应有作用;空间分异特征分析,综合效率与规模效率较高的县市不断向流域中上游地区聚集,纯技术效率主要集中于中下游地区,综合效率的提升主要由于规模效率的增加,纯技术效率对其作用不明显;区位条件、路径依赖效应、经济发展水平以及科学技术因素是影响吉林省松花江流域产业系统环境适应性的重要因素。


    Based on the efficiency evolution perspective and the adaptive analysis paradigm, the article adopted a VRS model with input oriented and production capacity variable to analyze the environmental adaptive evolution characteristics and the influencing factors of industrial system in the Songhua River Basin of Jilin Province. The results indicate that: 1) From status pattern analysis, the study area was still in the expansion and growth stage, and there were still many counties have not yet reached the optimal scale stage, so agglomeration was still the mainstream development mode of industry and economic in the future; 2) From temporal evolution analysis, the development of industrial ecology in the Songhua River Basin of Jilin Province was slow, and the industrial scale expansion was the key to the promotion of efficiency. The role of science and technology was not significant; 3) From spatial differentiation analysis, the main cities with high comprehensive efficiency and scale efficiency were constantly gathering in the upstream and midstream areas, while the main cities with pure technical efficiency were distributed in the downstream area, therefore, the improvement of comprehensive efficiency was mainly due to the increase of scale efficiency rather than pure technical efficiency; 4) The factors influencing the environmental adaptability of industrial system of the Songhua River Basin in Jilin Province included location conditions, path dependence effects, economic development levels and scientific technology.

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    徽州传统村落的时空分布及其影响因素
    卢松,张小军,张业臣
    地理科学. 2018, 38 (10): 1690-1698.   DOI: 10.13249/j.cnki.sgs.2018.10.013
    摘要   RICH HTML PDF (3801KB)

    以徽州地域119个国家级传统村落为研究对象,用GIS技术与方法,从时间和空间两个尺度揭示徽州传统村落的分布特征,探讨影响徽州传统村落时空分布的因素。研究发现:徽州传统村落空间上呈现集聚型分布,沿盆地、邻水及边缘化分布特征明显,表现出“边缘多核心少”的分布格局。黟县遗存的传统村落数量最多,分布密度最高,形成徽州传统村落的主要集聚区,其次是徽州区和歙县,形成徽州传统村落集聚的次级核心区。宋朝(北宋和南宋)和唐代是现存徽州传统村落形成的主要时期,这两个朝代保留下来的古村落最多,分布范围最广。从自然环境和社会经济(人口、交通、城镇化、经济、政策)等方面分析这些分布特点的影响因素。


    Traditional ancient villages are the crystallization of Chinese rural civilization. Carrying out this study is particularly important and urgent for the sustainable development and cultural heritage protection of the traditional villages in the ancient Huizhou. The study chose 119 national traditional villages of the ancient Huizhou by Ministry of housing and urban-rural development of the People’s Republic of China official which has already been released as the research object, and took the methods of literature analysis and GIS spatial analysis as the research way. And the distribution characteristics of the traditional villages in the ancient Huizhou were revealed from the temporal and spatial scales, which were mainly used by the method of the GIS technology. And the factors which affected the temporal and spatial distribution of traditional villages in the ancient Huizhou were also discussed. It is found that the spatial distribution of traditional villages in the ancient Huizhou is clustered, obviously in basin, adjacent water as well as the marginal area, and it presents the distribution pattern that the number of the traditional villages on the around is more than the middle. Specifically, Yixian county has the largest number of traditional villages and the highest distribution density, which has formed the main gathering area of the ancient Huizhou traditional villages, followed by the ancient Huizhou district and Shexian county has formed a secondary core area of ancient Huizhou traditional villages. From the time point of view, the Song Dynasty (Northern Song and Southern Song) and the Tang Dynasty are the main period of the formation of the ancient Huizhou traditional villages, these two dynasties retained the most ancient villages, and the scope distribute are also the most widely. Finally, the article focused on the natural environment, population, transportation, urbanization and economic development level and other factors, which ancient Huizhou traditional villages have showed those distribution characteristics. As well as the research has found that the basin terrain with surrounded landscape, the moved central plains immigrants with all ethnic, the road traffic with less development, the relatively backward social economy and the protection policies with local governments are all the very important conditions for the retention and renewal of the traditional Huizhou villages, and to a certain degree, it has already become the key factor for the spatial and temporal distribution that affected the traditional villages in the ancient Huizhou. And in the long run, it is helpful to study the whole distribution of the traditional villages, which can protect the traditional villages in the ancient Huizhou, and it is also helpful to explore the social, economic and cultural development in the historical period of the ancient Huizhou.

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    哈长城市群核心-外围结构及发展阶段判断研究
    张苏文,杨青山
    地理科学. 2018, 38 (10): 1699-1706.   DOI: 10.13249/j.cnki.sgs.2018.10.014
    摘要   RICH HTML PDF (736KB)

    以哈长城市群为例,从“核心-边缘”理论视角出发,将哈长城市群空间结构划分为核心区和外围区,然后运用模糊综合评价法,分析评价哈长城市群发育程度,判断哈长城市群发展阶段水平,并探讨哈长城市群成长策略。研究结果表明:哈长城市群空间结构具有“3核心-外围区”空间结构特征,发展阶段处在雏形发育的末期阶段。哈长城市群需要加强中心城市建设,促进人口与经济要素集聚,加强区域经济合作和区域基础设施建设,促进城市群的一体化发展。


    The growth of urban agglomeration has periodical characteristics and regular pattern, and it develops unevenly in spatial structure at beginning stage, which manifests a core-periphery structure. Harbin-Changchun urban agglomeration is one of the key urban agglomerations that is listed in state-level urbanization planning, so it is of great significance to analyze its spatial structure and measure its growth stage for the practical works. From the perspective of the core-periphery theory, this article divides Harbin-Changchun urban agglomeration into the core area and the peripheral area, then the article uses fuzzy comprehension evaluation method to set up the evaluation index system and the evaluation index standard to evaluate the growth degree and stage of Harbin-Changchun urban agglomeration. Finally, the article discusses the strategic policies for constructing Harbin-Changchun urban agglomeration. The result of the research indicates that the growth of Harbin-Changchun urban agglomeration has the characteristic of 3-core-periphery spatial structure. The core area includes 22 districts and the peripheral area includes 83 districts and counties. Harbin-Changchun urban agglomeration is in the later stage of its embryonic growth stage and urban system is immature. The core area is mainly agglomeration while radiation effect is not strong. The industrial structure in the peripheral area is characterized by convergence, the inter-city accessibility and informatization level are low, the infrastructure is not developed enough, and the development of the export-oriented economy is not sufficient. Regional development in the urban agglomeration is uneven. It is necessary for the core area of Harbin-Changchun urban agglomeration to continue to strengthen Harbin and Changchun as regional central cities and enhance the construction of the central cities. It is also necessary for the peripheral area to be deeply involved in their core area’s economy, improve connectivity with central cities, strengthen regional cooperation, and promote coordinated regional development.

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    江南丘陵地区乡村聚落地域分异特征研究——以湖南省为例
    谭雪兰,安悦,蒋凌霄,谭洁,周国华
    地理科学. 2018, 38 (10): 1707-1714.   DOI: 10.13249/j.cnki.sgs.2018.10.015
    摘要   RICH HTML PDF (2544KB)

    以江南丘陵湖南地区为研究对象,通过对18个抽样村进行实地走访与问卷调查,从乡村聚落的居住条件、居住设施和乡村居民的生产生活形态等方面,探讨江南丘陵湖南地区乡村聚落空间地域分异特征与规律。研究表明:乡村聚落研究是江南丘陵地区乡村聚落空间布局优化与调控的基础。由于地域范围广泛,区域内的资源禀赋与地域组合、经济发展基础、文化传统等条件差异悬殊,因此江南丘陵湖南地区乡村聚落发展的地域分异规律较为明显,在聚落空间格局(规模、密度、形态)、居住条件(住房面积、住房结构、建筑特色)、居住设施(道路、饮水安全、网络电视开通率等基础与公共服务设施)和生产生活形态等方面呈现出较为显著的盆地-丘陵-低山区、发达-欠发达-落后、近郊-远郊-偏远等地貌、经济、区位梯度差异。


    In recent years, with the rapid industrialization and urbanization in China, the rapid development of the rural economy and the increase in the incomes of peasants have brought tremendous changes in the production, living spaces, structures and functions of rural settlements, and serious problems regarding the ecological environment. The smooth implementation of urban and rural development strategies will be seriously affected and constrained by these changes. Rural settlement spatial structure reorganization, the integration of urban and rural areas, the evolution of rural settlement spatial patterns and other fields have been hot issues in recent academic research. The method of participatory rural appraisal was adopted in this study. Through field visits and survey questionnaires conducted in 18 sample villages in the south of the Yangtze River of Hunan Province, data on the living conditions and patterns, the facilities for settlements and production, the living patterns of rural residents, and the characteristics and laws of the regional differentiation of rural settlement spaces were collected and analyzed. The results show that the spatial patterns of rural settlements are the basis for the optimization and regulation of rural settlement spatial distributions in the hilly areas of the south of the Yangtze River. Due to the great disparity in resource endowments and geographical combinations, the basis of economic development and cultural tradition in the area, and wide geographical scope, the regional differentiation of rural settlement development in Hunan's hilly areas are more obvious. The regional differentiation rule of the rural settlements in the south of the Yangtze River of China is also evident. Gradient differences lie in the pattern characteristics (size, density, shape), living conditions (housing area, housing structure, architectural features), living facilities (roads, drinking water safety, opening rates of network television, and other basic and public service facilities), production and life forms in the area of basin-hilly-low mountainous , developed-underdeveloped- backward, suburban-outher suburban-remote landforms.

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    北京地区城市热岛强度长期变化特征及气候学影响机制
    黄群芳,陆玉麒
    地理科学. 2018, 38 (10): 1715-1723.   DOI: 10.13249/j.cnki.sgs.2018.10.016
    摘要   RICH HTML PDF (1402KB)

    选择北京地区为研究区,基于1967~2016年城市站(北京站)和城郊农村站(密云站)的长期气象观测数据,研究平均气温、最高气温、最低气温对应的城市热岛强度长期变化特征及其气候学影响机制。研究发现,过去50 a平均气温和最低气温对应的城市热岛强度显著增加,增温率分别为0.29℃/10a和0.45℃/10a,而最高气温对应的城市热岛强度则没有明显变化趋势;统计分析显示过去50 a北京地区相对湿度、风速和日照时数显著降低以及气温显著上升有利于城市热岛的形成,强化城市热岛强度;未来全球变暖和快速城市化背景下北京地区城市热岛效应将进一步加剧,形成更频繁和持续时间更长的夏季城市高温热浪,严重危及城市居民生产生活和生命健康。


    Urban heat island (UHI) has an important effect on urban eco-environment, living and production, and physical and mental health of the residents. In addition, urban warming especially summer heat wave caused by UHI significantly affects many aspects of the global economy, such as energy and water consumption, transportation, and social economy. Understanding of long-term trend of urban heat island intensity and its climatological driving mechanism will help the rational urban planning, urban livable construction, and urban sustainable development. Beijing is the center of the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei metropolitan area, and has experienced a rapid urbanization process in the past few decades. This study aims to elucidate the long-term trends of UHI intensities of mean air temperature, minimum air temperature, and maximum air temperature and the climatological driving mechanism based on 50 years (1967-2016) meteorological observation data from urban station (Beijing station) and rural station (Miyun station). In the past five decades, the UHI intensities of mean air temperature, and minimum air temperature showed a significant increasing trend with the increasing rates of 0.29℃/decade (r2=0.59, P<0.001) and 0.45℃/decade (r2=0.62, P<0.001) respectively. In contrast, no marked variability trend was observed for the UHI intensities of maximum air temperature. Statistical analysis has shown that relative humidity, wind speed, and sunshine duration decreased significantly and air temperature increased significantly in Beijing over the past 50 years, which is conducive to the formation of UHI and the enhancement of UHI intensity. Multiple stepwise linear regressions showed that relative humidity, maximum wind speed, and atmospheric pressure were the key climatological factors controlling UHI intensities of mean air temperature and minimum air temperature, which could explain 92.4% and 87.6% of variabilities respectively. Atmospheric pressure, relative humidity, and sunshine duration were the key climatological factors controlling UHI intensities of maximum air temperature. Under the background of global warming and rapid urbanization, UHI effect in Beijing will further intensify, resulting in more frequent and prolonged summer urban heat waves, which will seriously endanger urban residents' production, life and health. Therefore, it is necessary to consider the effects of UHI on the future urban planning and construction. By optimizing urban layout, carrying out reasonable road system planning, energy planning and ecosystem planning and other measures, we can alleviate UHI effects and reduce high temperature and heat waves harm caused by UHI.

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    气候变化对中国集中供暖气候指标的影响
    郭军,熊明明,李明财,何群
    地理科学. 2018, 38 (10): 1724-1730.   DOI: 10.13249/j.cnki.sgs.2018.10.017
    摘要   RICH HTML PDF (980KB)

    应用高空间分辨率的网格逐日气象数据,根据国家集中供暖有关设计规范定义了集中供暖气候指标,分析了气候变暖对中国集中供暖气候指标的影响。结果表明:近55 a来中国集中供暖初日均呈后延趋势,初日特征线年代际南北移动较小。供暖终日均呈提前趋势,终日特征线在110°E以东地区南北移动较大,2000年以来终日特征线较20世纪60年代北抬了200~300 km。供暖期长度均呈减少趋势,东北、华北地区近55 a减少了10~15 d,西北地区减少了15~20 d;东北、华北、西北地区供暖强度分别减少了12%、20%、15%。从1991~2015年冬季气温变化来看,东北地区最冷冬季与最暖冬季的温度相差可达6.2℃,对供暖强度的影响可达28.9%,华北和西北地区冬季气温最大变幅分别为3.7℃、3.3℃,对供暖强度的影响分别为26.8%和17.6%。气候变暖对中国集中供热气候指标产生了显著的影响。供热部门应该根据天气变化来安排供暖,同时还要注意气候变暖背景下极端冷事件的发生,保证集中供暖安全运行。


    The IPCC fifth assessment report (AR5) showed that the global temperature tended to increase in future. Meanwhile, the range of warming in China is higher than that of the global average temperature. It is very significant that understanding the impact of climate change on central heating in China which can provide decision-making advice to supply heating, save energy and reduce air pollution during the supplying heating period. This paper firstly defined the climate index of central heating according to National Central Heating Design Specification, then analyzed the impact of climate warming on climate index of central heating in China based on daily grid meteorological data with high space resolution. The result showed that: 1) The beginning day of central heating tended to delay during the past 55 years in China. The decadal shift of the characteristic line for beginning day from south to north changed very little. 2) The final day of central heating tended to shift to an earlier date. The characteristic line of final day moved obviously from south to north in the east of 110oE which was 200-300 km higher than that in 1960s since 2000. 3) The length of supplying heating period tended to shorten. The length decreased by 10-15 d in the Northeast and North China and that decreased by 15-20 d in Northwest China. 4) The intensity of suppling heating tended to reduce obviously. The intensity decreased by 12%, 20% and 15% for Northeast, North and Northwest China respectively. The intensity was related to winter average temperature closely. According to the variation of winter temperature from 1991 to 2015, the temperature difference (TD) between the coldest and the warmest winter could reach 6.2℃ in Northeast China which accounted for 28.9% impact on intensity of supplying heating; the TD was 3.7℃ and 3.3℃ for North and Northwest China respectively, which accounted for 26.8% and 17.6% impact on the intensity respectively. Climate warming has a significant impact on the climate index of central heating in China. The relative departments should arrange the supplying heating schedule according to weather variation, meanwhile, pay attention to the occurrence of extreme cold events under the background of climate warming to ensure the central heating operate safely.

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    松花江区气象水文干旱演变特征
    吴燕锋,章光新
    地理科学. 2018, 38 (10): 1731-1739.   DOI: 10.13249/j.cnki.sgs.2018.10.018
    摘要   RICH HTML PDF (4195KB)

    采用标准化降水蒸散指数和径流干旱指数分析了1961~2010年研究区水文干旱和气象干旱时空演变特征,并探讨了水文干旱与气象干旱的关系。结果表明: 1961~2010年松花江区呈总体干旱化且又有明显时段性的特征,其中1967~1983年和1996~2010年气象干旱频发、覆盖范围广、持续时间长且强度大;其它时段气象干旱少有发生。其次,气象干旱空间分布差异明显,东部的平均干旱频次和强度都大于西部地区,中部(嫩江流域中下游)平均干旱持续时间最长;但在嫩江流域和黑龙江上游地区干旱略有减弱趋势。 松花江流域和挠力河流域水文干旱呈加剧的趋势,尤其是近15 a干旱化趋势明显;挠力河流域干旱频发、强度大且持续时间很长。松花江流域水文干旱程度弱于挠力河流域,但极端水文干旱事件频发。 松花江区气象干旱与水文干旱密切相关,嫩江流域水文干旱滞后于气象干旱2个月,而第二松花江流域和松花江流域水文干旱滞后于气象干旱3个月;挠力河流域水文干旱与气象干旱无明显的时滞相关性。


    Climate change is likely to lead to an increased frequency and intensity of extreme weather events, including floods and droughts. To investigate spatiotemporal variation of meteorological and hydrological drought as well as the correlation between the two types of droughts, we calculated the standard precipitation evapotranspiration index and streamflow drought index for characterizing variability of drought frequency, coverage, duration and intensity in the Songhua River Area. The results indicate that: 1) Meteorological droughts exhibited an insignificant increasing trend at the annual scale from 1961 to 2010. The meteorological drought experienced higher frequency, wider coverage, longer duration and greater intensity during 1967-1983 and 1996-2010, while occurred rarely in 1961-1967 and 1984-1995. Spatial analysis showed that drought had higher frequency and greater intensity in east region than that in west region, longer duration in central region than other regions. 2) Hydrological drought also showed an increasing trend and have similar temporal-variation characteristics with meteorological droughts. The severity of hydrological drought towards more intensive in the Songhua River Basin and Naoli River Basin during the past fifty years, especially more significant during the past fifteen years. The hydrological drought experienced higher frequency, wider coverage, longer duration and greater intensity in the Naoli River Basin, while less severe in the Songhua River Basin. Therefore, it is necessary to take mitigation measures involving integrated water resources management and regulation to minimize losses caused by the increasing extremely hydrological droughts. 3) Hydrological drought has close relation with meteorological drought, which not only reflected by significant positive correlation but also indicated by 2, 3 and 3 months’ lags response between them in the Nenjiang River Basin, the Songhua River Basin and the Main Stream Basin of the Songhua River, respectively. However, the hydrological drought has no significant correlation with meteorological drought as a result of intensive human activities in the Naoli River Basin.

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